Not exact matches
CO2 is more soluble in colder
than in
warmer waters; therefore, changes in surface and deep ocean temperature have the potential to alter atmospheric
CO2.
The colder, polar
waters have an ~ 3x higher
CO2 solubility
than the
warmer, equatorial
waters.
[1]
CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG,
water vapor, exists in equilibrium with
water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the
CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much of the planet,
water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere
warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar
warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
As the atmosphere
warms it can hold more
water; that additional
water vapor provides more of the
warming than is directl caused by
CO2.
a switch from grounded ice, or ice shelves, to open
waters in the Ross embayment when planetary temperatures were up to approx 3 °C
warmer than today and atmospheric
CO2 concentration was as high as approx 400 p.p.m.v.»
Others are a-biological, such as ocean degassing from the lower solubility of
CO2 in
warm versus cool
water and also melting of methane clathrates (ice with trapped methane, which is more potent
than CO2 as a greenhouse gas.
Bye the way physics guy, increased
CO2 warms earth some, leading to more
water vapor which has a greater greenhouse effect
than the
CO2 as such.
But since you bring it up, basic chemistry tells us that the marine sink will diminish with
warming, since
warmer waters take up less
CO2 than cooler ones.
Warming must occur below the tropopause to increase the net LW flux out of the tropopause to balance the tropopause - level forcing; there is some feedback at that point as the stratosphere is «forced» by the fraction of that increase which it absorbs, and a fraction of that is transfered back to the tropopause level — for an optically thick stratosphere that could be significant, but I think it may be minor for the Earth as it is (while CO2 optical thickness of the stratosphere alone is large near the center of the band, most of the wavelengths in which the stratosphere is not transparent have a more moderate optical thickness on the order of 1 (mainly from stratospheric water vapor; stratospheric ozone makes a contribution over a narrow wavelength band, reaching somewhat larger optical thickness than stratospheric water vapor)(in the limit of an optically thin stratosphere at most wavelengths where the stratosphere is not transparent, changes in the net flux out of the stratosphere caused by stratospheric warming or cooling will tend to be evenly split between upward at TOA and downward at the tropopause; with greater optically thickness over a larger fraction of optically - significant wavelengths, the distribution of warming or cooling within the stratosphere will affect how such a change is distributed, and it would even be possible for stratospheric adjustment to have opposite effects on the downward flux at the tropopause and the upward flux a
Warming must occur below the tropopause to increase the net LW flux out of the tropopause to balance the tropopause - level forcing; there is some feedback at that point as the stratosphere is «forced» by the fraction of that increase which it absorbs, and a fraction of that is transfered back to the tropopause level — for an optically thick stratosphere that could be significant, but I think it may be minor for the Earth as it is (while
CO2 optical thickness of the stratosphere alone is large near the center of the band, most of the wavelengths in which the stratosphere is not transparent have a more moderate optical thickness on the order of 1 (mainly from stratospheric
water vapor; stratospheric ozone makes a contribution over a narrow wavelength band, reaching somewhat larger optical thickness
than stratospheric
water vapor)(in the limit of an optically thin stratosphere at most wavelengths where the stratosphere is not transparent, changes in the net flux out of the stratosphere caused by stratospheric
warming or cooling will tend to be evenly split between upward at TOA and downward at the tropopause; with greater optically thickness over a larger fraction of optically - significant wavelengths, the distribution of warming or cooling within the stratosphere will affect how such a change is distributed, and it would even be possible for stratospheric adjustment to have opposite effects on the downward flux at the tropopause and the upward flux a
warming or cooling will tend to be evenly split between upward at TOA and downward at the tropopause; with greater optically thickness over a larger fraction of optically - significant wavelengths, the distribution of
warming or cooling within the stratosphere will affect how such a change is distributed, and it would even be possible for stratospheric adjustment to have opposite effects on the downward flux at the tropopause and the upward flux a
warming or cooling within the stratosphere will affect how such a change is distributed, and it would even be possible for stratospheric adjustment to have opposite effects on the downward flux at the tropopause and the upward flux at TOA).
QUESTION: Why on common sense grounds is
CO2 a more significant driver of the greenhouse effect &
warming than water vapor?
If
CO2 in the Anthropocene atmosphere contributes to re-vegetating currently arid areas as it did post-LGM, we should expect an even greater
warming feedback from
CO2 than is assumed from
water vapor and albedo feedbacks, due to decreased global dust - induced albedo and increased
water vapor from transpiration over increased vegetated area.
You appear to have your knickers all twisted about the generally accepted greenhouse theory, which states that GH gases (primarily
water vapor, plus some smaller ones, such as
CO2) keep our planet
warmer than it would otherwise be if they were not in our atmosphere.
«From my basic geochemistry education in
water chemistry,
CO2 is a strange compound as it exhibits reverse solubility, unlike most compounds, it is more soluble in colder
water than in
warmer water.»
How can the atmosphere control the climate via its
CO2 content when the oceans contain 15 times more of it and
CO2 is more soluble in cold
water than warm water (the oceans release
CO2 to atmosphere when they
warm for whatever reason).
