Assuming that there is, in fact, a positive radiation imbalance, heat will gradually stop going in as the ocean warms to balance the increase in radiation by an increase in emission. (climateaudit.org)
Add in the current radiation imbalance of ~ 1 W / m2, you have at least 1.5 deg C surface warming to come (assuming a canonical 0.75 C / W / m2 sensitivity)». (realclimate.org)
The limitations of OLS on data with a near unit root is well taken, but to claim that the temperature just changes stochastically, within bounds that are very far off what one would expect just from natural variability, is not convincing: Many parameters of the earth system are simultaneously showing signs of warming, plus there's still a positive radiation imbalance at the top of the atmosphere: The earth hasn't even warmed up yet to the full extent that the change in forcing implies. (realclimate.org)