Climate model projections suggest that by year 2100, both intense drought and flooding may increase in frequency by at least 50 percent.
Scaling the results from both theory as well as
climate model projections suggest, then, that roughly 3 % of hurricane rainfall today can be reasonably attributed to manmade global warming.
(Medical Xpress)-- Fine - scale
climate model projections suggest the possibility that population centers in cool, highland regions of East Africa could be more vulnerable to malaria than previously thought, while population...
Not exact matches
Considering that existing
climate models typically do not consider northeast Greenland with future sea - level
projections, the findings
suggest that sea - level rise estimates may err on the high side, close to 3 feet or higher, said Khan.
While this underestimate does not call into question the response of
climate to carbon dioxide concentration in the IPCC
models, the researchers say, it does
suggest that a better understanding of what happened during the last 50 years could improve
projections of future ecosystem changes.
But Spracklen's study
suggests both the
climate model projections and the observations may be correct.
«There are some
climate projection models that
suggest sugar maple may not prefer the
climate so much in our neck of the woods in the future.
Projections based on 29
climate models suggest that the number of high wildfire potential days each year could increase by nearly 50 percent by 2050 if greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated.
The analysis of processes contributing to
climate feedbacks in
models and recent studies based on large ensembles of
models suggest that in the future it may be possible to use observations to narrow the current spread in
model projections of
climate change.
This result
suggests that current
projections of regional
climate change may be questionable.This finding is also highly relevant to regional
climate modelling studies where lower resolution global atmospheric
models are often used as the driving
model for high resolution regional
models.
This evidence, plus
climate model projections,
suggest that global warming may cause an increase in both the severity and frequency of El Niño events in the future.
«In light of the above findings, it appears that sea ice cover in the Bohai Sea is not quite as sensitive to CO2 - induced global warming as
climate model projections / theory
suggest it should be.
We
suggest, therefore, that
projections of future
climate based on these
models be viewed with much caution.
'' it is
suggested that the strength of the tropical low - cloud feedback predicted by the IPSL - CM5A
model in
climate projections might be overestimated by about fifty percent.»
Model projections suggest that weather extremes may become even more intense, more frequent, and longer in the
climate of the future (4).
2: Our Changing
Climate, Key Messages 5 and 6).4, 10 A range of
model projections for the end of this century under a higher emissions scenario (A2), averaged over the region,
suggests about 5 % to 20 % (25th to 75th percentile of
model projections) increases in winter precipitation.
However, there remains uncertainty in the rate of sea ice loss, with the
models that most accurately project historical sea ice trends currently
suggesting nearly ice - free conditions sometime between 2021 and 2043 (median 2035).12 Uncertainty across all
models stems from a combination of large differences in
projections among different
climate models, natural
climate variability, and uncertainty about future rates of fossil fuel emissions.
But a growing body of scientific evidence
suggests that the
projections of
climate change that have been made by the current family of computerized
climate models has been overdone — that the world will warm up significantly less than has been predicted as a result of our ongoing carbon dioxide emissions.
Although there is at present no means by which to tell whether this particular storm was due to human induced global warming, the devastation it has caused is consistent with the
projections generated by
climate change
models that
suggest such storms will become more severe as the world warms up.
«
Climate sensitivity is a metric used to characterise the response of the global climate system to a given forcing» and «'' Spread in model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is an
Climate sensitivity is a metric used to characterise the response of the global
climate system to a given forcing» and «'' Spread in model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is an
climate system to a given forcing» and «'' Spread in
model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is an
climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in
projections of future
climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is an
climate changes» both
suggest to me that CS is an input.
But the sentence reading «Spread in
model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in
projections of future
climate changes,» strongly
suggests it is an input.
Projections from
climate models suggest that ice loss will continue in the future, with a possibility of September ice - free conditions later this century (e.g., Stroeve et al., 2012b; Massonnet et al., 2012).
Some commentators have
suggested that the under - representation or omission of feedbacks in
climate models may result in inaccurate
projections.
The lack of warming for more than a decade — indeed, the smaller - than - predicted warming over the 22 years since the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) began issuing
projections —
suggests that computer
models have greatly exaggerated how much warming additional CO2 can cause.