Interestingly, the total Dow Jones Industrial
Average rewarded investors with exactly the same return — 10.8 % for the last 20 years.
Not exact matches
When
investors start at a modest CAPE of 16, they're
rewarded, on
average, with 10 % annual gains over the next decade.
...
investors deploying cash today will be
rewarded with above
average returns over the months to come.
Investor demand for above -
average risk /
reward opportunities has been met with new outlets for speculation, the result of which is that new risk capital available for exploration for supply - starved commodities such as zinc, copper, gold and silver is dwindling.
Rich global valuations, predominantly thin risk premiums, and uniformly rising global interest rates haven't
rewarded investors historically, on
average.
Looking back through history, whenever value stocks have gotten this cheap, subsequent long - term returns have generally been strong.3 From current depressed valuation levels, value stocks have in the past, on
average, doubled over the next five years.4 Not that we necessarily expect returns of this magnitude this time around, but based on the data and our six decades of experience investing through various market cycles, we believe the current risk /
reward proposition is heavily skewed in favor of long - term value
investors.
Because risk and
reward are related, an aggressive
investor can also expect returns that are, on
average and over time, higher than those of someone with a moderate or conservative portfolio.
Only novel and risky business and investment initiatives could potentially offer above -
average returns the borrower may then use as an earnings
reward for
investors.
From 2006 through 2015, the 10 - year Treasury bond — a proxy for bond returns —
rewarded investors with a 4.71 percent
average return.
From 1927 to 2014, dividends
rewarded investors with an annual
average return of.7 % above the market.
In contrast, the enterprising (or active)
investor is devoted to finding securities that are «both sound and more attractive than the
average» and, over time, should be
rewarded by earning a higher
average return than the defensive, or passive
investor.
Because of the high transaction costs and the sophistication needed to trade them efficiently, options are not a suitable trade for
average investors unless they really want to pump up the risk -
reward they are assuming.
While the
average US
investor stays (insanely) close to home, those with European exposure (again, presuming they were unhedged) were doubly
rewarded — with currency boosting their returns to +18 - 23 % (in dollar terms) across the region (& actually besting their S&P return!).
The regression predicted extraordinarily high returns for REIT
investors over the next 12 months at +29 percent — and indeed
investors who bought in to REITs at that time were
rewarded with total returns
averaging +26.37 percent that outpaced the broad stock market by 33.83 percentage points.
To take the extreme case, it's very rare for the Baa - rated corporate bond yield to be less than the
average REIT dividend yield: that has happened only at times when
investors were most dramatically avoiding REITs, most recently in March 2009 at the lowest point of the Great Financial Crisis — and in the 12 months following that episode, those
investors who bucked the market and bought into REITs were
rewarded with total returns that exceeded 100 percent.