Sentences with phrase «alternative climate scenarios»

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It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.

This enabled the team to estimate how temperature - related mortality rates will change under alternative scenarios of climate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for climate modelling and research iclimate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for climate modelling and research iClimate Change for climate modelling and research iclimate modelling and research in 2014.

Smil has forced climate advocates to reckon with the vast inertia sustaining the modern world's dependence on fossil fuels, and to question many of the rosy assumptions underlying scenarios for a rapid shift to alternatives.

Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest.

The results show 27 alternative historical scenarios simulating a world without human - caused climate change and global sea level rise.

For many players the game looses its unique climate, but it is a great alternative for banal games with banal scenarios that can be found on many websites.

• characterize national emissions • explore alternative emission reduction scenarios • calculate country - level health, agriculture and global climate benefits • compare results across alternative scenarios • inform nationally appropriate action on SLCPs

The illustrious green movement who killed nuclear power in 1970s and brought about global warming by scrubbing shade - producing particulates from smokestacks and tailpipes are now bent on using a ginned up catastrophic climate change scenario to keep the price of oil elevated in order to keep the profit incentive alive for stupid expensive alternatives like windmills and ethanol from corn.

Here we present a new index of the year when the projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state continuously outside the bounds of historical variability under alternative greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.

However, the projected development beyond 2020 is only compatible with the IEA alternative policy scenario in which coal production is constrained by climate policy measures while the IEA reference scenario assumes further increasing coal consumption (and production) until at least 2030.

Aside from a 2 - degree scenario, for example, it might show an alternative future based on business as usual, and yet another based on the climate pledges of individual countries under the Paris agreements.

In this report, as an alternative to the scenarios of gradual climatic warming that are so common, we outline an abrupt climate change scenario patterned after the 100 - year event that occurred about 8,200 years ago.

As described in section 1, evaluating climate change impacts on society and the consequences of alternative policy approaches are key goals of the scenario framework.

Consider an alternative universe where the scientists provided a range of scenarios to consider and included natural climate variability in the mix, and recommended that suite of policy options be developed to help reduce societal vulnerability to future climate change, both of the natural and anthropogenic variety.

It is regrettable that the work of Fischer's team has not developed alternatives to official IPCC climate projections, nor critiques of SRES scenarios, and it is also regrettable that several of their analyses are restricted to just one or two scenarios, usually the «worst - case» ones such as A2.

Alternative economic and metamodels are available, and they give very different scenarios for human population, economic output, atmospheric chemistry and climate dynamics.

These alternative scenarios include emissions under «business as usual» (typically defined as no new climate policy from 2010 onwards), emissions under currently adopted and implemented policies, and emissions assuming that countries» 2020 pledges are met.

His industry experience includes leadership roles in strategy development and scenario planning, alliance management, and energy trading, with a background in alternative energy, climate policy, global refining & marketing, and logistics.

13.5.1 Key Uncertainties in Climate Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate scClimate Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate Scenarios 13.5.1.1 Specifying alternative emissions futures 13.5.1.2 Uncertainties in converting emissions to concentrations 13.5.1.3 Uncertainties in converting concentrations to radiative forcing 13.5.1.4 Uncertainties in modelling the climate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate scclimate response to a given forcing 13.5.1.5 Uncertainties in converting model response into inputs for impact studies 13.5.2 Approaches for Representing Uncertainties 13.5.2.1 Scaling climate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate scclimate model response patterns 13.5.2.2 Defining climate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate scclimate change signals 13.5.2.3 Risk assessment approaches 13.5.2.4 Annotation of climate scclimate scenariosscenarios

Independently of climate models, the statistical forecast technique used by Sanchez - Sesma provides the basis for creating alternative scenarios of the 21st century climate.

-- Hansen et al (PNAS 2000), Global warming in the twenty - first century: An alternative scenario — Molina et al. (PNAS 2009), Reducing abrupt climate change risk using the Montreal Protocol and other regulatory actions to complement cuts in CO2 emissions.

But the study finds one - quarter to one - third less severe climate change when greenhouse gas emissions follow the alternative scenario.

However, the study finds much less severe climate change — one - quarter to one - third that of the «business - as - usual» scenario — when greenhouse gas emissions follow the alternative scenario.

They do not try to better measure global temperature or to present alternative scenarios of the future global climate fluctuations.

These climate — health relationships were linked to alternative projections of climate change, related to unmitigated future emissions of greenhouse gases, and two alternative scenarios for greenhouse gas emissions.

Here we use climate projections under alternative mitigation scenarios to show how changes in environmental variables that limit plant growth could impact ecosystems and people.

The impact of this alternative scenario was illustrated in the Climate Audit post last year, showing that a revised transition schedule resulted in a substantial change to received temperature history, eliminating the puzzling postwar decline in temperature.

A new article lays the groundwork for alternative climate mitigation scenarios that place less reliance on unproven negative emissions technologies in the future.

The planning framework internalizes risks and opportunities associated with alternative hydro - climate scenarios to identify a long - term system configuration robust to uncertainty.

An alternative approach uses simple climate model projections of global warming under stabilisation to scale AOGCM patterns of climate change assuming unmitigated emissions, and then uses the resulting scenarios to assess regional impacts (e.g., Bakkenes et al., 2006).

«These results are robust across the economic drivers of climate change — as reflected in alternative socio - economic scenarios (three IPCC SRES alternatives)-- and the sensitivity of the climate to increased greenhouse - gas concentrations.»

Finally, we're planning to partner with environmental economists to determine the damage costs of emissions from all the sectors due to both climate and air quality impacts, results that we can use to develop alternative mitigation scenarios.

A halt or even reversal of their growth would have other benefits, for human health, agricultural productivity, and environmental quality, which, together with the slowing of climate change, justify the actions needed to achieve the alternative scenario.