As aerosol pollution is predicted to decrease over the next few decades, unmasking of the greenhouse effect may lead to accelerated global warming.storms and ocean plankton The human - generated aerosols are derived from industry, motor vehicles and vegetation burning.
Not exact matches
The scientists expect further warming in the Arctic
as levels of greenhouse gases will continue to increase and
aerosol particle emissions will likely decrease to combat air
pollution in different parts of the world.
The research focuses on the power of minute airborne particles known
as aerosols, which can come from urban and industrial air
pollution, wildfires and other sources.
Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the study shows that in the most polluted areas of northern and eastern China,
aerosol pollution is reducing the potential for solar electricity generation by
as much
as one and a half kilowatt - hour per square meter per day, or up to 35 percent.
The question is: Does the current load of
aerosols in the atmosphere already exceed that limit, in which case adding extra particles should not greatly affect cloud formation; or do they continue to be a limiting factor
as pollution rises, so that added
aerosols would continue to influence the clouds?
«It is therefore reasonable to expect that precipitation extremes will continue to intensify,» although how much is still a mystery, largely thanks to an unclear understanding of the atmospheric impact of how tiny flecks of
pollution in the atmosphere — known
as aerosols to scientists and comprising materials ranging from soot to sulfur dioxide.
Preliminary analyses show that most of the
pollution was sulphate
aerosols — along with dust and carbonaceous particles such
as black carbon.
Scientists have already linked
aerosol emissions to increases in lightning over areas of the Amazon prone to forest fires (pdf)
as well
as regions of China with thick air
pollution.
Aerosols in urban air
pollution and from major industries such
as the Canadian tar sands are of concern to scientists because they can affect regional climate patterns and have helped to warm the Arctic.
This simple analysis shows that the «2 degree target» of «dangerous anthropogenic interference» is looming on the horizon,
as the climate equilibrates and
aerosol pollution is cleaned up.
«A rapid cutback in greenhouse gas emissions could speed up global warming... because current global warming is offset by global dimming — the 2 - 3ºC of cooling cause by industrial
pollution, known to scientists
as aerosol particles, in the atmosphere.»
Additionally, the
aerosol pollutant hypothesis ignores the fact that, despite the US Clean Air Act, the countries with the largest populations, such
as India and China, did not adopt
pollution controls until well into the 21st century.
Then there is stated to be another 0.5 C warming being masked by
aerosol pollution, principally in Asia that will clear
as they hopefully clean up their air.
And we could even allow more sulphate
aerosol into the atmosphere,
as this has proven successful at global dimming — taking care about not to release «
pollution» near centres of population where it could damage health.
Which means, early in the century, there was more
aerosols, especially
as there was little
pollution control, during a period of increasing warmth.
It will be invaluable to have these tools in the public sphere
as China's economic slowdown and air
pollution reduction programs continue to impact
Aerosol emissions.
«since the mid 1980s a significant increase in visibility has been noted in western Europe (e.g. Doyle and Dorling, 2002), and there are strong indications that a reduction in
aerosol load from anthropogenic emissions (in other words, air
pollution) has been the dominant contributor to this effect, which is also referred to
as «brightening».»
Why wouldn't (or couldn't) NOAA acknowledge geoengineering atmospheric
aerosol dispersions
as a source of particulate
pollution?
We always thought that — apart of course from soot [15 % of climate warming]-- such
aerosol pollution creates cooling —
as in the case of Chinese sulfur
pollution and the Asian (Indian) brown cloud — and that air quality measures over recent decades in North America and Europe are now actually a major cause of increased warming speeds there —
as the actual temperature catches up on the «CO2 baseline».
Everyday terms that hint at
aerosol sources, such
as smoke, ash, haze, dust,
pollution, and soot are widely used
as well.
This is
as to be expected, since continued efforts to reduce atmospheric
aerosols in the West have resulted in less dimming (more warming), while in the East increasing
pollution has caused more dimming (less warming).
As it turns out, forcings that have tended to cause cooling, like increased
aerosol pollution, are particularly efficient.
Generally, the trend has been attributed to an increase in sulfur
pollution, which rapidly forms tiny particles in the air known
as «
aerosols» that reflect incoming solar energy back into space.
However, this offsetting effect is unlikely to remain in the future
as improved
pollution controls are expected to significantly reduce the cooling effect of
aerosols over the course of coming decades: Meinshausen et al (2006).
But I've been shifting my thinking based on recent conversations with some of the authors below about the feasibility of incremental management of sun - blocking
aerosols, even
as warming
aerosols contributing to conventional air
pollution are reduced.
Researchers have blamed this short - lived cooling, more pronounced in the Northern Hemisphere, on a build - up of sunlight - blocking sulphate
aerosols from fossil fuels, which began to clear in the 1970s
as pollution controls took hold.
In addition, prior to the 1970s there were limited
pollution controls, allowing pollutant
aerosols to act
as coolants via reflection of solar radiation.
The identification of other, sometimes more powerful, greenhouse gases such
as methane, the contributions to atmospheric carbon dioxide from other human activities such
as deforestation and cement manufacture, better understanding of the temperature - changing properties of atmospheric
pollution such
as sulphur emissions,
aerosols and their importance in the post-1940s northern hemisphere cooling: the knowledge - base was increasing year by year.
Warming from decade to decade can also be affected by human factors such
as variations in the emissions, from coal - fired power plants and other
pollution sources, of greenhouse gases and of
aerosols (airborne particles that can have both warming and cooling effects).
His characterization of the
aerosol as pollution has also been used here and elsewhere in articles, blogs, etc..