In 1992, we had just completed the first IPCC assessment report, here was their conclusion: «The size of this warming is broadly consistent with predictions of climate models, but it is also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability. . . (judithcurry.com)
Lessee... for example, we have this article archived at the Fraser Institue from 1999 on the exaggerated predictions of climate models in Arctic regions, by Baliunas & Soon: (realclimate.org)
Those can be compared to predictions of climate models as Spencer has attempted. (judithcurry.com)