Analysis of
CO2 emission trends in four major cement - producing countries showed that energy efficiency improvement and reduction of clinker content in cement were the main factors contributing to emission reduction, while the carbon intensity of fuel mix in all countries increased slightly.
Not exact matches
From 1990 to 2008 the US increased its
CO2 emissions by 12 per cent while the EU decreased its by 9 per cent, despite broadly similar economic growth
trends (see «Peak planet: Carbon dioxide
emissions «-RRB-.
They credited drops in
CO2 emissions from the United States and China as the primary drivers of the
trend.
Global GHG
emissions continue to be dominated by fossil carbon dioxide (
CO2)
emissions, which however show a slowdown
trend since 2012, and were stalled for the third year in a row in 2016.
Global warming became big news for the first time during the hot summer of 1988 when now - retired NASA climate scientist James Hansen testified before Congress that the
trend was not part of natural climate variation, but rather the result of
emissions of
CO2 and other greenhouse gasses from human activities.
«Westernized» diets in poor countries raise
CO2 emissions Also important to the food
emissions sphere is the growing
trend of «westernizing» diets in low - and middle - income countries.
If current
emission trends continue, by 2100,
CO2 concentration would be higher than the Earth has seen in more than 10 million years.
No, I think most indicators suggest a moderate medium term warming
trend that started well before any significant man made
CO2 emissions and continues to this date.
Still, a great portion of the «summary for policymakers» deals with the recent temperature rise, and it concludes that it's «likely» that there is a human contribution to the observed
trend (by which I assume
CO2 emissions are especially understood, even more so considered the negative forcings mentioned).
The
trend is one of the hallmarks of global warming and tightly tied with the rise in human
CO2 emissions.
This paper provides an overview of recent
trends in light - duty vehicle fuel economy around the world, new projections, and a discussion of fuel economy technology opportunities and costs over the next 30 - 50 years - all in the context of recent IEA projections of global energy use (especially oil use) and
CO2 emissions.
If current
trends continue, the 2.0 - litre TDI Ultra diesel with 187bhp will be by far the most popular engine, thanks to its economy of up to 68.9 mpg and
CO2 emissions of 108g / km, for a company - car friendly Benefit - in - Kind (BiK) band of 23 %.
In order to meet the forthcoming
CO2 emission specifications without losses in terms of torque and performance, there are two central
trends when it comes to combustion units: downsizing (which means turbocharged engines with fewer cylinders and less engine displacement); and downspeeding, which is the reduction of the engine speeds combined with a maximum torque that is applied at a very early stage.
EPA released the latest edition of its annual report on
trends in
CO2 emissions, fuel economy and powertrain technology for new personal vehicles in the US.
The
trend for diesel registrations declining and increases in SUV registrations, combined with rising gasoline registrations, follows the recent news that
CO2 emissions increased by 0.3 g / km in 2017.
In order for Cook to produce the necessary «correlation» between
CO2 emissions and the various warming and cooling
trends of the last 100 years or so it is necessary to see
CO2 as «the dominant forcing.»
but of course we'll be able to control the planet's temperature fluctuations and inconvenient excesses, and precisely guide geohistorical climatic
trends over the next decades and centuries by regulating our
co2 emissions.
Victor @ 28 citing some incredible ass: In order for Cook to produce the necessary «correlation» between
CO2 emissions and the various warming and cooling
trends of the last 100 years or so it is necessary to see
CO2 as «the dominant forcing.»
MA: Munshi then ventures briefly into the issue of calibration of satellite data and in so doing, badly misrepresents Nerem et al (2018) and adds a little Victor - the - Trollishness by plotting 25 - year SLR
trends against annual FF
CO2 emissions.
There was in fact no longer much evidence that
CO2 emissions were the cause of the warming
trend over the last 20 or so years of the 20th Century......... causality always implies correlation.»
But that in itself doesn't rule out the possibility of an underlying
trend that would correlate with the monotonic
trend we see in graphs representing the steady increase in
CO2 emissions.
Ironically, even if the present
trends continued, the resulting extra oil demand and
CO2 emissions would be small relative to China's other energy needs and
emissions.
In our analysis we found that an urban development strategy focused on access for all, rather than for a minority who use cars, with congestion pricing, realistic parking charges, and speed limits low enough to stop the slaughter of pedestrians and cyclists would as a co-benefit also reduce oil use and
CO2 emissions from cars to barely more than twice today's levels in 2020, way below the
trends.
When I wrote «In either case, we see no evidence of any long term warming
trend, in either the atmosphere or the ocean,» that should have read «long term warming
trend due to
CO2 emissions...» There may be some evidence consistent with long term warming in the oceans, but I can't see how that could be due to
CO2, for reasons given above.
Atmospheric
CO2 will very likely exceed 400 ppm in the next one or two decades given current carbon
emission trends and the inertia of the energy and the whole socio - economic system.
