Estimating the exact role of
CO2 increase in the warming of the last 150 years depends on a well - known unknown, namely the amount of warming that would have occurred without the increase in CO2.
Not exact matches
There is no evidence for significant
increase of
CO2 in the medieval
warm period, nor for a significant decrease at the time of the subsequent little ice age.
«The study was the first to specifically isolate
CO2's effect from that of other global -
warming agents and to find quantitatively that chemical and meteorological changes due to
CO2 itself
increase mortality due to
increased ozone, particles and carcinogens
in the air.»
«If ozone continues to
increase, vegetation will take up less and less of our carbon dioxide emissions, which will leave more
CO2 in the atmosphere, adding to global
warming,» Sitch says.
In climate science, for example, where we don't need an elaborate climate model to understand the basic physics and chemistry of greenhouse gases, so at some level the fact that
increased CO2 warms the planet is a consequence of very basic physics and chemistry.
In each case they ran the model for 100 years to see how much the world
warmed as
CO2 levels
increased.
While the 400 ppm mark is somewhat symbolic (as the
increase in warming between 399 ppm and 400 ppm is small), it is a large
increase from pre-industrial
CO2 concentrations, which were around 280 ppm.
It is well - established
in the scientific community that
increases in atmospheric
CO2 levels result
in global
warming, but the magnitude of the effect may vary depending on average global temperature.
By studying the relationship between
CO2 levels and climate change during a
warmer period
in Earth's history, the scientists have been able to estimate how the climate will respond to
increasing levels of carbon dioxide, a parameter known as «climate sensitivity».
Increasing atmospheric
CO2 concentrations cause an imbalance
in Earth's heat budget: more heat is retained than expelled, which
in turn generates global surface
warming.
«Global climate change involves not just a
warming planet, but also
increased atmospheric
CO2 concentrations and changes
in rainfall,» said lead author Lauren Smith - Ramesh, a postdoctoral fellow at NIMBioS.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change states that continuing on a path of rapid
increase in atmospheric
CO2 could cause another 4 to 8 ° F
warming before the year 2100.»
Climate change, resulting
in more frost - free days and
warmer seasonal air temperatures, can contribute to shifts
in flowering time and pollen initiation from allergenic plant species, and
increased CO2 by itself can elevate production of plant - based allergens.137, 15,16,17,18,19,138 Higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons can
increase allergic sensitizations and asthma episodes, 20,21,155,22 and diminish productive work and school days.138, 22,23
Glacial melt and ocean
warming, etc., result from, but take longer than, the
warming in the atmosphere caused by the
increased CO2.
The medieval
warm was not a global event, was probably not synchronous even
in the Northern Hemisphere, and was probably not as
warm as we are now — and certainly was not as
warm as we'll be
in 2100 if
CO2 continues to
increase.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support: Global temperature has risen about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of
CO2 in the atmosphere have
increased by about 30 % over the same period; and
CO2 should contribute to future
warming.
If sustained, the recently reported accelerating rate of
increase in atmospheric
CO2 indicates we are likely to acheive that projected 3 degree C
warming earlier than once thought.
In addition, our deficient understanding of aerosol forcing also hinders our ability to use the modern temperature record to constrain the «climate sensitivity» — the operative parameter in determining exactly how much warming will result from a given increase in CO2 concentratio
In addition, our deficient understanding of aerosol forcing also hinders our ability to use the modern temperature record to constrain the «climate sensitivity» — the operative parameter
in determining exactly how much warming will result from a given increase in CO2 concentratio
in determining exactly how much
warming will result from a given
increase in CO2 concentratio
in CO2 concentration.
Since there is a continued
increase in emissions of (
in particular)
CO2, continued greenhouse
warming is highly likely to continue.
For the first time, scientists have shown a direct link between rising levels of carbon dioxide — or
CO2 —
in Earth's atmosphere and an
increase in how much solar energy
warms the ground.
The Hadley Centre has calculated the massive
increase in atmospheric
CO2 levels if the Amazon was to die back as a result of global
warming (climate models differ on how likely this is, I understand).
«The other carbon dioxide problem», «the evil twin of global
warming», or part of a «deadly trio», together with
increasing temperatures and loss of oxygen: Many names have been coined to describe the problem of ocean acidification — a change
in the ocean chemistry that occurs when carbon dioxide (
CO2) from the atmosphere dissolves
in seawater.
In fact, we are, in about a billion years, at least according to Caldeira and Kasting («The life span of the biosphere revisited, Nature, 360, 721, 1992), because the increased solar luminosity and ensuing global warming will cause the silicates to start reacting with the atmospheric CO
In fact, we are,
in about a billion years, at least according to Caldeira and Kasting («The life span of the biosphere revisited, Nature, 360, 721, 1992), because the increased solar luminosity and ensuing global warming will cause the silicates to start reacting with the atmospheric CO
in about a billion years, at least according to Caldeira and Kasting («The life span of the biosphere revisited, Nature, 360, 721, 1992), because the
increased solar luminosity and ensuing global
warming will cause the silicates to start reacting with the atmospheric
CO2.
The silicate +
CO2 - > different silicate + carbonate chemical weathering rate tends to
increase with temperature globally, and so is a negative feedback (but is too slow to damp out short term changes)-- but chemical weathering is also affected by vegetation, land area, and terrain (and minerology, though I'm not sure how much that varies among entire mountain ranges or climate zones)-- ie mountanous regions which are
in the vicinity of a
warm rainy climate are ideal for enhancing chemical weathering (see Appalachians
in the Paleozoic, more recently the Himalayas).
