But I thought that the lower atmosphere was expected to warm faster than the surface (when comparing global, land
+ ocean trends).
Not exact matches
Beautiful modern Caribbean one bed / one 1/2 bath - room house conceived to incorporate both new
trends in design and traditional Caribbean architecture located @ three blocks,
+ / - 250 Mts from the
ocean in the upcoming area of Playa Negra.
I quantified the volcanic bias to account for about 0.04 C / decade of the 0.16 C / decade
trend (global GISS land
+ ocean starting 1979).
After JANUARY 2005, they all show a cooling LINEAR
trend for the land
+ ocean anomaly.
As I said before with exception of GISS, the other four organizations who measure global temperatures [land
+ ocean] show the same cooling
trend from 2002.
Canadian Ice Service, 4.7 (
+ / - 0.2), Heuristic / Statistical (same as June) The 2015 forecast was derived by considering a combination of methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic ice thickness extents, as well as winter Surface Air Temperature, Sea Level Pressure and vector wind anomaly patterns and
trends; 2) a simple statistical method, Optimal Filtering Based Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate the September sea ice extent timeseries into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests
ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.
If we compare there «land only», the situation does not differ much: — SH land UAH6.0: 0.142 — SH land GISS: 0.104 because here too, UAH's
trend is higher than GISS (as opposed to the Northern Hemisphere, where GISS
trends are way higher than UAH's, for both land
+ ocean and land - only).
Has someone modeled the thermal characteristics of the
oceans + solar heat input and would that help explain recent
trends in global temperatures?
Compare the professionalism of NASA's scientists and programs with that of Spencer and Christy (who told Congress in 2013 that no warming had occurred in 15 years, contradicting his own data and laughably contradicting the
trend in atmosphere
+ ocean heat content).
Given the estimated
trend and the volume estimate for October — November of 2007 at less than 9,000 km3, one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016
+ / -3 years to reach a nearly ice - free Arctic
Ocean in summer.
+ / - 0.25 K deviations from long - term mean
trends are indeed not unusual, nor are they fatal to the concept of CO2 - driven AGW since they can be traced to well - documented, cyclical, pseudo-periodic
ocean / atmospheric heat exchanges.
Right: global
ocean heat - content (HC) decadal
trends (1023 Joules per decade) for the upper
ocean (surface to 300 meters) and two deeper
ocean layers (300 to 750 meters and 750 meters to the
ocean floor), with error bars defined as
+ / - one standard error x1.86 to be consistent with a 5 % significance level from a one - sided Student t - test.
As a result, only 1 out of 7 Global or Land /
Ocean (ie, global less polar regions) temperature indices shows a negative
trend over that period (HadCRUT4 -0.002
+ / - 0.059 C / decade).
Right: global
ocean heat - content (HC) decadal
trends (1023 J per decade) for the upper
ocean (surface to 300 m) and two deeper
ocean layers (300 — 750m and 750 m — bottom), with error bars defined as
+ / - one standard error x1.86 to be consistent with a 5 % significance level from a one - sided Student t - test.