Not exact matches
A particular challenge for science is the growing evidence that social - ecological interactions across scales can generate regime shifts where profound and
abrupt changes can occur
in systems ranging from local
ecosystems (such as lakes) to large biomes (such as the Arctic); from local communities (such as farming systems) to regional economic sectors (e.g., global fisheries).
In recent papers, Bill described dramatic and abrupt ecosystem changes in response to climate variabilit
In recent papers, Bill described dramatic and
abrupt ecosystem changes in response to climate variabilit
in response to climate variability.
The likelihood that climate
change will result
in abrupt ecosystem shifts (Walther 2010) favoring the introduction or reemergence of diseases for which effective surveillance and management practices are not yet
in place.
The first report knew, and commented on, the possibilities of gradual climate
change pushing
ecosystems or economies over thresholds and triggering
abrupt responses, but the new report focuses on such tipping points
in our societies and environment.
Since NRC, 2002 was published, the potential for
abrupt impacts associated with gradual
changes in extreme events — such as
abrupt changes in terrestrial
ecosystems due to droughts and storms — has been studied extensively (e.g., Hutyra et al., 2005; Saatchi et al., 2013).
Extreme warm temperatures
in summer can greatly increase the risks of mega-fires
in temperate forests, boreal forests, and savanna
ecosystems, leading to
abrupt changes in species dominance and vegetation type, regional water yield and
Wang, M. Ikeda, K. Mizobata, and J. Overland,
Abrupt climate
changes and emerging ice - ocean processes
in the Pacific Arctic region and the Bering Sea, Chapter 4,
in The Pacific Arctic Region:
Ecosystem Status and Trends
in a Rapidly
Changing Environment, J. M. Grebmeier and W. Maslowski (eds.)
Amazon forests represent the world's largest terrestrial biome and potentially the tropical
ecosystem most vulnerable to
abrupt change in response to future climate
change in concert with agricultural development (e.g., Cox et al., 2000; Lenton et al., 2008; Zelazowski et al., 2011).
quality, and carbon emission (e.g., Adams, 2013), before the gradual increase of surface temperature crosses the threshold for
abrupt ecosystem collapse (more discussion in the section on Ecosystem Collapse and Rapid State Chang
ecosystem collapse (more discussion
in the section on
Ecosystem Collapse and Rapid State Chang
Ecosystem Collapse and Rapid State
Change below).
* At higher projected rates of warming, areas such as the tundra and the Amazon rainforest face a high risk of «
abrupt and irreversible»
changes in their
ecosystems.