Explaining these previous hiatus periods in context of
Atlantic Ocean circulation changes makes much more sense to me than the aerosol forcing argument.
Not exact matches
«The
Atlantic Ocean surface
circulation, and however that
changes, has implications for how the rainfall
changes on continents.»
«The study demonstrates a robust century - scale link between
ocean circulation changes in the
Atlantic basin and rainfall in the adjacent continents during the past 4,000 years,» said UTIG Director Terry Quinn, a co-author on the study.
Looking at shifts in Manley's winter temperatures from year to year, he says, gives a good reading of important natural cycles that influence climate, such as
changes in
ocean circulation like the North
Atlantic Oscillation.
These large Northern Hemisphere cooling events have previously been linked to a
change in the
Atlantic Ocean circulation that led to a reduced transport of warm water to the high latitudes in the North.
But within these long periods there have been abrupt climate
changes, sometimes happening in the space of just a few decades, with variations of up to 10ºC in the average temperature in the polar regions caused by
changes in the
Atlantic ocean circulation.
Retreating sea ice in the Iceland and Greenland Seas may be
changing the
circulation of warm and cold water in the
Atlantic Ocean, and could ultimately impact the climate in Europe, says a new study by an atmospheric physicist from the University of Toronto Mississauga (UTM) and his colleagues in Great Britain, Norway and the United States.
«Northwest
Atlantic Ocean may get warmer, sooner: High resolution global climate model shows much faster warming and changing ocean circulation.&r
Ocean may get warmer, sooner: High resolution global climate model shows much faster warming and
changing ocean circulation.&r
ocean circulation.»
In the North
Atlantic, more heat has been retained at deep levels as a result of
changes to both the
ocean and atmospheric
circulations, which have led to the winter atmosphere extracting less heat from the
ocean.
He believes that
changes in
ocean circulation have warmed the
Atlantic and increased hurricane activity in the past decade and that this is simply the result of normal oscillation in natural climate cycles.
They will look for evidence of temperature
changes caused by
ocean circulation patterns in both the North
Atlantic and tropical Pacific
Oceans, which drive precipitation in Tibet as well as the Indian monsoons.
«This implies that a very rapid transmission process must have operated, that linked rapid climate
change around Greenland with the otherwise sluggish deep
Atlantic Ocean circulation,» said Gottschalk.
...» Meltwater from glacial Lake Agassiz (southwest of Hudson Bay) draining catastrophically into the North
Atlantic via Lake Superior and the St. Laurence seaway was once thought to have initiated
ocean circulation changes leading to the Younger Dryas cold period.
Climate
change is playing a major role in the slowing down of the
circulation of the
Atlantic Ocean.
Millennial - scale glacial variability versus Holocene stability:
Changes in planktic and benthic foraminifera faunas and
ocean circulation in the North
Atlantic during the last 60,000 years.
The 8.2 kyr event qualifies as an abrupt
change by almost any definition (except that adopted by the NRC panel on the subject curiously) and was most likely tied to the catastrophic final draining of paleo - lake Agassiz and subsequent
changes in the North
Atlantic ocean circulation (see a summary of some of our recent research on the topic).
A number of recent studies linking
changes in the North
Atlantic ocean circulation to sea ice extent led Yeager to think that it would also be possible to make decadal predictions for Arctic winter sea ice cover using the NCAR - based Community Earth System Model...
For years, perhaps decades, Gray has been ascribing all sorts of climate
changes and hurricane cycles to fluctuations in the Thermohaline
Circulation (THC), an overturning circulation in the Atlantic ocean associated with formation of deep water in the Nort
Circulation (THC), an overturning
circulation in the Atlantic ocean associated with formation of deep water in the Nort
circulation in the
Atlantic ocean associated with formation of deep water in the North
Atlantic.
James Hansen, PhD, concludes that with further warming, which experts acknowledge is inevitable,
changes in North
Atlantic Ocean circulation could result in «superstorms» unlike any in human history.
Hoerling and Kumar (2003) attributed the drought to
changes in atmospheric
circulation associated with warming of the western tropical Pacific and Indian
oceans, while McCabe et al. (2004) have produced evidence suggesting that the confluence of both Pacific decadal and
Atlantic multi-decadal fluctuations is involved.
«Modern data on
ocean circulation changes in AMOC - Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and SMOC - Southern MOC ar
circulation changes in AMOC -
Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation, and SMOC - Southern MOC ar
Circulation, and SMOC - Southern MOC are examined.
This correction
changes the overall salt budget for the
Atlantic, also
changing the stability of the model's
ocean circulation in future climate
change.
eg «These studies provide new insights on the sensitivity and response of meridional
ocean circulation to melt water inputs to the North
Atlantic high latitudes (e.g., Bamberg et al., 2010; Irvali et al., 2012; Morley et al., 2011) and their potential role in amplifying small radiative variations into large a climate response through dynamic
changes in
ocean - atmosphere interactions (e.g., Morely et al., 2011; Irvali et al., 2012; Morley et al., 2014).
A recent paper by Vecchi and Soden (preprint) published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters has been widely touted in the news (and some egregiously bad editorials), and the blogosphere as suggesting that increased vertical wind shear associated with tropical
circulation changes may offset any tendencies for increased hurricane activity in the tropical
Atlantic due to warming
oceans.
