Sentences with phrase «abare reference scenario»

In the reference scenario, the same products were manufactured, but this time out of fresh wood.
The book includes chapters on the economic assumptions used, energy supply and storage technologies, demand and technology assumptions, a reference scenario, variations on that scenario, federal and state policies needed, a «roadmap,» and a final chapter of the main findings and recommendations.
For the 12 countries with individual controls, we adjust that country's modeled emissions from a reference scenario (based on the IPCCs RCP 8.5 scenario).
The IEA has estimated that cumulative energy - sector investment of $ 17 trillion (in 2004 dollars) will be required by 2030 in order to finance its Reference Scenario, and has said that â $ œFinancing the required investments in non-OECD countries is one of the biggest sources of uncertainty surrounding our energy - supply projectionsâ $?
If the IEA is uncertain about the prospects of the investments required by its Reference Scenario being financed in developing countries, is there any real likelihood that the funds and infrastructure will be forthcoming to support two or three times the investment in power supply and distribution that the Agency is predicting on the basis of present policies?
In the Outlook's «Reference Scenario», which projects energy trends in the absence of new government policies or accelerated deployment of new technology, world primary energy demand is set to rise by 59 % from now till 2030.
The estimated increase in the global use of electricity between 2000 and 2030 under the IPCCâ $ ™ s B1 scenario is more than twice as great as under the IEA Reference Scenario, and the increase under the IPCCâ $ ™ s A1FI scenario is nearly three times as great.
The agency bases its findings on a reference scenario that assumes no new government policies are introduced.
In practice the growth in emissions is likely to be considerably less than this, because the IEA Reference Scenario does not take account of new policies that are under consideration in many countries.
The latest IEA Reference Scenario (that in WEO 2005) shows the same increase in CO2 emissions between 2000 and 2030 — the end - point of the projection — as the IPCC B1 scenario.
GCAM reference scenario results showing a global GDP and population drivers, b global primary energy consumption by fuel source, c global electricity production by technology, and d global allocation of land among major land cover and land use categories
We will then proceed to describe the underlying socioeconomic assumptions that shape RCP4.5 and its associated reference scenario and discuss the characteristics of RCP4.5, highlighting the global energy, economic, land use, and land cover systems, as well as the mechanisms employed to limit radiative forcing to 4.5 W m − 2 and contrast RCP4.5 to its reference scenario.
The BAU scenario, minus no - regrets mitigation options, yields the global reference scenario.
Two rounds of analysis were performed using reference scenario emissions, with emission control levels adjusted so that regional surface pollutant concentrations were consistent with the assumed regional income levels (Smith et al. 2011).
Pollutant gas and aerosol emissions levels in the reference scenario were checked for consistency by estimating regional surface particulate and ozone levels using the MOZART atmospheric chemistry model.
This reference scenario is unique to RCP4.5 and differs from RCP8.5 as well as from the reference scenarios associated with RCP6 and RCP2.6 (also referred to as RCP3PD)(van Vuuren et al. 2011a).
Differences in carbon prices can be attributed to differences in reference scenario emissions, and thus the level of abatement required, along with differences in the cost of abatement technologies.
These three scenarios were assessed in comparison to a Reference Scenario where the solution's market share was fixed at the current levels.
However, the projected development beyond 2020 is only compatible with the IEA alternative policy scenario in which coal production is constrained by climate policy measures while the IEA reference scenario assumes further increasing coal consumption (and production) until at least 2030.
[4] This assumption is contrary to the standard Project Drawdown Reference Scenario, which assumes that growth occurs in relation to the overall growth of the market, with the percent adoption remaining fixed at the base year levels.
Impacts of increased adoption of trucks from 2020 - 2050 were generated based on three growth scenarios, which were assessed in comparison to a Reference Scenario where the solution's market share was fixed at the current levels.
[i] The CO2 budget for gas in the reference scenario is 216 GtCO2, or 24 % of the total budget to 2050 of 900GtCO2.
In tandem with this new carbon monitoring system is the Kenyan government's development of a readiness preparation proposal (R - PP) that has been submitted to the World Bank to support the development of a carbon reference scenario and the design of a comprehensive monitoring system.