«In a scenario of zeroed
CO2 and sulfate aerosol
emissions, whether the warming induced by specified constant concentrations of non-
CO2 greenhouse gases could slow the
CO2 decline following zero
emissions or even reverse this
trend and cause
CO2 to increase over time is assessed.
«If current
trends in
CO2 emissions continue unabated,» says Caldeira, «in the next few decades, we will produce chemical conditions in the oceans that have not been seen for tens of millions of years.
Nevertheless, if the effects of
CO2 emissions can reach the ocean only via the atmosphere as intermediary, we would expect any
trends in the atmosphere to be followed by corresponding
trends in the ocean, at a distance of: decades.
Despite an approximate 35 % monthly increase in human
CO2 emissions subsequent to the Super El Niño, the global warming
trend decelerated to a per century
trend some 50 % less than that prior to the El Niño event.
However, human
CO2 emissions have been increasing faster than ever since 1994 so why would the cooling stratospheric temperature
trend have stopped?
But of course the pace of the temperature
trend also depends on the global future
emissions outlook and on remaining uncertainties surrounding climate sensitivity — or the politically most relevant metric «Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric
CO2 concentration.
CO2 trend 1959 - 2008: increase according to temperature formula: ~ 50 ppmv addition by human
emissions: ~ 110 ppmv observed in the atmosphere: ~ 60 ppmv removed by some (unknown) sinks: 100 ppmv
According to us, the
trend itself is fully caused by the
emissions and the temperature increase 1959 - 2008 results in only a very small increase of
CO2, of the same order as the short term influence seen around the
trend.
The «Synapse Electricity Snapshot 2016» (available here) highlights several major
trends in 2015 electric - sector capacity, generation, and
CO2 emissions.
Again, the
emissions trend, be it more irregular, due to the resolution and accuracy of the ice core measurements and
emission inventories, is far superior over the temperature -
CO2 trend.
Monitor
trends in energy use and
CO2 emissions: follow the evolution of 50 global energy efficiency indicators to better understand policies» impact.
Yes, at first sight both human
emissions and temperatures seems to be candidates to explains longterm
trends in
CO2 rise / time.
Volcanic activity proceeds over the decades at a level of only about 1 percent of industrial
CO2 emissions, and even major eruptions observed during the past century have changed atmospheric
CO2 trends only minimally and transiently.
Sorry, made a mistake, the
emissions / increase / temperature curve I have plotted is based on the HadSST temperature data, not from UAH, as these start only after 1979... That doesn't change much in the relationship temperature -
CO2, only the HadSST
trend is somewhat higher in the overlapping period.
Since 1997, the continental U.S. suffers from a significant cooling
trend, per NOAA... will
CO2 emissions be able to save us from the looming next ice age?
That is in fact resolved by our formula: The huge influence of temperature on
CO2 increase speed still holds, but is limited in time, while the
trend itself is completely attributed to the
emissions:
The climate downside to this
trend is methane «slip» —
emissions of unburned methane, a far more potent greenhouse gas than
CO2 (per pound), a problem that marine engine manufacturers are beginning to tackle.
The recent strong increase in fossil fuel
CO2 emissions is mainly driven by an increase in
emissions from coal, whereas
emissions from oil and gas to a large degree follow the
trend from the 1990s.
According to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and based on
trends in
CO2 emissions growth over the past decade, global growth will completely replace an elimination of all 2010
CO2 emissions from RGGI states in 190 days.
The only
trend I see in those 161 years is one that correlates beautifully with all estimates of increasing atmospheric
CO2 since 1850 assuming that 45 % of
emissions (as per CDIAC datasets) is retained in the atmosphere and, with a delay of around 15 years (possibly due to the ocean heatsink, aka Hansen's «pipeline»), heats the surface by 2.8 - 2.9 C for each doubling of atmospheric
CO2.
As far as I am aware that is related to striving for dynamic balance between
CO2 emissions to atmosphere and absorptions of
CO2 from atmosphere to other parts of environment; and in addition
CO2 content
trends in atmosphere seem to follow
trends of climate temperature and not vice versa; https://judithcurry.com/2017/03/11/scott-pruitts-statement-on-climate-change/#comment-841843
And that
trend helps explain why there has been at least a partial break in the previously lockstep rise of global GDP and
CO2 emissions, which historically have increased at about the same levels.
This inconvenient (truth) fact totally refutes the hypothesis that the recent (in my IMO soon to be showed to be entirely an artefact of the adjustments anyway) warming
trend at the end of the 20th century was probably not due to man's
emissions of
CO2 and other GHGs.
EPA acted on the court's decision with its 2009 «endangerment finding,» which exhaustively reviewed the science and concluded that, without action, rising
CO2 emissions would likely result in dangerous warming
trends harmful to human health and the economy.
Of course, if the NYTimes or WAPO or CNN or CBS or the AP were ever to report the actual cooling
trend over the last 15 years (despite the massive amounts of human
CO2 emissions) this would establish that they have been grossly misleading the public for years about consensus «global warming.»