«I am at the side event at the EU Pavilion, Brussels room, the event refers to the DURBAN
ACTION GLOBAL SCENARIOS FOR 2 C: FEASIBILITY, IMPLICATIONS AND IMPACTS.»
Not exact matches
Current projections of
global warming in the absence of
action are just too close to the kinds of numbers associated with doomsday
scenarios.
He reiterated that the workable panacea to such mindless and irresponsible attacks on citizens would be «a
global joint
action that continually shares intelligence, simulates
scenarios and regularly updates on both local and international threats».
Hamilton noted that the commission's report is not the first time The Lancet has taken a stab at climate change, but previous reports focused on the worst - case
scenarios of
global warming and their devastating health consequences, whereas the current report highlights the benefits of addressing climate change and touts «no regrets»
actions that benefit the environment and health.
The study examined the benefits of
global and domestic GHG mitigation on US air quality and human health in 2050, comparing a
scenario with no
global action to reduce GHGs with an aggressive
scenario that significantly slows climate change.
Scientists typically look at four different possible futures, ranging from an uber - green society to a worst - case
scenario, in which no
action is taken to combat
global warming.
These
actions produced models that account for the influence of smaller features than can be resolved in a
global climate model and yielded composite climate
scenarios suitable for analysis of specific local climate impacts.
We can not afford to delay further
action to tackle climate change if the long - term target of limiting the
global average temperature increase to 2 °C, as analysed in the 450
Scenario, is to be achieved at reasonable cost.
They assume that no
action will be taken before the
global warming signal will be significant in the late 1990s, so the different energy - use
scenarios only start diverging after that.
• characterize national emissions • explore alternative emission reduction
scenarios • calculate country - level health, agriculture and
global climate benefits • compare results across alternative
scenarios • inform nationally appropriate
action on SLCPs
The chosen
scenario assumes Trump's
actions could result in the United States only achieving half of its pledged reduction through 2030 under the Paris Agreement on climate change, the worldwide but voluntary pact aiming to avoid dangerous
global warming that entered into force on Nov. 4.
Mr Jarraud stressed the need for better observations and more downscaled climate change
scenarios and modeling to underpin climate knowledge and
action, as embodied by the WMO - spearheaded
Global Framework for Climate Services.
Yet, it warns, in its «450
Scenario», where the world actually does take
action and acts accordingly, and which the IEA recommends as the sensible course of
action, the coal industry collapses — its shares of the
global primary energy mix (which includes all forms of enegy), tumbling to just 16 per cent by 2035, by which time it is overtaken by renewables and gas.
In order to reach the
global targets set into the ACT and BLUE
scenarios, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has identified seventeen key technologies for energy efficiency, power generation and transport and, for each, has drawn a roadmap that describes the
actions required to deliver their potential.
Given the time period until new leases are required, and that new leases are only required in a
scenario incompatible with the United States» commitment to taking
actions consistent with limiting
global warming to levels well below 2 °C while pursuing efforts to keep warming to no more than 1.5 °C, it makes sense to continue the moratorium for the foreseeable future.
Unless
action is taken,
global HFC emissions could reach 5.5 — 8.8 GtCO2e per year in 2050, equivalent to 9 — 19 % of projected
global CO2 emissions under a business - as - usual
scenario.
That
scenario assumes no
action is taken on climate change, and
global deals like the Paris agreement indicate that many countries are already moving to take
action.
Between its Second and Third Assessment Reports, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change elaborated long - term greenhouse gas emissions
scenarios, in part to drive
global ocean - atmosphere general circulation models, and ultimately to assess the urgency of
action to prevent the risk of climatic change.
This report reviews a range of modelling
scenarios for future GHG emissions, identifies opportunities and recommends lines of
action to harmonize energy policy objectives with climate goals that meet the needs for a limited
global carbon budget.
The 1,018 - page report convincingly and systematically challenges IPCC claims that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are causing «dangerous»
global warming and climate change; that IPCC computer models can be relied on for alarming climate forecasts and
scenarios; and that we need to take immediate, drastic
action to prevent «unprecedented» climate and weather events that are no more frequent or unusual than what humans have had to adapt to and deal with for thousands of years.
-- Hansen et al (PNAS 2000),
Global warming in the twenty - first century: An alternative
scenario — Molina et al. (PNAS 2009), Reducing abrupt climate change risk using the Montreal Protocol and other regulatory
actions to complement cuts in CO2 emissions.
While the window for
global decisive
action is rapidly closing, climate scientists should not make careless promises about their ability to reduce uncertainties in climate
scenarios over the next few years, and thereby provide our governments with excuses to shun their responsabilities until they know more detail about how fast and adverse their regional impacts of
global warming will be (compared to those in other countries).
Plan on IPCC «
scenarios» coming true, plan on
global action not being taken in time to prevent or diminish these kinds of events, and ask the question what can Pakistan do today.
Given the risk inherent in betting everything on C02 control, it seems the worse
scenario is that we will be right about the risk of C02, wrong about the belief that
global action will be taken, and ill prepared to handle the consequences.
Current projections of
global warming in the absence of
action are just too close to the kinds of numbers associated with doomsday
scenarios.
Under the no -
action scenario (718 - to - 695 ppm), the IPCC formulas indicate that the multitrillion - dollar Bingaman - Specter bill might reduce average
global temperature by 0.13 degrees Celsius.
This
scenario is only possible if countries commit to ambitious
actions that cap and steeply reduce
global emissions.