It was only after 1995 that the Arctic really began
warming again,
in sync with
CO2 increases.
Anthropogenic
CO2 emissions are presently
increasing every year at an accelerating rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth
in CO2 emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10 years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes of anthropogenic global
warming.
Is there a top end to the
warming trend where we have so much
CO2 in the air, more does not
increase the greenhouse effect any more?
The small
increase in CO2 from about 0.03 % to 0.04 % over the past century has likely produced some small
warming, probably about 0.4 °C.
For example, one model reaches 38 percent of the maximum
warming in the first decade after a step
increase in CO2 concentration, while another model reaches 61 percent of the maximum
warming in this time period.
In the case of warming caused by a disproportionate increase in atmospheric CO2 (compared with oceanic CO2), an increase in temperatures only slows down the rate at which CO2 is absorbed by the ocean
In the case of
warming caused by a disproportionate
increase in atmospheric CO2 (compared with oceanic CO2), an increase in temperatures only slows down the rate at which CO2 is absorbed by the ocean
in atmospheric
CO2 (compared with oceanic
CO2), an
increase in temperatures only slows down the rate at which CO2 is absorbed by the ocean
in temperatures only slows down the rate at which
CO2 is absorbed by the oceans.
The purpose of my research is to understand how plants respond to changes
in their environment, such as
increases in CO2 or global
warming.
This chemical weathering process is too slow to damp out shorter - term fluctuations, and there are some complexities — glaciation can enhance the mechanical erosion that provides surface area for chemical weathering (some of which may be realized after a time delay — ie when the subsequent
warming occurs — dramatically snow
in a Snowball Earth scenario, where the frigid conditions essentially shut down all chemical weathering, allowing
CO2 to build up to the point where it thaws the equatorial region, at which point runaway albedo feedback drives the Earth into a carbonic acid sauna, which ends via rapid carbonate rock formation), while lower sea level may
increase the oxidation of organic C
in sediments but also provide more land surface for erosion... etc..
A new study by Carnegie's Ken Caldeira and Nathan Myhrvold of Intellectual Ventures concludes that about half of the
warming occurs within the first 10 years after an instantaneous step
increase in atmospheric
CO2 concentration, but about one - quarter of the
warming occurs more than a century after the step
increase.
In addition to transitioning to low - or zero - carbon technologies that avoid
CO2 emissions, direct air capture technologies would
increase our chances of limiting
warming to the internationally agreed - upon ceiling of 2 degrees celsius.
As I understand this article, the decrease
in temp gradient
in the cool skin layer is what allows
increases in atmospheric
CO2 concentrations to further
warm the oceans.
The
CO2 growth rate and
warming rate can be expected to
increase as we move into the next El Niño, with the
CO2 growth already reaching 3 ppm / year
in mid-2013 [188].
It was hypothesized that if
CO2 warmed the atmosphere, the amount of water vapor — itself a powerful greenhouse gas —
in the atmosphere should
increase.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support: Global temperature has risen about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of
CO2 [carbon dioxide]
in the atmosphere have
increased by about 30 percent over the same period; and
CO2 should contribute to future
warming.
Ever
increasing human
CO2 emissions have resulted
in over 15 years of no
warming.
The
warming is well correlated to
increases in CO2.
The continued forcing from
CO2 over this period is substantial, not to mention «
warming in the pipeline» from late 20th century
increase in CO2.
[1]
CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are
increasing its concentration
in the atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists
in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the
CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere
warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar
warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are
increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders
increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs,
increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
The combination of more
CO2 and
increased IR from below must inevitably mean more
warming rather than more cooling, unless there is some additional mechanism to accelerate cooling
in excess of
warming.
I don't reject the belief that
increased CO2 levels result
in global
warming, only that the long - term environmental arguments are weaker than the short - term economic ones.
In other words, it is not enough to simply say «we know that
increasing CO2 levels will make the world
warmer and that is a bad thing», you need to be able to specify how much
warmer and quantify the impacts with some level of precision.
On the basis of this, unless
CO2 produces dramatic Arctic
warming and tropical cooling (or no change)
in the future, the future GAT will rise more than during the Eemian but will not have proportionally similar Arctic temperature or ice melt
increases as during the Eemian.
What is shockingly ill - advised to me is that the Pielke and McIntyre projections both required,
in order to fit with their hoped for story line, that the adjustments not only affect the period from 1945 to 1960, but also extend beyond that into the late 90s,
in order to level the more recent temperature
increases so as to both make the rate appear less dramatic and the amount of recent,
CO2 forced
warming less of a concern.
doi: 10.1130 / G23261A.1 v. 35 no. 3 p. 215 - 218 Abrupt
increase in seasonal extreme precipitation at the Paleocene - Eocene boundary B Schmitz, V Pujalte — Geology, 2007 — geology.gsapubs.org A prominent
increase in atmospheric
CO2 at the Paleocene - Eocene boundary, ca. 55 Ma, led to the
warmest Earth of the Cenozoic for ∼ 100 ky High - resolution studies of continental flood - plain sediment records across this boundary....
It is then amplified by
increased water vapour
in the atmosphere resulting from the
warming caused by the
CO2.
In the meantime we know, with certainty, that
increasing atmospheric
CO2 will make it
warmer.