Sentences with phrase «trend rate»

This enables us to estimate trend rates with greater precision.

Much of this growth has been in full - time employment, which has grown at above - trend rates over the past year.

At the onset of the Asian crisis, the Australian economy was growing at around trend rates, with domestic demand beginning to accelerate, and underlying inflation at 1.6 per cent.

For economies to grow at the past trend rate, they would need credit and also income growth.

That is evidence — damn strong evidence in fact — that the underlying trend rate has not changed since 1975.

After moderating in the first half of 2003, the volume of imports expanded by 3 1/4 per cent in the September quarter, to be 12 1/2 per cent higher over the year, which is well above trend rates of growth.

The linear trend rate in global sea ice extent is downward at a rate of 36000 km ^ 2 / yr, and is unquestionably statistically significant.

The volume of imports rose by 2 1/4 per cent in the June quarter, which is a little above trend rates, and is likely to record a similar increase in the September quarter.

If only half of the modern decadal warming is due to human influences, then it is also likely that the human - caused linear trend would represent a warming rate of only +0.89 °C, half the modern 3 - decade full - linear trend rate of 1.78 °C / century.

Compare those low trend rates with the modest warming trend of the entire atmosphere: +1.2

«The global temperature has been rising at a steady trend rate of 0.5 °C per century since the end of the little ice age in the 1700s (when the Thames River would freeze over every winter; the last time it froze over was 1804)...

Put another way, the pre-1950, the all - natural decadal trend rate of +1.30 °C exceeds the +0.89 °C modern decadal trend attributed to anthropogenic forces (including land - use, the UHI effect, and of course, greenhouse gases).

[Response: Those graphs show trend rates from the given time up through March 2010.

Its standard error is 0.11 degC / decade, so the real trend rate could be as high as 0.36 deg.C / decade, quite a bit larger than the average rate since 1975.

These factors combined with higher trend rates of inflation should result in a pronounced upward trend in mortgage financing costs.»

In your derivative, the long term trend rate of change is roughly zero from 1900 to 1920, +0.02 C / year from 1920 to 1940 and zero again from 1940 to 1960.

While the investment objectives of these products are essentially the same — preserving capital, generating relatively attractive stable returns while trending rates, and providing liquidity for benefit payments1 to participants at book value — there are nuances to each product type and additional features that should be investigated.

Second, you've demonstrated an interesting fact, namely: EVEN IF you do the most extreme cherry - picking possible (and Jan. 1998 is the most extreme choice), you * still * get a positive trend rate, albeit not statistically significant.

If we compute the linear trend rate for all possible starting years from 1880 to 1990, up to the present, we get this:

The measurement of the accumulated postretirement benefit obligation assumes a health care cost trend rate of 4.5 percent in 2016 and subsequent years.

As the housing market rebalances, home price growth in the long - run is expected to revert towards its pre-bubble trend rate.

But, judging from recent messaging, Fed policymakers have yet to see compelling evidence of an acceleration in overall activity, viewing growth as set to remain at around trend rates, and are reluctant to factor in any significant impact from the Trump administration's future policies.

The global temperature has been rising at a steady trend rate of 0.5 °C per century since the depths of the little ice age in the 1700s (when the Thames River would freeze over every winter; the last time it froze over was 1804).

You say «So the real value could be as high as 0.29 deg.C / decade» and «so the real trend rate could be as high as 0.36 deg.C / decade».

Schembri said the trend rate of economic growth has been decreasing and that could also pose challenges because cyclical forces that normally help propel an economy out of an unexpected downturn my be less powerful.

Drawing all of this together, the RBA is forecasting that growth in Australia's trading partners will slow to a below - trend rate this year and next (Graph 7).

After rising modestly over the first half of 2003, import volumes increased at an annualised rate of 16 per cent over the second half of the year, more than double the trend rate.

In its latest assessment of the international outlook, released in late April, the IMF forecasts that growth in the G7 countries will pick up from 2.2 per cent in 2003 to 3.5 per cent in 2004, which is well above the trend rate of around 2 1/2 per cent (Table 1).

But the trend rate of payroll growth has ticked up in recent months; on a three - month rolling average basis, payroll growth averaged 195k in July, the strongest rate since February (201k on a rolling three - month average), and above the 180k 12 - month rolling average.

Although more recent indicators suggest that the slowing of private spending depicted in the accounts is exaggerated, the indicators generally confirm the economy's transition from above - trend to below - trend rates of growth.

The first two available observations for the change in wage costs, covering the December and March quarters, show increases of 0.8 and 0.9 per cent, broadly consistent with what appears to be the trend rate of growth in economy - wide AWOTE (Table 7).

Looking through the monthly volatility, employment appears to have grown at slightly above its trend rate over the past year (Graph 41).

The strength has been broadly based, with consumption, dwelling investment and business investment all growing at above - trend rates and recording significant increases in the September quarter.

A plausible interpretation of these trends is that the housing upswing may be maturing, particularly given that the rate of new construction is approaching a level somewhere near the trend rate of expansion in demand for new housing.

During the «Great Moderation» (1987 — 2006), under Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, the trend rate of growth of final demand, as measured by nominal final sales to domestic purchasers (FSDP), was 5.4 percent per year — split into real growth of 3 percent and inflation of 2.4 percent.

A number of advanced economies are growing at an above - trend rate and unemployment rates are low.

The Institute of Economic Affairs, a think tank, says high tax, debt and regulation will ensure GDP typically grows by just 1 per cent a year, compared to a trend rate since the Eighties of about 2.5 per cent.»

Before the recession, this trend rate of growth was assumed to be 2.5 % or so.