Not exact matches
Estimates of the carbon footprint vary wildly, but Christopher Goodall, a businessman turned climate crusader who calculated the
impact of everything from miniature refrigerators to vacation travel for his book How to Live a Low - Carbon Life (Earthscan, 2007), puts it at three pounds of
CO2 per pound of cotton.
ECO2 developed a generic approach for
estimating consequences, probability and risk associated with sub-seabed
CO2 storage based on the assessment of the environmental value of local organisms as indicated for example by the Natura 2000 network of nature protection areas or the Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the North - East Atlantic (OSPAR), the vulnerability of environmental resources and possible
impacts on them as well as consequences and risks.
The U.S. government should tweak its approach for
estimating the financial
impacts of carbon dioxide (
CO2) pollution, which it uses in drafting new regulations, according to a report released today by the U.S. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NAS).
According to a fascinating report from the Cleantech Group, called The Environmental
Impact of Amazon's (s AMZN) Kindle, one e-Book device on average can displace the buying of about 22.5 physical books per year, and thus deliver an
estimated savings of 168 kg of
CO2 per year.
This causes
estimates of the
impact of
CO2 on temperature to be understated, if one assumes no lag or a short lag; and to be overstated if one assumes longer lags.
What this model shows is that if orbital variations in insolation
impact ice sheets directly in any significant way (which evidence suggests they do Roe (2006)-RRB-, then the regression between
CO2 and temperature over the glacial - interglacial cycles (which was used in Snyder (2016)-RRB- is a very biased (over)
estimate of ESS.
To
estimate the ESS from these cycles you'd need to know what the separate
impacts the
CO2 and the orbital forcing had on the ice sheets, and that is not possible just from these data.
They do cite a study by Lindzen and Choi, which has shown, based on ERBE satellite observations, that the net
impact of a doubling of
CO2 including all feedbacks is likely to be significantly lower than the model - based
estimates by Myhre for sensitivity without feedbacks.
Arrhenius spent a number of years trying to overcome this little obstacle before finally saying that the
impact of
CO2 was considerable less than his first
estimate and mentioning 1.6 (2.1) with water vapor was more likely.
An updated
estimate of the equilibrium climate sensitivity distribution (ECS)-- a measure of
CO2's temperature
impact — reduces the 2020
estimate of SCC by more than 40 percent; and
With the new ECS
estimate, the absolute maximum AGW
impact we could ever theoretically see from human
CO2 is around 2.4 C warming above today, when all fossil fuels are 100 % used up.
That
impact your
estimate of the magnitude of
CO2 forcing.
[7] Each individual
estimate of the SCC is the realization of a Monte Carlo simulation based on a draw from an equilibrium climate sensitivity distribution to model the
impact of
CO2 emissions on temperature.
The model, which captures fuel use in the power, transport, and other energy sectors out to 2030, with fuel responsiveness parameterized to empirical literature,
estimates the
impacts of mitigation policies on
CO2 emissions, revenue, premature deaths from local air pollution, household and industry groups.
In short, the temperature
impact of
CO2 is known within a significantly constrained range that excludes most denier
estimates of the
impact.
Now if you can figure out how much of the warming is due to
CO2 and how much is due to longer term natural ocean «sloshing» around, then you can come up with an educated
estimate of
impact due to
CO2.
What the three of you seem to be missing, it that it is becoming much more clearly understood that we still have much to learn regarding how
CO2 impacts the actual earth climate and that Hansen and Mann over
estimated its
impact upon the system in total.
We are not yet able to physically measure the net forcing
impact of increased
CO2 concentrations, however, and must rely on model simulations to
estimate this.
«Peak» land use, which
impacts the carbon cycle, occurred before the
estimate «peak» oil and is a more pressing issue in the long term than peak
CO2.
One is that the IPCC forcing central
estimate is 40 % larger than that from
CO2 alone since 1950 (due to other GHGs and possibly reduced aerosol
impacts relative to previous reports), so if you are going to use
CO2 alone, you should really add this other 40 % to match what has happened since 1950 and that is what they did.
We can
estimate how continuing to emit
CO2 into the atmosphere will
impact this.
«We can
estimate how continuing to emit
CO2 into the atmosphere will
impact this [the sea level rise].»
Recent studies show that there is great «uncertainty» on the postulated theoretical temperature
impact of doubling atmospheric
CO2 concentrations, with latest
estimates running around half the previous ones.
In any case, the
impact estimates that I presented in my previous post were based on the worst case (A1FI) scenario which, according to the HadCM3 model, would increase
CO2 concentrations to 810 ppm in 2085 and 970 ppm in 2100, and cause a 4 °C increase in average global temperatures between 1990 and 2085.
Do you think
CO2 impacts are grossly over
estimated?
Never mind the physics of
CO2 or its counter theories... Never mind the balance of positive and negative feedback mechanisms... Never mind
estimates of «
impacts»... Nor even the merits and demerits of wind turbines... The climate debate is at its core about the form of politics that established itself in the late 20th century.
The extent of the offset depends on whether climate sensitivity to
CO2 is on the larger or smaller end of the range of
estimates, and the magnitude of the solar
impact.
This is because our level of knowledge today is so rudimentary that we can not make any reasonable
estimates of what the
impact on climate of human
CO2 emissions has been in the past or will be in the future.
Based on this information and published atmospheric
CO2 data I can now
estimate the
CO2 impact on observed past warming and the observed 2xCO2
impact (or climate sensitivity), leaving out (for now) any notions of energy «hidden in the pipeline»..
Until someone can either corroborate and quantify (or falsify) the
CO2 GH
impact empirically, I'd be prepared to accept this
estimate.
That gas an equivalent eK effect of adding 1000 ppm of
CO2 to the lower atmosphere, about 10 x the Delta caused by
CO2 increases since 1900, and about 20 x the
estimated human
impact oN
CO2.
The SCC is an
estimate of the total
impact — most of which will occur in the future — from an additional ton of
CO2 emitted today.
The purpose of the «social cost of carbon» (SCC)
estimates presented here is to allow agencies to incorporate the social benefits of reducing carbon dioxide (
CO2) emissions into cost - benefit analyses of regulatory actions that
impact cumulative global emissions.
This new report from the Board on Environmental Change and Society informs future revisions to the social cost of carbon dioxide (SC -
CO2)
estimates used in federal regulatory
impact analyses.
Albedo level varies more from year to year creating an energy variation that likely exceeds the
estimated impact of human
CO2.
The analysis was partly based on a methane leakage
estimate of 1.5 % of natural gas consumed, a figure assumed by the federal government, methane of course having much more climate
impact per gram than
CO2.