As Christy's figure here shows, the surface temperature data (NCDC, NASA, and HadCRUT4 shown in triangles, squares, and x's, respectively) fall within the envelope of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model runs. (skepticalscience.com)
Long - term streamflow trends in western North America and an analysis of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models at global scales show geographically heterogeneous detectability of hydrological changes. (pacificclimate.org)
To determine whether the observed warming of the ocean (Von Schuckmann & Le Traon [2011], Levitus [2012], Nuccitelli [2012]-RRB- might yield indications of external forcing or natural internal variability of the climate system, the paper's authors turned to 12 climate models used in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). (skepticalscience.com)