Sentences with phrase «cmip5 model intercomparison»

Then you have clearly not reality - checked your assertions - see the CMIP5 Model Intercomparison Project for the forcing data used, and A Summary of the CMIP5 Experiment Design for details on the various runs of the comparison project.

Not exact matches

They then looked at 11 different climate models that predict precipitation and CAPE through this century and are archived in the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
The researchers looked at a combination of roughly 50 climate models from around the world that are part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), which is part of the World Climate Research Programme.
The climate projections show on this map are based on Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 (van Vuuren et al., 2012) experiments run by global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) exercise (Taylor et al., 2012).
[CMIP5] Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
For the work of the Montana Climate Assessment, we employed an ensemble from the fifth iteration of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), which includes up to 42 GCMs depending on the experiment conducted (CMIP5 undated).
Caldeira and Myhrvold analyzed more than 50 climate simulations, which were performed using 20 different climate models for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5).
Using the business - as - usual scenario for GHG radiative forcing (RCP8.5) and their novel estimate of Earth's warm - phase climate sensitivity the authors find that the resulting warming during the 21st century overlaps with the upper range of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate simulations.
This study utilizes both multi-ensembles of a single model: Community Earth System Model (CESM) and multi-models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) arcmodel: Community Earth System Model (CESM) and multi-models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) arcModel (CESM) and multi-models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) arcModel Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) archive.
The SPARC database that was used for many global model runs for the Climate Modelling Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) displays the least interannual variability and the most conservative trends in ozone of the available databases.
Precipitation extremes and their potential future changes were predicted using six - member ensembles of general circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).
Previous predictions starting from November 1960 are in red, and 22 model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) are in gmodel simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) are in gModel Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) are in green.
As Christy's figure here shows, the surface temperature data (NCDC, NASA, and HadCRUT4 shown in triangles, squares, and x's, respectively) fall within the envelope of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model model runs.
· Driscoll, S., A. Bozzo, L. J. Gray, A. Robock, and G. Stenchikov (2012), Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions, J. Geophys.
Climate scenarios from the Half a degree Additional warming, Projections, Prognosis and Impacts project (HAPPI) are largely consistent with transient scenarios extracted from RCP4.5 simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5).
The fact that the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble mean accurately represents observed global OHC changes [Cheng et al., 2016] is critical for establishing the reliability of climate models for long - term climate change projections.
Using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) ensemble, Jascha Lehmann from Germany's Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and colleagues rolled climate forward to 2100 and looked at the change in storm tracks under a high carbon - dioxide - emissions scenario.
In his talk, «Statistical Emulation of Streamflow Projections: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Change Projections,» PCIC Lead of Hydrological Impacts, Markus Schnorbus, explored whether the streamflow projections based on a 23 - member hydrological ensemble are representative of the full range of uncertainty in streamflow projections from all of the models from the third phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
Wang & Zhang (2013, http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00721.1): «Both observations and most of the phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models also show that the warm (cold) phase of the AMO is associated with a surface warming (cooling) and a subsurface cooling (warming) in the tropical North Atlantic (TNA).
This approach provides a hybrid assessment of the combined influence of anthropogenic climate change [determined from the ensemble - mean of the CESM - LE or from the multi-model Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) archive (Taylor et al. 2012)-RSB- and observed NAO variability on climate over the coming decades.
The GISS climate models presented are those stored in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) archive.
In comparison, the Coupled Models Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble mean accounts for 87 % of the observed global mean temperature variance.
The study uses recently updated surface air temperature datasets assessed by the IPCC, and climate change simulations from models participating in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
«The NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX - GDDP) dataset is comprised of downscaled climate scenarios for the globe that are derived from the General Circulation Model (GCM) runs conducted under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and across two of the four greenhouse gas emissions scenarios known as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).
«The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity ranges from 2.1 °C to 4.7 °C and is very similar to the assessment in theModel Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity ranges from 2.1 °C to 4.7 °C and is very similar to the assessment in themodel spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity ranges from 2.1 °C to 4.7 °C and is very similar to the assessment in the AR4.