It will take some time to integrate the findings of this study with other evidence of
changes in North
Atlantic ocean circulation, including the
changes seen in salinity,
changes in the so - called
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)(see e.g. Knight et al, 2005 and references therein) and other indicators of
Atlantic climate
change (e.g. Dickson et al, 2002).
Some of these
changes have a regularity within broad limits and the planet responds with a broad regularity in
changes of ice, cloud,
Atlantic thermohaline
circulation and
ocean and atmospheric
circulation.
He concluded that the latter is caused by
changes in the North
Atlantic ocean circulation, also called the Gulf Stream System.
The 8.2 kyr event qualifies as an abrupt
change by almost any definition (except that adopted by the NRC panel on the subject curiously) and was most likely tied to the catastrophic final draining of paleo - lake Agassiz and subsequent
changes in the North
Atlantic ocean circulation (see a summary of some of our recent research on the topic).
There are continuing major questions about the future of the great ice sheets of Greenland and West Antarctica; the thawing of vast deposits of frozen methane;
changes in the
circulation patterns of the North
Atlantic; the potential for runaway warming; and the impacts of
ocean carbonization and acidification.
The jet stream off the East Coast of the United States controls an important climate pattern in the
Atlantic... «The North
Atlantic Oscillation is really driving these
changes in
ocean circulation,» said Gerald McCarthy, lead study author and an oceanographer at the University of Southampton in the United Kingdom....
On the other hand, the AMO hypothesis asserts that natural
changes in the deep water
circulation of the
Atlantic Ocean drive hurricane season SST resulting in
changes to both hurricane activity and GT.
--
Ocean warming and
circulation changes will reduce the rate of carbon uptake in the Southern
Ocean and North
Atlantic.
The
Atlantic Ocean circulation that carries warmth into the Northern Hemisphere's high latitudes is slowing down because of climate
change - and is at its weakest point in the past 1,600 years.
Strong evidence from
ocean sediment data and from modelling links abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period and glacial - interglacial transition to changes in the Atlantic Ocean circula
ocean sediment data and from modelling links abrupt climate
changes during the last glacial period and glacial - interglacial transition to
changes in the
Atlantic Ocean circula
Ocean circulation.
Some of these control variables have a regularity within broad limits and the planet responds over decades to millennia with a broad regularity in
changes of ice, cloud,
Atlantic thermohaline
circulation and
ocean and atmospheric
circulation.
The
changing phases of
Atlantic hurricane activity are not completely understood; but there appears to be a link to fluctuations in the thermohaline
circulation, the global pattern of
ocean currents which in western Europe appears as the Gulf Stream.
In a recent technical comment, Zhang et al. show that
ocean dynamics play a central role in the
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), and the previous claims that «the AMO is a thermodynamic response of the
ocean mixed layer to stochastic atmospheric forcing, and
ocean circulation changes have no role in causing the AMO» are not justified.
New evidence is also suggesting that
changes in
ocean circulation patterns played a very important role in bringing warmer seawater into the North
Atlantic.
«The authors write that «the notorious tropical bias problem in climate simulations of global coupled general
circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial Atlantic Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a major effect on sea - surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AM
circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly in the tropical
Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial
Atlantic Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias in the eastern equatorial
Atlantic has a major effect on sea - surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid
change in the
Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AM
Circulation (AMOC).»
The impact of
changes in the
ocean overturning
circulation on climate has become a hot topic today as global temperatures rise and melting sea ice and glaciers add freshwater to the North
Atlantic.
Evidence from the Pacific and the
Atlantic suggests that nutrient supply to the upper productive layer of the
ocean is declining due to reductions in the Meridional Overturning
Circulation and upwelling (McPhaden and Zhang, 2002; Curry and Mauritzen, 2005) and
changes in the deposition of wind - borne nutrients.
This basin - wide
change in the
Atlantic climate (both warming and cooling) induces a basin - scale sea surface temperature seesaw with the Pacific
Ocean, which in turn modifies the position of the Walker
circulation (the language by which the tropical basins communicate) and the strength of the Pacific trade winds.
25: Coasts), due primarily to land subsidence, 5 although recent research suggests that
changes in
ocean circulation in the North
Atlantic — specifically, a weakening of the Gulf Stream — may also play a role.6
Slow variations in upper
ocean heat content that have been observed in the subpolar and marginal ice zone regions of the
Atlantic since the mid-twentieth century are thought to be related to
changes in the strength of the
Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AMOC).
«Feb. 25, 2008 — Predictions that the 21st century is safe from major
circulation changes in the North
Atlantic Ocean may not be as comforting as they seem, according to a Penn State researcher.»
Salinity
changes at subpolar North
Atlantic are known to affect deep - water formation to initiate such an
ocean circulation shift.
Changes in
Atlantic Ocean circulation historically meant roughly 30 warmer years followed by 30 cooler years.
These millennial - scale teleconnections resulted from the bipolar seesaw behaviour of the
Atlantic Ocean related to changes in the ocean circula
Ocean related to
changes in the
ocean circula
ocean circulation.
Salinity
changes at subpolar North
Atlantic are known to affect deep - water formation to initiate such an
ocean circulation shift (25).
Oceanographers also had reasons to believe that the pattern of North
Atlantic Ocean circulation could
change on a short timescale.