Sentences with phrase «climate model projections on»

followed suit with, «Climate model projections on rain and drought wrong, study says».

The paper prompted a MailOnline headline of, «Projections of global drought and flood may be flawed», while the Australian followed suit with, «Climate model projections on rain and drought wrong, study says».

So, Timothy (# 103) may be right to look after paeloclimate rather than climate models projections on that point.

Not exact matches

These high - resolution projections, based on global climate models, predict when and where annual coral bleaching will occur.

They used this data compilation to evaluate the quality of their regional atmospheric climate model, based on global climate projections that included several scenarios of anticipated climate change.

The new study builds on this earlier research, extending the projections globally using a variety of climate models and taking into account future population growth.

Considering that existing climate models typically do not consider northeast Greenland with future sea - level projections, the findings suggest that sea - level rise estimates may err on the high side, close to 3 feet or higher, said Khan.

This critical question is addressed using simulations from climate models based on projections of future emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols.

«Prior analyses have found that climate models underestimate the observed rate of tropical widening, leading to questions on possible model deficiencies, possible errors in the observations, and lack of confidence in future projections,» said Robert J. Allen, an assistant professor of climatology in UC Riverside's Department of Earth Sciences, who led the study.

«When we look forward several decades, climate models predict such profound loss of Arctic sea ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence on sea ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's Polar Science Center in Seattle and co-author of a study on projections of the global polar bear population.

On March 31 Muller testified in front of Congress and confirmed what mainstream climate scientists had been saying: Earth is warming in line with the projections of climate models.

When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world of continuing high greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.

Air pollutant emission inventories are essential in measuring the impact of pollution on air quality and the climate, as they are fed into atmospheric and climate models to make projections for the future.

They brought up that they are skeptical of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports and of any model projections of climate Climate Change) reports and of any model projections of climate climate change.

In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com

Of the many inane arguments that are made against taking action on climate change, perhaps the most fatuous is that the projections climate models offer about the future are too uncertain to justify taking steps that might inconvenience us in the present.

Understanding how well climate models represent these processes will help reduce uncertainties in the model projections of the effects of global warming on the world's water cycle.

The projections are based on climate models from the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report.

Future ocean projections for the year 2100 were compiled from all available data generated by Earth Systems Models as part of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Taylor et al., 2012) as in Mora et al. (2013).

The climate projections show on this map are based on Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 (van Vuuren et al., 2012) experiments run by global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) exercise (Taylor et al., 2012).

Your statement on mistaken assumption # 5 about climate model projections being theoretically based rather than empirically based is well made.

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

-- 4) Improved fire models and projections directly related to Montana's forests; 5) Long - term monitoring of forest insect and pathogen response to recent climate changes and improved projections of likely future impacts; 6) Better understanding of disturbance effects on microclimates and refugia and implications for forest productivity, mortality, and adaptation.

Projections of future climate and weather events rely on models demonstrably unfit for the purpose.

Climate model projections show a warmer Montana in the future, with mixed changes in precipitation, more extreme events, and mixed certainty on upcoming drought.

Leung emphasized the estimate's conservativeness, noting that the climate projections of warming devised by the U.S. Department of Energy and the National Center for Atmospheric Research are on the low end compared to most other models.

Dr. Yun Qian, atmospheric and climate modeling scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, was invited to organize and direct an international workshop on «Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling and Projection» in Trieste,climate modeling scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, was invited to organize and direct an international workshop on «Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling and Projection» in Triestemodeling scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, was invited to organize and direct an international workshop on «Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling and Projection» in Trieste,Climate Modeling and Projection» in TriesteModeling and Projection» in Trieste, Italy.

At the time, he said «the stunning finding that forests can also feed on nitrogen in rocks has the potential to change all projections related to climate change,» because it meant there could be more carbon storage on land and less in the atmosphere than climate models say.

Projections based on 29 climate models suggest that the number of high wildfire potential days each year could increase by nearly 50 percent by 2050 if greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated.

Known as a «co-benefit,» using state of the art models for human and natural systems, along with climate projections from the international community, the team was able for the first time to put a value on the global air pollution benefits of cutting greenhouse gas emissions over the 21st century.

The analysis of processes contributing to climate feedbacks in models and recent studies based on large ensembles of models suggest that in the future it may be possible to use observations to narrow the current spread in model projections of climate change.

Climate change projections were based on an ensemble of four General Circulation Models (UKMO HadCM3, MPIM ECHAM5, CSIRO MK3.5 and GFDL CM2.1), downscaled to 10 minutes [32], considering three emissions scenarios (B2, A1B and A2) for 1975 (mean 1961 — 1990), 2050 (mean 2041 — 2060) and 2090 (mean 2081 — 2100).

James Screen, a climate researcher at the University of Exeter, said in an email that while the findings are consistent with model projections and look more robust than the studies linking warming to the larger fluctuations of the jet stream, «I'd be cautious pinning the blame on Arctic warming.»

Differences in projections of warming by the end of the century appear to be related to assumptions made on emission trajectories and the ambitiousness of climate policies beyond 2030 rather than differences in methodology or climate modeling.

The last two lessons focus on model - based climate change projections in relation to the possible fates of different regional species of vegetation.

Your statement on mistaken assumption # 5 about climate model projections being theoretically based rather than empirically based is well made.

Standard climate models don't show skill at the interannual timescales which depend heavily on El Niño's and other relatively unpredictable internal variations (note that initiallised climate model projections that use historical ocean conditions may show some skill, but this is still a very experimental endeavour).

The idea apparently persists that climate models are somehow built on the surface temperature records, and that any adjustment to those records will change the model projections for the future.

There are many current attempts to improve the short - term predictability in climate models in line with the best weather models, though it is unclear what impact that will have on projections.

A section of the piece on an emerging disconnect between climate model projections of warming and observations makes it clear that climate modelers have plenty of work to do.

This is mostly caused by the fact that climate models are constructed to make projections on much longer time scales and can not predict the precise timing of individual events.

When will «the use of the latest information on external influences on the climate system and adjusting for internal variability associated with ENSO» make its way into the projection model?

Well, because soon (as soon as December 2005) the leading authors of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (aka IPCC) Assessment Report # 4 (AR4) will have to decide what the current knowledge in climate state, modeling and climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next Climate Change (aka IPCC) Assessment Report # 4 (AR4) will have to decide what the current knowledge in climate state, modeling and climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next climate state, modeling and climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next report.

Sensitivity analysis shows that future fire potential depends on many factors such as climate model and emission scenario used for climate change projection.

Projections of future climate and weather events rely on models demonstrably unfit for the purpose.

We used new satellite records of fire incidence to create fire models which we then drove with a broad range of future climate model scenarios to get a sense of where the climate projections agreed on the sign of the change in fire frequency and where they did not.

I'll be writing more on the fight over climate policy this weekend, which devolves to a battle over costs and benefits using economic models and projections that make climate simulations look like they were high - resolution photographs.

In the project, FMI compiles and evaluates RCP - based climate model projections for Finland, constructs daily gridded datasets of a number of climatic variables, assesses climate change impacts on human health, provides guidance to end - users and exports up - to - date information to Climateguide.fi.

John, On the «Presentation: Precautionary Principle...» thread you told me that you think it's «unhelpful to conflate discussion of climate - science issues like the modelling of SO2, about which none of us here know very much, with discussion of economic projections, where we can have a useful discussion.»

The Office will support the development of climate models and projections of future climate, facilitate cooperation between regions and countries, and promote knowledge exchange and capacity building with a particular focus on developing regions.