Chart 13 plots a set of cumulative probabilities of official interest rates exceeding a set of interest rate thresholds - 2 % (the «John Bull threshold»), 3 % (the average loosening cycle since the 1990s) and 5 % (the average loosening cycle since the 1970s).7 (bis.org)
The concept of the illative sense designates what William Robbins called «the reasoning from cumulative probabilities by which the mind is led to positive and fruitful belief». (faith.org.uk)
Simulation results show that the validity of the estimated asymptotic confidence interval depends upon the sample size, the size of the 1st order theoretical autocorrelation coefficient, and the true cumulative probability P related to the percentile. (mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de)