Bringing electricity to everyone by 2030 would require electricity generation in 2030 to be only 3 % higher than generation in our Reference Scenario... the increase in energy - related global CO2 emissions would be a mere 0.9 % by 2030.
These studies compare a particular climate policy scenario with a reference scenario corresponding to the model projection of business as usual (BAU)-- that is, a world in which the economy continues on its current course with carbon emissions unchecked.
These scenarios were assessed in comparison to a Reference Scenario where the solution's market share was fixed at the current levels.
The results for the Plausible Scenario show that through the advanced adoption of landfill methane, installed in over 70 percent of the world's landfills, the net first costs compared to the Reference Scenario would be US$ 1.82 billion in savings from 2020 - 50 and approximately US$ 67.57 billion in operational savings over the same period.
Presenting the New Policies scenarios — including its unrealistic assumptions on renewable energy — as the reference scenario inevitably affects policy makers who will base their measures and policy designs on the WEO.
Hence, it's not a wild guess that — unless something fundamentally changes — the 2014 WEO reference scenario will again show an upward adjustment of the growth in renewables towards 2035.
The intent is to allow the user to specify an alternative reference scenario to A1FI and have that used in the simulation and the reference scenario.
In each year from 2006, the reference scenario in the WEO shows higher cumulative capacity than the year before.
C - ROADS's BAU or Reference Scenario case is based on the A1FI SRES scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
There are a few simple macros that help refresh the Reference scenario settings should you wish to reset them to the default settings.
All the other greenhouse gases will continue to grow according to the reference scenario.
Models compare a Reference Scenario, that assumes current adoption remains at a constant percent of the current total land area, with high adoption scenarios assuming a reasonably vigorous global adoption path.
Both Reference Scenarios showed a food deficit in the high and medium population scenarios (see family planning and educating girls solutions).
Impacts of increased adoption of perennial biomass from 2020 - 2050 were generated based on three growth scenarios, which were assessed in comparison to a Reference Scenario where the solution's market share was fixed at the current levels.
[4] These three scenarios were assessed in comparison to a Reference Scenario where the solution's market share was fixed at the current levels.
The results for the Plausible Scenario show that the net cost compared to the Reference Scenario would be US$ 36.12 billion from 2020 - 50, with approximately US$ 19.9 billion in savings from micro wind over the same period.
These include a conservative scenario, which considers a slower decline in the relative cost of EVs; a reference scenario, which assumes technology costs and performance improve over time across the economy under existing state - level policies and targets; a progressive scenario, which includes a carbon value of $ 15 / ton of carbon dioxide starting in 2020 in the reference scenario; and a transformation scenario, in which the carbon value starts at $ 50 / ton in 2020.
They point out that «our business as usual, reference scenario leads to expected warming by 2100 of 4.2 °C.
«For transport, global energy demand is projected to increase from 82 PJ in 2007 to 158 EJ in 2050 in the reference scenario
The WEO 2006 Alternative Policy scenario shows that CO2 emissions can be reduced by 16 % from the Reference Scenario with policies that more than pay for themselves: 80 % of these reductions come from more efficient production and uses of energy.
Choose from 14 different reference scenarios, pulled from EMF and SRES 2.
This reference scenario, also known as «business as usual,» is now lower (leading to 4.2 °C instead of 4.5 °C), in part because the world is already pursuing a lower emissions path than what was anticipated several years ago.
Bringing electricity to everyone by 2030 would require electricity generation in 2030 to be only 3 % higher than generation in our Reference Scenario.
Updates to the Scoreboard and our C - ROADS simulations also reflect a new reference scenario for fossil fuel CO2 emissions, land use CO2 emissions, and the other well mixed GHG emissions.
The reference scenario accounts the UN's medium fertility population projections, historical GDP per capita rates that converge over time to be consistent with other integrated assessment models, and GHG per capita projections for each gas that reflect trends over the last decade for CO2 and follow RCP8.5 for the non-CO2 greenhouse gases.
This new reference scenario would have 4.2 °C (7.6 °F) of expected warming globally by the year 2100 (with an uncertainty range of 2.5 °C — 5.5 °C).
In a High Growth Scenario, which assumes that China's and India's economies grow on average 1.5 percentage points per year faster than in the Reference Scenario, energy demand is 21 % higher in 2030 in China and India combined.
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