, Brian Lucey and Fergal O'Connor examine the relationship between gold miner stock behavior (NYSE ARCA Gold Bugs Index) and the price of gold (
COMEX gold futures).
In
COMEX gold futures which also experienced a record one - week amount of nearly 55,000 contracts being sold by so - called commercial traders, or the equivalent of 5.5 million ounces, that works out to 20 full days of world gold mine production (275,000 oz per day).
Using daily gold bullion spot prices (London fixing) and
COMEX gold futures prices during 1981 through 2010 (30 years), along with contemporaneous stock market index and gold jewelry demand data, he finds that: Keep Reading
Not exact matches
Meanwhile, hedge funds and money managers raised their net long position in
COMEX gold contracts in the week to Jan. 30 to their highest level since late - September, U.S. Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed on Friday.
Hedge funds and money managers raised their net long position in
COMEX gold for the second straight week in the week to March 28, and boosted it slightly in silver, Commodity
Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday.
U.S. Commodity
Futures Trading Commission data on Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers raised their net long positions in
COMEX gold in the week to Jan. 2.
However, the ratio of
gold standing for delivery — the process by which a
futures contract can be settled for physical
gold rather than cash — rose exponentially into early December and has since fallen significantly but remains at historically high levels: The standard
COMEX response would be that the overwhelming majority of
futures contracts are simply rolled over at expiration into a
future month or settled in cash.
COMEX synthetic
gold and related over-the-counter derivatives are traded in macro strategies implemented by hedge funds, HFT's, and commodity funds in pair trades with interest rate, currencies, equity
futures, or even more exotic offsets.
This would occur if
gold ETF assets under management (AUMs) were to rebuild or if holders of
COMEX futures were to stand for delivery in a big way.
The official description of the
COMEX market's raison d'être by CME group states, «
Gold futures are hedging tools for commercial producers and users of gold.&ra
Gold futures are hedging tools for commercial producers and users of
gold.&ra
gold.»
In just one reporting week, more managed money contracts were bought and more commercial contracts were sold in
COMEX silver and
gold futures than ever in the more than 30 year history of the COT report.
It must be a coincidence that the
COMEX futures gold price always drops significantly on the day of an FOMC meeting / announcement.
Furthermore, a decline in
gold futures positions at the
COMEX futures exchange tells us little about the long - term trend of the
gold market.
It is possible to conduct spot and
futures contract trading on
gold on the primary
futures market: CME,
COMEX, CBOT and NYMEX.
A broad cross-section of companies in the
gold industry, from mining companies to fabricators of finished products, can use the
COMEX Division
gold futures and options contracts to hedge their price risk.