abstract postscript pdf Pierrehumbert, RT and Erlick C 1997: On the scattering greenhouse effect of
CO2 ice clouds.
Not exact matches
The conclusion that limiting
CO2 below 450 ppm will prevent warming beyond two degrees C is based on a conservative definition of climate sensitivity that considers only the so - called fast feedbacks in the climate system, such as changes in
clouds, water vapor and melting sea
ice.
The median
ice composition H2O: CO:
CO2: CH3OH: NH3: CH4: XCN is 100:29:29:3:5:5:0.3 and 100:13:13:4:5:2:0.6 toward low - and high - mass protostars, respectively, and 100:31:38:4: -: -: - in
cloud cores.
It is important to regard the LGM studies as just one set of points in the
cloud yielded by other climate sensitivity estimates, but the LGM has been a frequent target because it was a period for which there is a lot of data from varied sources, climate was significantly different from today, and we have considerable information about the important drivers — like
CO2, CH4,
ice sheet extent, vegetation changes etc..
Scientists agree that a doubling of atmospheric
CO2 levels could result in temperature increases of between 1.5 and 4.5 °C, caused by rapid changes such as snow and
ice melt, and the behaviour of
clouds and water vapour.
In addition, since the global surface temperature records are a measure that responds to albedo changes (volcanic aerosols,
cloud cover, land use, snow and
ice cover) solar output, and differences in partition of various forcings into the oceans / atmosphere / land / cryosphere, teasing out just the effect of
CO2 + water vapor over the short term is difficult to impossible.
due to
co2 we are already living in a greenhouse.Whatever one does in that greenhouse will remain in the greenhouse.INDUSTRIOUS HEAT will remain in the greenhouse instead of escaping into outer space; this is a far greater contributor to global warming than other factors and far more difficult to reduce without reducing economic activity.Like warm moist air from your mouth on cold mornings so melting antarctic
ice will turn into
cloud as it meets warm moist air from tropics the seas will not rise as antarctica is a huge
cloud generator.A thick band of
cloud around the earth will produce even temps accross the whole earth causing the wind to moderate even stop.WE should be preparing for this possible scenario»
Since many of these processes result in non-symmetric time, location and temperature dependant feedbacks (eg water vapor,
clouds,
CO2 washout, condensation,
ice formation, radiative and convective heat transfer etc) then how can a model that uses yearly average values for the forcings accurately reflect the results?
The wild exaggerations of both the direct
CO2 warming and the supposedly more serious knock - on warming are rooted in an untruth: the falsehood that scientists know enough about how
clouds form, how thunderstorms work, how air and ocean currents flow, how
ice sheets behave, how soot in the air behaves.
If
clouds are allowed to change (and changes in sea -
ice are suppressed), different climate models give answers ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 C for the warming due to doubling
CO2.
The
CO2 is acting as a filter for a small portion of the total LWIR from solid surfaces such as land or sea and
ice and water droplets in
clouds.
b] moire
CO2 increases condensation = as rainmaker, gets read of humidity - > increases evaporation = evaporation is cooling process - > more evaporation - > more
clouds as sun umbrellas — more rain — more raw material for replenishing the
ice on the polar caps and glaciers.
For sensitivity to doubled
CO2, knowing long term trends in humidity,
cloud cover and type,
ice, etc., would be particularly useful in comparison with trends of only a few years or less in these phenomena.
Even with near zero
CO2, and the Sun 3 - 4 % dimmer than now, the tropics require albedo help from
clouds and encroaching sea
ice for global freeze - 0ver — hence, an interesting science problem that needs careful cold - climate
cloud and ocean dynamics modeling.
Ouch, I almost forgot those 0.004 % of
CO2, but compared with hundreds times more water vapor,
clouds and
ice reflecting 30 % of direct sunlight, it keeps me rather indifferent.
The conclusion that limiting
CO2 below 450 ppm will prevent warming beyond two degrees C is based on a conservative definition of climate sensitivity that considers only the so - called fast feedbacks in the climate system, such as changes in
clouds, water vapor and melting sea
ice.
1 Positive 1.1 Carbon cycle feedbacks 1.1.1 Arctic methane release 1.1.1.1 Methane release from melting permafrost peat bogs 1.1.1.2 Methane release from hydrates 1.1.2 Abrupt increases in atmospheric methane 1.1.3 Decomposition 1.1.4 Peat decomposition 1.1.5 Rainforest drying 1.1.6 Forest fires 1.1.7 Desertification 1.1.8
CO2 in the oceans 1.1.9 Modelling results 1.1.9.1 Implications for climate policy 1.2
Cloud feedback 1.3 Gas release 1.4
Ice - albedo feedback 1.5 Water vapor feedback 2 Negative 2.1 Carbon cycle 2.1.1 Le Chatelier's principle 2.1.2 Chemical weathering 2.1.3 Net Primary Productivity 2.2 Lapse rate 2.3 Blackbody radiation
It is well known that a doubling of atmospheric
CO2 levels could result in temperature increases of between 1.5 and 4.5 °C, due to fast changes such as snow and
ice melt, and the behaviour of
clouds and water vapour.
We also obtain an empirical estimate of f = 2 - 4 for the fast feedback processes (water vapor,
clouds, sea
ice) operating on 10 - 100 year time scales by comparing the cooling due to slow or specified changes (land
ice,
CO2, vegetation) to the total cooling at 18K.
Depending a bit how you weight the overlapping spectral absorptions of the different greenhouse gases the contribution of
CO2 to the total greenhouse effect is about 20 % (with water vapour giving 50 % and 25 % for
clouds, which we are sure that Allègre realises are made of condensate (liquid water and
ice) and not vapour...).
For example assuming that
CO2 is the only important gas in the atmosphere and that water vapor and
clouds composed of water droplets and
ice particle do not matter.
1.1 C of doubled
CO2 / GHG causes a feedback increase of 8 % in water vapor, a 2 % decline in
cloud optical thickness and reduced Albedo as
ice melts.