For a 10
C upper limit, adding 2 C should matter even less.
Not exact matches
The
upper limit of the range remains the same in both reports — 4.5
C (8.1 F)-- he noted, while most mainstream scientists put their «best guess» for climate sensitivity somewhere in the middle of the range, between 2.5 and 3.5
C.
ABI indicates ankle - brachial index; ALT, alanine transaminase; ASCVD, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; CAC, coronary artery calcium; CK, creatine kinase; FH, familial hypercholesterolemia; LDL -
C, low - density lipoprotein cholesterol; MI, myocardial infarction; RCT, randomized controlled trial; and ULN,
upper limit of normal.
Although vitamin
C is absolutely vital for cognitive development of infants during pregnancy and there are higher dietary requirements during this time, the
upper daily intake
limit is not known.
What the above (conservative non-carbon feedback) numbers tell us is very clear: strong reduction in demand in the near term is required if we are to avoid going much above Hansen's prior - Holocene experience target of ~ 1.1
C (we are basically committed to the
upper limit of Hansen's recommendation already), along with introduction of renewables to prepare for a carbon - free future.
While Annan and Hargreaves gave an
upper limit (at 5 %) of 4.5
C, Annan suggests that this is actually being generous with the uncertainty in his blog — not that this matters so much until the technical paper comes out which demonstrates a narrower range.
If industry - generated aerosols have a more
limited cooling effect than originally thought, we can clean up and scale down dirty coal plants without worrying too much about consequent sudden jumps in global temperatures of up to 2 degrees
C (if I remember the
upper limits of earlier studies correctly).
Its median climate sensitivity estimate of 1.6
C wsn't materially changed by the replot, but the
upper tail was fattened, with the
upper 97.5 % confidence
limit being increased from 4.1
C to 8.6
C.
However, Judith has recently claimed a 1 - 10 deg
C range (90 % confidence
limits) for 2x
C02 so, presumably, there must be reasonable grounds for thinking that the
upper limit prior must be higher than 7.5 degC?
So something like 2000
C is closer to a more realistic
upper limit - and someone could do the math but I think most of atmosphere would not escape the gravity well of earth at least in an immediate sense.
The EU's support for a 1.5
C upper temperature rise
limit is disingenuous when it is not committing to more action.
So, until the empirical evidence can be presented to tell us what the long - term climate response to a doubling of CO2 really is in actual fact, I am prepared to accept these latest estimates, with 1.7
C as a provisional
upper limit.
Finally, it's slightly off - topic, because we are discussing Charney type sensitivities for climate responses that are discernible over the course of perhaps a few centuries at most, but Jim Hansen has argued that when longer term responses are included (e.g., disappearance of land - based ice sheets), a reasonable modal value is 6
C per doubling, and an
upper limit is considerably higher.
I think that from the point of view of the vulnerable countries, the 1.5
C limit in the Paris Agreement was always seen as an
upper limit.
The
upper limit of the 5 — 95 % confidence intervals for the studies with PDFs in IPCC Figure 9.20 are given (Table 9.3) in
C as: 8.9, 9.3, 9.2, infinity, 11.8 and (for FG - 2006) 14.2.
Therefore I should have used 3.0
C as
upper limit for TCR leading to 1.05
C rather than 1.0
C for the
upper limit for CO2 induced warming.
By 2100, tropical regions would also experience warm spells lasting up to 50 percent longer in a 2
C world than at 1.5
C. «For heat - related extremes, the additional 0.5
C increase marks the difference between events at the
upper limit of present - day natural variability and a new climate regime, particularly in tropical regions,» Schleussner said.
IPCC2013 SPM - 10 admitted there may be «in some models, an overestimate of the response to increasing greenhouse gas and other anthropogenic forcing (dominated by the effects of aerosols)», but retained the alarming
upper limit of 4.5 º
C from IPCC2007.
In Jones et al 1990 it is reported that data for the US showed an urban influence of 0.15
C over the period 1901 - 1984 and that «The results for the United States clearly represent an
upper limit to the urban influence on hemispheric temperature trends.»
Don't you FIRST have to, somehow, assess [
c] the
upper limit of the * very * likely, or * extremely * likely, range (w / o collapse contributions) and THEN add [a] the
upper limit of the collapse contribution (ie, and THEN add the.5 m)?
Taking both the
upper limit of the 4 — 5
C warming range and a lower
limit for the forcing change, deducting Kohler's 1.9 W / m2
upper limit of uncertainty from the 9.5 W / m2 change in forcing, implies an
upper bound for the ECS estimate of 2.44
C.