Professor William Happer of Princeton, one of the world's foremost physicists, says
computer models of climate rely on the assumption of the CO2's direct warming effect that is about a factor two higher, owing to incorrect representation of the microphysical interactions of CO2 molecules with other infrared photons.
Researchers from Stanford University and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) put data on weather and crops
into computer models of climate.
They said the real strength of the Jacobson study — now in press at the Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres — is that it relies on a
new computer model of climate, air pollution and weather that accounts for several different ways black carbon influences the environment.
Broadly speaking, we can use the temperature change from the instrumental record (the past 150 years or so), or
complex computer models of the climate, or temperature changes we've deduced for climates in the distant past (such as the last ice age 20,000 years ago, or the warm Pliocene 3 to 5 million years ago).
The CCC uses projections
from computer models of climate change to forecast a higher incidence of extreme weather events such as floods, heatwaves and droughts.
This information could assist climatologists in developing new, more
accurate computer models of the climate, which could be used to better understand and predict the effects of global climate change.
Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition,
comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
Both are increasingly at odds not only with the surface temperature records, all of which have been adjusted ex post facto so as to show more warming than the original raw data showed, but also with the alarming projections of the serially
unreliable computer models of climate on which the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change profitably but misguidedly relies.
Dr. Lomborg believes that when it comes to
computer models of climate change, the International Panel on Climate Change deals all four wild cards in a way that exaggerates the effect of greenhouse gases.
Brian Ryan, Ian Watterson and Jenni Evans of the CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research ran
a computer model of climate in a world where the atmosphere's carbon dioxide content has doubled.
Computer models of climate are one tool for specialists but what we currently lack is not a better model but expertise on how to use them most appropriately.
Computer models of the climate system have a difficult time reproducing this sudden melt.
Computer models of the climate that include both natural forces as well as human influences are consistent with observed global trends in heat waves, warm days and nights, and frost days over the last four decades.13 Human influence has also been shown to have contributed to the increase of heavy precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere.14
We can design for that in
computer models of climate, just as architects design earthquake - resistant sky scrapers.
Computer models of the climate, while still imperfect, improved, and there were 10 more years of temperature data.