Sentences with phrase «+ year pause»

Only a defense of «over simplified errors» (like a 15 + year pause, Mannian statistical incompetence, etc.) is an «advance.»

CORRECTION: «David A, the bottom line is that irrespective of the CAUSES OF 15 + year pause or its causes the pause continues........»

«Since the ENSO cycle is unpredictable, as was the recent low solar minimum, the question of the models ability to reproduce a 15 + years pause over the 15 years leading to 2012 is different from the question of their ability to reproduce such pauses at some time or another.»

I wonder, if only as many as 3 in 114 CMIP5 historical simulations produce a trend that's lower than HadCRUT4, and hence, possibly, an (at least) 15 + years pause, how many of them would show at least one such pause, or already have done so, over periods either (slightly) earlier or later than the 1998 - 2012 period.

Not exact matches

Lawmakers agreed to suspend rollout of Common Core in the spring pending further review, leaving teachers unsure which standards to teach, as the pause legislation also requires the state to administer the ISTEP + for another year.

Previous editions of Biennales went under the titles Beyond the borders (1995), Unmapping the Earth (1997), Man + Space (2000), Pause (2002), A Grain of Dust, A Drop of Water (2004), Fever Variations (2006), Annual Report: A year in Exhibitions (2008), 10000 Lives (2010), and ROUNDTABLE (2012).

First and foremost, if you look at the global records of temperatures for the past 100 + years (below) you will notice that there have been several «pauses» during the whole uptrend of the past century and a half.

A lot of detailed debating here, but... All I can see is big increases in anthropogenic emissions + appear + to cause 20 - year pauses in natural temperature increases.

Tony, Not sure what question these articles answer except for the fact that the «pause» in tropospheric temperatures is interesting but quite irrelevant to the strong gains in the overall energy of the climate system for 60 + years.

The impetus for the new publicized fears of cooling comes from the indisputable empirical evidence that global warming is suffering a non-predicted «hiatus» (i.e. warming is stalled, paused, stopped, etc.) these last 15 + years.

The data and the statistical analysis does not provide the evidence that the so called «pause», a time period with a lower trend estimate than the longer - term trend estimate, was more than just a short - term fluctuation around the median warming trend, mostly due to short - term unforced internal variability in the Earth system (and some contribution from decreasing solar activity and increased reflecting aerosols in the atmosphere, counteracting the increased greenhose gas forcing to some degree), like the «acceleration» over the 16 - year period from 1992 to 2007 (e.g., UAH trend: 0.296 + / - 0.213 (2 sigma) deg.

What is wrong is the failure of the IPCC to note the failure of nearly all climate model simulations to reproduce a pause of 15 + years.

Curry writes:» What is wrong is the failure of the IPCC to note the failure of nearly all climate model simulations to reproduce a pause of 15 + years.»

As well as questioning why the «pause» doesn't get a mention in this post on the history of climate science (the RSS website reference @ 25 is likely this post by Carl Mears that certainly makes no mention of the «warming hiatus» being «15 to 18 + years» long), DAN SAGE @ 25 talks of two other topics covered elsewhere by SkS - the CO2 - lagging - temperature saga and the controversal lowering of the bottom of the IPCC ECS range in AR5 (which does not justify talk of ECS being «now... 1degree C, or even a little less», an extremely low value range that has long been proposed by contrarians).