Changes in cloud amount and cloud types might increase warming (positive feedback) or reduce it (negative feedback).
Not exact matches
Experiments Prather and her team conducted
in California's Sierra Nevada produced the first conclusive evidence that dust aerosols can
change the
amount of precipitation produced by
clouds.
Aerosols that high
in the sky «can
change the
amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface and affect rainfall through
cloud formation,» she says.
As a result,
changes in Antarctic
clouds, such as the
amount of ground they cover or how much radiation they absorb, can have ripple effects as far away as the tropics.
A multidisciplinary team led by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's Dr. Chuck Long found that, at least
in the continental United States,
changes in clouds and cloudiness have a greater influence on brightening than any decrease
in aerosol
amounts alone.
We call this the Charney climate sensitivity, because it is essentially the case considered by Charney (1979),
in which water vapor,
clouds and sea ice were allowed to
change in response to climate
change, but GHG (greenhouse gas)
amounts, ice sheet area, sea level and vegetation distributions were taken as specified boundary conditions.
It should be pointed out here, that the
amount of
change in downward heat radiation from
changes in cloud cover
in the experiment, are far greater than the gradual
change in warming provided by human greenhouse gas emissions, but the relationship was nevertheless established.
Her primary education was at best irregular — received
in the form of brief instructions and lectures from untrained or retired teachers — but she spent a considerable
amount of time on the cliffs and beaches of Padstow, watching light
change and diffuse,
cloud formations shift.
Step 3 (impact of CCN
changes on
cloud properties): I presume that you are talking about whether the
change in amount of CCN will be great enough to alter
cloud properties?
ENSO
changes the
cloud cover and water vapour
amounts and so you would expect it to affect the Top - of - the - atmosphere radiation balance which
changes the overall
amount of heat
in the system.
In our own modelling, we have improved the calculations to reduce the
amount of numerical diffusion (which helped a lot), and increased resolution (which also helped), but
changes to the ocean model also have a big impact, as do Arctic
cloud processes and surface albedo parameterisations, so it gets complicated fast.
There will be Regionally / locally and temporal variations; increased temperature and backradiation tend to reduce the diurnal temperature cycle on land, though regional variations
in cloud feedbacks and water vapor could cause some regions to have the opposite effect;
changes in surface moisture and humidity also
changes the
amount of convective cooling that can occur for the same temperature distribution.
Changes in the sun can of course affect the amount of energy received by the earth through changes in its output, variations in the intensity of UV - light, or perhaps even clouds through galactic cosmi
Changes in the sun can of course affect the
amount of energy received by the earth through
changes in its output, variations in the intensity of UV - light, or perhaps even clouds through galactic cosmi
changes in its output, variations
in the intensity of UV - light, or perhaps even
clouds through galactic cosmic rays.
Since the mechanism I lay out depends on
clouds and their formation, and not on the total
amount of forcing,
changes in CO2 won't
change the operating temperature.
The current flow
in the atmosphere
changes the
amount of low level
cloud in the high latitude regions and
changes the optical properties and lifetime of
clouds in the equatorial region (is the primary reason for El Niño events).
The third way is through the effects of cosmic rays on
cloud formations.The
amount of energy we get from the sun
changes in cycles.
The exact
amount of this temperature increase, however, remains uncertain because of unpredictable
changes in other atmospheric components, especially
cloud cover.
However, Lindzen's analysis of the experimental data suggests that «negative feedbacks» (e.g.,
changes in cloud cover) act to decrease the
amount of warming from increases
in CO2.
Spencer / Braswell and Lindzen / Choi look at the relationship between
changes in ocean heat,
cloud cover (directly affecting the
amount of heat lost to space), and global surface temperature over recent decades.
One last point related to my last post, is the extent / degree of magnitude of a more meridional atmospheric circulation pattern (N.H. especially) could influence snow cover,
cloud cover, and precipitation
amounts which could set up stronger positive climatic feedbacks, which could then result
in an even more significant climatic
change going forward.
A number of studies have highlighted relationships between low -
cloud amount changes under global warming and modeled variations of low
clouds with
changes in specific meteorological conditions (such as surface temperature, inversion strength, subsidence)(Qu et.
When you compare this with the actual surface temperature of ~ 288 K and the temperature
in absence of the greenhouse effect but no
change in albedo of ~ 255 K, what we can say is the follows: The greenhouse effect due to all the greenhouse gases (water vapor,
clouds, and the long - lived GHGs like CO2 and CH4) raises the temperature of the Earth by an
amount of ~ 33 K (which is 288K — 255K); the albedo due to
cloud reduces the temperature by ~ 17 K (which is 272 K — 255 K); the net effect of both the GHGs and the
cloud albedo is ~ 16 K (which is 288K — 272K).
Recently here
in SW Virginia there has been a slight
change in the methods they are using, instead of trails from horizon to horizon there are now «
clouds» which are strange
in that they are relatively all the same size, not billowy like they would normally be but solid
in the middle and then all wispy and fuzzy on the edges and all lined up
in a row, like they are starting and stopping the
amount of stuff they are using.
As climate forcing and temperature increase, the
amount of water vapour
in the air increases and
clouds may
change.
As a result of
changes in rainfall production, the
amount of liquid water
in the
cloud may be modified,
changing the
amount of energy available for release as latent heat during freezing (Rosenfeld et al. 2008); these
changes may potentially lead to significant alterations
in storm vorticity strength (Tinsley et al. 2012).
Changes in cloud geographical location and cloud amount are significant, but play a smaller role in driving radiative flux c
Changes in cloud geographical location and
cloud amount are significant, but play a smaller role
in driving radiative flux
changeschanges.
Because of the nearly constant seasonal and long - term 340nm surface reflectivity, the 340nm LER can be used to estimate
changes in cloud plus 10 aerosol
amount associated with seasonal and interannual variability and decadal climate
change.
Thus if the two mid latitude jets move equatorward at the same time as the ITCZ moves closer to the equator the combined effect on global albedo and the
amount of solar energy able to penetrate the oceans will be substantial and would dwarf the other proposed effects on albedo from
changes in cosmic ray intensity generating
changes in cloud totals as per Svensmark and from suggested
changes caused
in upper
cloud quantities by
changes in atmospheric chemistry involving ozone which various other climate sceptics propose.
Berkeley Lab researchers Dev Millstein and Surabi Menon found that atmospheric feedback — such as
changes in cloud cover or precipitation — does have an important effect, resulting
in different
amounts of cooling
in different cities, but that cool roofs and pavements are still beneficial for combating global warming.
When you have huge economic issues and great
amounts of uncertainty with regard to things like sensitivity to a doubling of CO2, feedbacks from evaporation (including increases
in clouds and their feedbacks), not to mention regarding consequences, then a legalisitic, «does climate
change exist or not» approach isn't the right way to think about the issue.
The direct CO2 radiative forcing is the
change in infrared radiative fluxes for a doubling CO2 (typically from 287 to 574 ppm), without any feedback processes (e.g. from
changing atmospheric water vapor
amount or
cloud characteristics.)
But this
amount could increase if nighttime
cloud cover were to become more common
in the future as a result of climate
change.