Here seven GVMs are used to investigate possible responses of global natural terrestrial vegetation to a major new set of future climate and atmospheric CO2 projections generated as part of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(6), the primary climate modeling contribution to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment.
Alternatively, an automated procedure based on a cluster initialization algorithm is proposed and applied to changes in 27 climate extremes indices between 1986 — 2005 and 2081 — 2100 from a large ensemble of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations.
Here we assess the reliability of AW in the 21st century climate projections by 20 climate models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
Hezel and colleagues (2012), who developed a model to project April snow depths into the 21st century to see how ringed seals might be affected by global warming, used simulated data generated by other models developed by the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5; explained in Taylor et al. 2012); Hudson Bay, Foxe Basin and Davis Strait regions were not included in this analmodel to project April snow depths into the 21st century to see how ringed seals might be affected by global warming, used simulated data generated by other models developed by the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5; explained in Taylor et al. 2012); Hudson Bay, Foxe Basin and Davis Strait regions were not included in this analModel Intercomparison Project (CMIP5; explained in Taylor et al. 2012); Hudson Bay, Foxe Basin and Davis Strait regions were not included in this analysis.
Elevated sea temperatures drive impacts such as mass coral bleaching and mortality (very high confidence), with an analysis of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble projecting the loss of coral reefs from most sites globally by 2050 under mid to high rates of ocean warming (very likely).
This hindcast setting roughly follows the experimental design of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP5) for decadal climate prediction (Taylor et al. 2009; Murphy et al. 2010).
They then looked at 11 different climate models that predict precipitation and CAPE through this century and are archived in the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
In addition to collaborative work we do with these models, one of the primary ways that these models contribute to the scientific community's attempt to reduce uncertainty in future carbon uptake is through participation in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).
In this plot from IPCC (2013 Fig. 9.8), the thin colored lines represent individual models from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) and the simpler Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC) and the thick red lines their means, while the thick black lines represent three observed temperature sequmodels from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) and the simpler Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC) and the thick red lines their means, while the thick black lines represent three observed temperature sequModels of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC) and the thick red lines their means, while the thick black lines represent three observed temperature sequences.
Initiatives such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) can be useful but do not test basic assumptions such as linearity and feedback common to most models.
We analyze global climate model simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)model simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(51).
Activity between 2012 - 2013 was focused on evaluating the emerging international archive of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (WCRP CMIP5) and developing strategies to efficiently represent the diversity of results that CMIP5 will provide under the new «Representative Concentration Pathways» greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.
The study uses an extensive suite of existing simulations with the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrologic model driven by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) climate simulations to train and evaluate the nonlinear and nonstationary Generalized Extreme Value conditional density network (GEVcdn) model of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenamodel driven by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) climate simulations to train and evaluate the nonlinear and nonstationary Generalized Extreme Value conditional density network (GEVcdn) model of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenaModel Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) climate simulations to train and evaluate the nonlinear and nonstationary Generalized Extreme Value conditional density network (GEVcdn) model of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenamodel of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenamodel to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenarios.
Analyses of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) multimodel ensemble of global warming simulations confirm the validity of the diagnostic method that separates the fast and slow responses.
We then used daily climate projections (from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 [CMIP5]-RRB- under strong (i.e., representative concentration pathway [RCP] 2.6), moderate (i.e., RCP 4.5), and business - as - usual (i.e., RCP 8.5) mitigation scenarios to quantify the number of days in a given year that fall within climate thresholds for plant growth.
There is a large ongoing effort as part of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project - Phase 5 (CMIP5) to make projections about the future climate that will account both of these influences.
Change in land carbon storage projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).
Other researchers uncovered large uncertainties in climate predictions made by the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), a widely used, multimodel tool for climate analysis.
Change in net primary productivity (plant growth) projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).
We investigate the performance of the newest generation multi-model ensemble (MME) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).
The IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) relies heavily on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5), a collaborative climate modelling process coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP).
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