Sentences with phrase «atmospheric prediction system»

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«As a result, some atmospheric circulations systems can not be resolved by these models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy of climate change predictions as shown in our study.»
Dr. Nehrkorn's 30 year research tenure at AER has included work on numerical weather prediction models, data assimilation systems, humidity to cloud relationships, three dimensional analysis of atmospheric quantities and studies of the angular momentum budget of the atmosphere.
Metzger et al. (NRL Stennis Space Center), 5.0 (3.4 - 6.0), Modeling The Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) 3.1 was run in forecast mode without data assimilation, initialized with July 1, 2015 ice / ocean analyses, for ten simulations using National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) atmospheric forcing fields from 2005 - 2014.
The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) data were used for atmospheric forcing along WRF lateral boundaries from 1979 until the respective initialization date and time.
«Reducing the wide range of uncertainty inherent in current model predictions of global climate change will require major advances in understanding and modeling of both (1) the factors that determine atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols, and (2) the so - called «feedbacks» that determine the sensitivity of the climate system to a prescribed increase in greenhouse gases.»
NRL - ocn - ice, 5.2 (4.3 - 6.0), Modeling (ice - ocean) The Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) 3.1 was run in forecast mode without data assimilation, initialized with June 1, 2016 ice / ocean analyses, for ten simulations using National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) atmospheric forcing fields from 2005 - 2014.
The ECMWF provides its supercomputer - run Integrated Forecasting System, a world - renowned numerical weather prediction model, as a basis for some Copernicus services, such as atmospheric forecasts and reanalysis data.
Predictions of sea ice changes will have large uncertainties without sustained observations; improved understanding of ice, ocean, land, and atmospheric processes; and advances in coupled and system models.
The decadal predictions system, Met Office decadal prediction system: DePreSys, achieves this by starting predictions from observed atmospheric and oceanic conditions, and including projected emissions of greenhouse gases and variations in natural climate forcings (volcanic and solar activity).
Specifically, key parameters of the Human System, such as fertility, health, migration, economic inequality, unemployment, GDP per capita, resource use per capita, and emissions per capita, must depend on the dynamic variables of the Human — Earth coupled system.26 Not including these feedbacks would be like trying to make El Niño predictions using dynamic atmospheric models but with sea surface temperatures as an external input based on future projections independently produced (e.g., by the UN) without feedSystem, such as fertility, health, migration, economic inequality, unemployment, GDP per capita, resource use per capita, and emissions per capita, must depend on the dynamic variables of the Human — Earth coupled system.26 Not including these feedbacks would be like trying to make El Niño predictions using dynamic atmospheric models but with sea surface temperatures as an external input based on future projections independently produced (e.g., by the UN) without feedsystem.26 Not including these feedbacks would be like trying to make El Niño predictions using dynamic atmospheric models but with sea surface temperatures as an external input based on future projections independently produced (e.g., by the UN) without feedbacks.
Using datasets of actual temperatures recorded by the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (NASA GISS), the United Kingdom's Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research at the University of East Anglia (Hadley - CRU), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), satellites measuring atmospheric and deep oceanic temperatures, and a remote sensor system in California, Christy found that «all show a lack of warming over the past 17 years.»
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