As well as the obvious point that councils spend billions of pounds on important public services, an unexpectedly good or bad local election result can have an important psychological effect on a party. (lordashcroftpolls.com)
Two years ago I developed a simple statistical model that tries to predict the outcome of general elections from local election results. (blog.politics.ox.ac.uk)
Continue reading What do the polls tell us about local election results? (electionsetc.com)