Sentences with phrase «ar4 warming forecasts»

Referring to the IPCC AR4 warming forecasts, project manager Terje Berntsen, a geoscience professor at the University of Oslo, commented: «The Earth's mean temperature rose sharply during the 1990s.

Not exact matches

And, based on the latest studies on ECS plus the failure of warming forecasts (such as Hansen 1988 or IPCC TAR and AR4), it looks like my skepticism has been well placed.

In AR4 WG1 Ch.10 (Figure 10.4 and Table 10.5), IPCC shows us how the warming forecasts for the first decades of the century tie into the longer - range forecasts up to the end of the century.

-- IPCC has been clear in its wording — no «coffee pauses» were postulated, but a clear warming of 0.2 C per decade was projected by the models for «he next two decades» in AR4 (and a warming of 0.15 C to 0.3 C per decade in the previous TAR)-- In AR4 Ch.10, Figure 10.4 and Table 10.5, IPCC show us how the projected warming of the early decades ties into the longer - term forecast for the entire century, IOW the warming of the early decades is an integral part of the «entire postulated journey»..

But it does show that the IPCC forecasts of 0.2 C warming per decade (made both in the AR4 and previous TAR reports) were incorrect.

They were poor in forecasting (or «projecting») decadal warming: 0.2 C per decade (AR4) or 0.15 to 0.3 C per decade (TAR), compared to an actually observed slight cooling over the most recent decade.

You can jiggle things around a bit to try to salvage the warming forecasts made in TAR and AR4, but why not just admit that the forecasts were wrong and move on?

Along with Beth, I simply noted that IPCC appears to be trying to cover up poor warming forecasts in TAR and AR4 by writing in AR5: