5 (c) McGraw Hill Ryerson 2007 Albedo and Climate, Making Predictions About
Climate Change The albedo at Earth's surface affects the amount of solar radiation that region receives.
Not exact matches
Scripps graduate student Kristina Pistone and
climate scientists Ian Eisenman and Veerabhadran Ramanathan used satellite measurements to calculate Arctic
albedo changes associated with the
changing sea ice cover.
Whilst several methods for counteracting
climate change with geoengineering are considered feasible, injecting sulfates or other fine aerosols into the stratosphere, thereby increasing planetary
albedo, is a leading contender.
Hall, A. & Qu, X. Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain the snow
albedo feedback in future
climate change.
Model performance in reproducing the observed seasonal cycle of land snow cover may provide an indirect evaluation of the simulated snow -
albedo feedback under
climate change.
The measured energy imbalance accounts for all natural and human - made
climate forcings, including
changes of atmospheric aerosols and Earth's surface
albedo.
Slow insolation
changes initiated the
climate oscillations, but the mechanisms that caused the
climate changes to be so large were two powerful amplifying feedbacks: the planet's surface
albedo (its reflectivity, literally its whiteness) and atmospheric CO2 amount.
eg how big is the «expected» impact on the
climate / temps etc from that kind of
change / feedback in ASI
albedo
While the local, seasonal
climate forcing by the Milankovitch cycles is large (of the order 30 W / m2), the net forcing provided by Milankovitch is close to zero in the global mean, requiring other radiative terms (like
albedo or greenhouse gas anomalies) to force global - mean temperature
change.
The
change in ice volume and
climate changes the planets
albedo (how much sunlight is reflected) and affect carbon storage.
Perhaps you might want to read that paper as well as «
Climate Change and Trace Gases», available in many places, which argues for an
albedo flip mechanism and (relatively) short timescales for icesheet response to forcing, based on paleo data.
As surfaces absorb roughly 100 times more solar energy than the CO2 in the atmosphere, future anthropogenic
changes in both land and water
albedo may figure significantly in
climate policy outcomes.
From the point of view of
climate modelling the all - gone moment isn't as important as the magnitude of the
change in
albedo — particularly in the spring, summer and autumn.
This was a relatively stable
climate (for several thousand years, 20,000 years ago), and a period where we have reasonable estimates of the radiative forcing (
albedo changes from ice sheets and vegetation
changes, greenhouse gas concentrations (derived from ice cores) and an increase in the atmospheric dust load) and temperature
changes.
As for irreversible, if an ice sheet starts flowing, or if an
albedo change from sea ice gets locked in, I could imagine a
climate change being essentially irreversible even if CO2 was brought back down, but it's just speculation, nothing more.
«Soot snow / ice
albedo climate forcing is not included in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change evalu
climate forcing is not included in Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change evalu
Climate Change evaluations.
In LGM simulations land
albedo changes are prescribed (at least in regards to ice sheets and altered topography due to sea level; there are feedback land
albedo changes) so are a forcing, whereas sea ice is determined interactively by the model
climate, so is a feedback in this framework.
Since it reflects the capacity of the
climate system to absorb heat, it may be influenced by the planetary
albedo (sea - ice and snow) and ice - caps, which respond to temperature
changes.
(In the full 4 - dimensional
climate, responses can also tend spread horizontally by convection (advection) and temporally by heat capacity, though «fingerprints» of horizontal and temporal variations in RF (externally imposed and feedback — snow and ice
albedo, for example) can remain — this spreading is somewhat different as it relies in part on the circulation already present as well as circulation
changes)
Myhre, G. and A. Myhre, Uncertainties in radiative forcing due to surface
albedo changes caused by land use
changes, J.
Climate, 16, 1511 - 1524, 2003.
The rise of CO2 from 270ppm to now over 400ppm, the extent of equatorial and sub tropical deforestation, the soot deposits on the polar ice caps, the increase in atmospheric water vapour due to a corresponding increase in ocean temps and
changes in ocean currents, the extreme ice
albedo currently happening in the arctic etc, etc are all conspiring in tandem to alter the
climate as we know it.
Improvements in the capacity to monitor direct and indirect
changes on weather,
climate, or larger Earth systems and to detect unilateral or uncoordinated deployment could help further understanding of
albedo modification and
climate science generally.
It is not that the polar regions are amplifying the warming «going on» at lower latitudes, it is that any warming going on AT THE POLES is amplified through inherent positive feedback processes AT THE POLES, and specifically this is primarily the ice -
albedo positive feedback process whereby more open water leads to more warming leads to more open water, etc. *** «
Climate model simulations have shown that ice albedo feedbacks associated with variations in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify climate change at high northern latitudes...
Climate model simulations have shown that ice
albedo feedbacks associated with variations in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify
climate change at high northern latitudes...
climate change at high northern latitudes...»
It's looking more and more like most
climate change can be pegged to
changes in solar output, either directly through additional warming or indirectly as decreases in solar output allow more cosmic rays to reach the atmosphere, causing increased cloud nucleation and therefore increasing the earth's
albedo and reflecting more solar radiation.
Increasing CO2 does increase the greenhouse effect, but there are other factors which determine
climate, including solar irradiance, volcanism,
albedo, orbital variations, continental drift, mountain building, variations in sea currents,
changes in greenhouse gases, even cometary impacts.
The report clearly states that the first - best option for preventing
climate change is stopping GHG emissions, and that neither the development of CDR approaches nor the development of
Albedo Modification approaches will
change this finding.
When reconstructing Earth's
climate history, it can't be explained without including all the various influences, including solar irradiance, volcanism,
albedo, orbital variations, continental drift, mountain building, variations in sea currents,
changes in greenhouse gases, even cometary impacts.
«
Climate model simulations have shown that ice albedo feedbacks associated with variations in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify climate change at high northern latitudes...
Climate model simulations have shown that ice
albedo feedbacks associated with variations in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify
climate change at high northern latitudes...
climate change at high northern latitudes...»
But the
climate is
changing so rapidly that we already face volatile scenarios like the possibility of escalating international conflicts over potentially dangerous
albedo hacking experiments.
Only a
change in the surface area of lakes frozen or a
change in timing (which would both affect earth
albedo) would have any
climate significance.
However if the
Albedo is
changed by
climate change this in turn
changes the energy balance and adds other
climate change.
Forcing from surface
albedo changes due to land use
change is expected to be negative globally (Sections 2.5.3, 7.3.3 and 9.3.3.3) although tropical deforestation could increase evaporation and warm the
climate (Section 2.5.5), counteracting cooling from
albedo change.
However, even a smaller figure (I had calculated about 0.17 W / m ^ 2 based on your inflated figure for total planetary
albedo, but you can check it out) is still significant when compared with the total flux imbalance, which I think is a more informative comparison than an arbitrarily selected
change in cloud cover, because it compares the sea ice reduction with the effects of all
climate variations that have been operating in recent years..
It is the orbital characteristics of Earth that is the long - term driver of
climate, with NH land masses sensitive to TSI at around 65 deg N. Leading to build - up / melt of snowfield and consequent
albedo change, leading to temp
change.
Based on evidence from Earth's history, we suggest here that the relevant form of
climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene (e.g. from which to base future greenhouse gas (GHG) stabilization targets) is the Earth system sensitivity including fast feedbacks from
changes in water vapour, natural aerosols, clouds and sea ice, slower surface
albedo feedbacks from
changes in continental ice sheets and vegetation, and
climate — GHG feedbacks from
changes in natural (land and ocean) carbon sinks.
Isostatic rebound in response to glacier retreat (unloading), increase in local salinity (i.e., δ18Osw), have been attributed to increased volcanic activity at the onset of Bølling — Allerød, are associated with the interval of intense volcanic activity, hinting at a interaction between
climate and volcanism - enhanced short - term melting of glaciers, possibly via
albedo changes from particle fallout on glacier surfaces.
Albedo changes outweigh paleo
changes in CO2 by a large margin — the underlying reality of
climate — as I have said a few times to Jimmy D before and here.
E.g., human - caused
albedo variations from desertification, and to some extent tropical deforestation, were connected with past global
climate changes by Sagan et al. (1979); a pioneering model confirming «the long - held idea that the surface vegetation... is an important factor in the Earth's
climate» was Shukla and Mintz (1982); Amazon Basin: Salati and Vose (1984); more recently, see Kutzbach et al. (1996).
That allows latitudinal sliding of the jets and
climate zones below the tropopause leading to
changes in global cloudiness and
albedo with alters the amount of energy getting into the oceans.»
When many causes all interact — and abrupt
climate change candidates include the thermohaline circulation, the atmospheric circulation associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation,
changes in tropical evaporation, and
changes in
albedo — the human mind needs some help.
Appreciable
changes in
climate are the result of
changes in the energy balance of the Earth, which requires «external» forcings, such as
changes in solar output,
albedo, and atmospheric greenhouse gases.
The identified atmospheric feedbacks including
changes in planetary
albedo, in water vapour distribution and in meridional latent heat transport are all poorly represented in zonal energy balance model as the one used in [7] whereas they appear to be of primary importance when focusing on ancient greenhouse
climates.
The Arctic provides an early indicator of global
climate change through feedback systems associated with factors such as the high
albedo of snow and ice [Holland and Bitz, 2003].
The cryosphere derives its importance to the
climate system from a variety of effects, including its high reflectivity (
albedo) for solar radiation, its low thermal conductivity, its large thermal inertia, its potential for affecting ocean circulation (through exchange of freshwater and heat) and atmospheric circulation (through topographic
changes), its large potential for affecting sea level (through growth and melt of land ice), and its potential for affecting greenhouse gases (through
changes in permafrost)(Chapter 4).
«Since 1997, when Pinatubo's aerosol settled out, the stratosphere has been exceptionally clear... Half or more of the warming since 1995 may due to the lack of large volcanic eruptions... That's about 0.13 °C... The remaining
climate change is presumably caused by other forces, such as solar variability, El Nino, Atlantic AMO warming in 1995, lower
Albedo and maybe even a little greenhouse gas.»
AGW
climate scientists seem to ignore that while the earth's surface may be warming, our atmosphere above 10,000 ft. above MSL is a refrigerator that can take water vapor scavenged from the vast oceans on earth (which are also a formidable heat sink), lift it to cold zones in the atmosphere by convective physical processes, chill it (removing vast amounts of heat from the atmosphere) or freeze it, (removing even more vast amounts of heat from the atmosphere) drop it on land and oceans as rain, sleet or snow, moisturizing and cooling the soil, cooling the oceans and building polar ice caps and even more importantly, increasing the
albedo of the earth, with a critical negative feedback determining how much of the sun's energy is reflected back into space,
changing the moment of inertia of the earth by removing water mass from equatorial latitudes and transporting this water vapor mass to the poles, reducing the earth's spin axis moment of inertia and speeding up its spin rate, etc..
If low clouds have different IR emissivity than the high ones then they may
change climate via cosmic ray modulation even if total
albedo is the same.
This paper analyzes the 420,00 o year Antarctic Vostok ice core data comparing the CO2, CH4, sea level, and surface
albedo changes do derive his empirical 3 °C per 4 W / m2
climate sensitivity from the ice core data.
To date, while various effects and feedbacks constrain the certainty placed on recent and projected
climate change (EG,
albedo change, the response of water vapour, various future emissions scenarios etc), it is virtually certain that CO2 increases from human industry have reversed and will continue to reverse the downward trend in global temperatures that should be expected in the current phase of the Milankovitch cycle.
Broad - scale
changes in vegetation in general, and tree loss in particular, have pronounced effects on
climate processes through biogeophysical mechanisms such as
albedo, evapotranspiration (ET), and carbon dioxide exchange with the atmosphere [11].