Not exact matches
There is still
uncertainty about many aspects of the dynamics of climate change, and this will only be
addressed by investment in climate
models and the top - of - the - range supercomputers needed to run them.
``... since
uncertainty is a structural component of climate and hydrological systems, Anagnostopoulos et al. (2010) found that large
uncertainties and poor skill were shown by GCM predictions without bias correction... it can not be
addressed through increased
model complexity....
Part II
addressed uncertainties in external forcing data sets used in the attribution studies and the relevant climate
model structural
uncertainties.
The need for more simulations to characterise
uncertainty is being further
addressed through international initiatives to have many
modelling groups contribute simulations to the same ensembles (e.g. CORDEX - COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment http://wcrp-cordex.ipsl.jussieu.fr/).
The need for more simulations to characterise
uncertainty is being further
addressed through international initiatives to have many
modelling groups contribute simulations to the same ensembles (e.g. CORDEX — COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment http://wcrp-cordex.ipsl.jussieu.fr/).
Within the confines of our work with RASM and CESM, we will: (i) quantify the added value of using regional
models for downscaling arctic simulations from global
models, (ii)
address the impacts of high resolution, improved process representations and coupling between
model components on predictions at seasonal to decadal time scales, (iii) identify the most important processes essential for inclusion in future high resolution GC / ESMs, e.g. ACME, using CESM as a test bed, and (iv) better quantify the relationship between skill and
uncertainty in the Arctic Region for high fidelity
models.
Koven adds that there are large
uncertainties in the
model that need to be
addressed, such as the role of nitrogen feedbacks, which affect plant growth.
Our scientists use laboratory studies, field campaigns, multi-scale
models, and other tools to
address key questions and
uncertainties related to clouds, aerosol particles, and precipitation.
He does not appear to
address the consequent sever Type B
uncertainty bias in his
models.
The
uncertainties of global climate
modeling have been
addressed here on RealClimate.org recently by commenters and the web host so I will not rehash that re:
model resolution, etc..
Putting that aside then, I suspect that the critical point you are not
addressing is that a climate
model itself produces outputs that are statistical in nature i.e. they contain
uncertainty.
The organisations that are approaching Brexit as another «Change Driver» and have a well - defined «Change Operating
Model» which is risk based, measurable and
addresses the people, compliance, trading and innovation implications of Mrs May's recently announced 12 point plan will be best positioned to be resilient, adapt and respond to the
uncertainty.
The forum will also
address all the latest developments for enhancing transparency, resolving
model uncertainty and what lies in store for the emerging markets.