In 2001, the IPCC was Mann, as Lead
Author on climate variability, and a handful of cronies.
Not exact matches
Using an interdisciplinary approach that combined evidence from
climate modelling of large 20th - century eruptions, annual measurements of Nile summer flood heights from the Islamic Nilometer — the longest - known human record of environmental
variability — between 622 and 1902, as well as descriptions of Nile flood quality in ancient papyri and inscriptions from the Ptolemaic era, the
authors show how large volcanic eruptions impacted
on Nile river flow, reducing the height of the agriculturally - critical summer flood.
Global warming was not yet an issue at the KNMI where the focus was much more
on climate variability, which explains why the article of Hansen et al. was unnoticed at that time by the second
author.
Global warming was not yet an issue at the KNMI where the focus was much more
on climate variability, which explains why the article of Hansen et al. was unnoticed at that time by the second
author.
However, in the paper the
authors actually stated that «our conclusion about the dominance of the CRF over
climate variability is valid only
on multimillion - year time scales».
Lead
author Dr Debbie Polson, of the University of Edinburgh's School of GeoSciences, said: «This study shows for the first time that the drying of the monsoon over the past 50 years can not be explained by natural
climate variability and that human activity has played a significant role in altering the seasonal monsoon rainfall
on which billions of people depend.»
Mann was a Lead
Author on the Observed
Climate Variability and Change chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report in 2001 and organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003.
Betts says:» the
authors seem to assume that
climate science is entirely focussed
on anthropogenic
climate change, and that natural
variability is only researched as a supplementary issue in order to support the conclusions regarding anthropogenic influence.»
«The
authors write that «the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a naturally occurring fluctuation,» whereby «
on a timescale of two to seven years, the eastern equatorial Pacific
climate varies between anomalously cold (La Niña) and warm (El Niño) conditions,» and that «these swings in temperature are accompanied by changes in the structure of the subsurface ocean,
variability in the strength of the equatorial easterly trade winds, shifts in the position of atmospheric convection, and global teleconnection patterns associated with these changes that lead to variations in rainfall and weather patterns in many parts of the world,» which end up affecting «ecosystems, agriculture, freshwater supplies, hurricanes and other severe weather events worldwide.»»
«The
authors write that North Pacific Decadal
Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global
climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global
climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled
climate models is an important «open question in
climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century
climate... conclude that «for implications
on future
climate change, the coupled
climate models show no consensus
on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
Dr. Chris Landsea (a supporter of the natural
variability explanation), even resigned in January 2005 as a contributing
author to the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC), after the co-ordinating lead
author for his section, Dr. Kevin Trenberth (a supporter of the man - made global warming explanation) held a press conference, implying that the IPCC considered the high hurricane activity of 2004 to be related to man - made global warming.
I co-edited and contributed to the 2003 American Geophysical Union Monograph: The North Atlantic Oscillation: significance and environmental impact and was one of the
authors of the 1995 National Academies report
on Climate Variability on Decade - to - Century Time Scales.
This short review concludes with an emphasis
on the contribution of the
author's research
on the empirical evidences and physical modeling of both solar and
climate variability based
on astronomical harmonics.