We have far more data about increasing
CO2 than increasing
water vapor, hence if we want to test this hypothesis by looking for a correlation between global
warming and the combined effect of
CO2 and H2O, a correlation with
CO2 alone is more feasible
than one involving
water vapour.
Rather
than questioning the primary role of the atmospheric
CO2, our modelling results allow us to put forward that the atmospheric
CO2 is not the whole story and that, owing to the overwhelming effect and interplay between the paleogeography, the
water cycle and the seasonal response, the climate system may undergo subtle climatic changes (as the 4 °C global
warming simulated here between the Aptian and the Maastrichtian runs).
It sounds reasonable, especially since it is known that
warmer water holds less
CO2 than colder
water does.
The theory of AGW says that extra
CO2 causes a minor
warming (less
than 0.5 degree) which then causes the atmosphere to absorb more
water vapour.
And this unprecedented
warming of ocean
waters occurred during a 30 - year period when human
CO2 emissions were some 85 % less
than the modern era (166 billion tonnes of
CO2 emissions versus 784 billion tonnes for the most recent 30 - year span).
And just as
CO2 makes the oceans
warmer than otherwise, so does
water vapor.
They thought the increased evaporation from
CO2 would make things even
warmer since
water vapor is a more powerful greenhouse gas
than CO2.
The theory is that increasing
CO2 will cause a small bit of
warming and this will increase evaporation rates (which occur fastest in the tropics) and dumps more
water vapour in the atmosphere (
water vapour is by far a more potent greenhouse gas
than CO2) and this feedback amplification is meant to continue until Earth settles down and finds a new equilibrium temperature.
Water vapour amplification is about 3 times greater
than the
CO2 warming effect according to the IPCC.
It might be because of global
warming — SebastianH believes that humans are causing oceans to acidify faster
than the sea
water species can adapt to it -LRB--0.07 pH in 200 years), that we're causing the Earth to desertify, and that we're causing food quality to deteriorate... with our
CO2 emissions.
However, since this cycle takes hundreds of years, it could be that the current slow and small change in pH in the near surface
waters since 1700 is due to the Medieval
Warm Period rather
than human
co2 emissions.
But when you look at the very cold regions where there is almost no
water in the atmosphere to begin with, or the desert regions, you do not in fact see any observable evidence that the air is any
warmer than it was in the past with respect to
CO2 increases.
We know further, from laboratory work, that
CO2, and more importantly
water vapor, in the atmosphere serves to keep the Earth
warmer than it would be in their absence.
Carbon dioxide is the biggest long - term human - generated contributor to global
warming — other molecules like methane and
water vapor are also greenhouse gases, but their levels are more or less constant; the amount of anthropogenic
CO2 has been going up steadily for decades and is higher now
than in any point in human history.
The IPCC, its models, and the climate establishment insist
warming will be more
than this because the
warming will cause an increase in atmospheric
water vapor (the major greenhouse gas) which will amplify the
CO2 - caused
warming, a net positive feedback.
Still others have expanded on the degree to which
CO2 is better absorbed by cold
water than warm.
All that is needed is to add heat carried upwards past the denser atmosphere (and most
CO2) by convection and the latent heat from
water changing state (the majority of heat transport to the tropopause), the albedo effects of clouds, the inability of long wave «downwelling» (the blue balls) to
warm water that makes up 2 / 3rds of the Earth's surface, and that due to huge differences in enthalpy dry air takes far less energy to
warm than humid air so temperature is not a measure of atmospheric heat content.
Sunlight
warms individual molecules and groups of molecules and so could drive off
CO2 more
than would be the case from a
warming of the whole body of
water would it not?
gnomish says: April 8, 2012 at 8:55 pm (Edit) maybe the
co2 came out of the cold polar
waters when it
warmed rather
than from the
warmer equatorial ones that were already depleted?
The resulting
warming due to the
water vapour is in fact larger
than the initial
warming due to the
CO2 that forced it to happen, and this is the point of the Lacis paper - yes,
water vapour is a more important greenhouse gas
than CO2, but
water vapour doesn't change systematically with time UNLESS
CO2 is changing and initiating a
warming that sets into motion the surface and atmospheric processes that allow
water vapour to systematically increase.
Except for the fact that cold sea
water holds more
CO2 in solution
than does an equal amount at a
warmer tmperature.
More
CO2 can be dissolved in cold
water than warm water, and there are a number of carbon sequestering and releasing processes involving ocean life.
This implies that hurricane intensity increase due to a possible global
warming associated with increased
CO2 is considerably smaller
than that expected from
warming of the oceanic
waters alone.»
The only way
CO2 could absorb any more IR
than it is already absorbing is if 1) the surface started re-emitting more IR, which could only happen if more sunlight reached the surface, or 2) atmospheric
water vapor levels dropped, freeing up more IR to be absorbed by
CO2, in which case,
warming would not occur, because that radiation was already being absorbed by the
water vapor that disappeared.
It's better to focus on a few of these —
warming stopped in 1998,
water vapour is more important
than CO2 etc — and politely annihilate his arguments.
About 40 percent of the carbon enter the oceans through the
waters of the Southern Ocean, around Antarctica, because
CO2 dissolves more readily in cold seawater
than in
warmer waters.