«We believe that
the Conservatives at the next election need to be seen to be taking on the big, difficult issues facing society and not be distracted by the Ukip agenda of Europe and immigration.»
Many Tory activists now say in public that which they would only voice in private just a few months ago; that they won't campaign for Cameron's
Conservatives at the next election.
Nearly 94 % of those who awarded him 8 or more out of 10 for his performance said they would vote
Conservative at the next election, falling to just under two thirds of those who gave him 5 out of 10.
While minor, the changes are enough to make the seat notionally
Conservative at the next election.
They have broken down the answers for all respondents and, more importantly, for the group of people who said they might consider voting
Conservative at the next election, but didn't vote conservative in 2005.
Party insiders said the findings showed they would all be at risk of losing to either Ukip or
the Conservatives at the next election, which is now widely expected before the end of the year.
The poll firstly asks if respondents might consider voting
Conservative at the next election — 42 % say they might, technically enough to win the next election, but a comparatively poor figure compared to the 56 % who might consider voting Labour and the 50 % who might consider voting Lib Dem.
Hazel Blears delivered a pugilistic speech to the Labour party conference this afternoon, saying she expects a real «fight» against
the Conservatives at the next election.
Today he has ruled out a non-aggression pact between his party and
the Conservatives at the next election.
And that includes 50 per cent of those respondents who intend to vote
Conservative at the next election.
• Nick Clegg firmly ruled out the prospect of an electoral pact with
the Conservatives at the next election.
A reputable new poll has found that 38 % of gay men intend to vote
Conservative at the next election — more than any other party, and a swing away from Labour of 14.2 %.
Lib Dem members reject the idea of an election pact with
the Conservatives at the next election by 21 % to 66 %.
Amongst voters as a whole there was already a significant difference — people would prefer Brown to Davis as PM by 45 % to 32 % and would prefer Brown to Cameron by 43 % to 38 % — the real contrast though was amongst «floating voters», the 28 % of voters who told ICM it was only «possible» that they would vote
Conservative at the next election.
Here is the latest in a series of lists categorising some of those standing as candidates in seats which are either notionally Conservative or appear on paper in the top 200 target seats for
the Conservatives at the next election.
But new research by Jake, a networking organisation for gay professionals, suggests a worrying trend for Labour, with 38 % of Jake members who took part saying they would vote
Conservative at the next election, 1 % higher than the general population, according to an average of recent opinion polls.
at the present rate, I will not be able to vote
conservative at the next election (i live in croydon central - where we won by 80 votes at the last election - so I am one of the lucky few that has a vote that counts).
Not exact matches
He might be able to make a new
Conservative Party out of the failures of the Progressive
Conservative Party of Alberta and he might be able to get the folks who don't want to vote Wildrosie to vote for his party candidates
at the
next provincial
election.
Even Jim Flahertyâ $ ™ s â $ œWe Donâ $ ™ t Pick Winnersâ $
Conservatives were under pressure in this budget to do something for the auto industry. The fact that
at least a dozen swing ridings in southwestern Ontario could determine the outcome of the
next election might have something to do with their sensitivity to the continuing industrial destruction being -LSB-...]
At this moment, the Republican party, and the
conservative cause with it, has a better than even chance of claiming an across the board supremacy in
next November's
election.
Just two - thirds of members now plan on voting
Conservative at the
next general
election, down from 90 % when the Tories were in opposition.
Labour is enjoying its strongest polling since Gordon Brown's honeymoon, as a new survey shows
Conservative voters are growing less likely to vote
at the
next election.
In his keynote speech
at the end of the Lib Dem conference in Brighton, Farron ruled out ever working with «Marxist» Jeremy Corbyn, who he said had given up on holding the
Conservative government to account or winning the
next election.
Previous
Conservative leaders have hit the sloughs of despair in the past and gone on to win where it really matters —
at the
next general
election.
Labour have only been out of power for two years, having left Britain with the biggest deficit in the OECD, and yet YouGov polling throughout the early half of May 2012 have put Labour between nine and thirteen points ahead of the
Conservatives, giving Labour a more than comfortable majority
at the
next General
Election.
At the fringe meeting — where Mr Blunkett and Fabian General Secretary Sunder Katwala were joined by Lib Dems Dr Evan Harris and John Leech MP — there was some disagreement about how the
Conservative - Lib Dem coalition would play out, especially when the
next General
Election draws nearer.
Details of the Thanet South poll were released after the local
Conservative MP Laura Sandys announced her intention to stand down
at the
next election.
The poll then asked those who were currently intending to vote for the
Conservatives, UKIP and the Liberal Democrats whether they would consider backing Labour
at the
next election.
Harman attacked the
Conservative Party
at the Labour Party Conference 2007, referring to them as the «nasty party» and suggesting that there would be little competition
at the
next election.
David Cameron gave
Conservative MPs «a very strong indication»
at the recent Parliamentary Party meeting that he wants to introduce legislation before 2015 for his planned EU referendum after the
next election.
Only just over half (52 %) of
Conservative defectors to UKIP, and only 60 % of Lib Dem defectors to Labour, ruled out returning to their 2010 parties
at the
next election.
As Peter Kellner shows on page 28, although the
Conservatives are
at present on course to win a clear majority, the
next election may well produce no clear victor; but hung parliaments come in various forms.
That 1 % Labour lead in May's
elections translates to the
Conservatives having a 10 — 12 % advantage
at the
next General
Election.
For the 2011 and 2012 local
elections the model is fairly certain that the
Conservatives will be the largest party
at the
next election.
Putting the Liberal Democrats to one side for the moment, the
election results for Labour and the
Conservatives are not
at all unusual, and in no way indicate a certain Labour victory
at the
next election.
As Eleanor Laing pointed out,
at the
next election a clear message can be sent to voters: «If we have a
Conservative government, they will have their say.»
My secondary model also predicts a very high probability that the
Conservatives will win the largest share of the vote
at the
next election (76.24 %) whilst Labour only has a 15.35 % chance.
But the PM and his team have something else in their sights; by the end of 2013, there will be just 18 months before the
next general
election, so expect a major effort
at Conservative Party HQ to start focusing on Ed Miliband's Labour operation.
1) Each local
election predicts that the
Conservatives will win more of the vote than Labour
at the
next election, though the confidence intervals for the 2012 and 2013
elections are overlapping.
From this, the BBC reported an estimate of national vote share of 31 % for the
Conservatives, 38 % for Labour and 16 % for the Liberal Democrats, meaning that if these results were replicated
at the
next general
election, Labour would win an 83 seat majority.
The uncertainty produced by the rise of UKIP is even more dramatically illustrated by a second model, which predicts the probability that the
Conservatives or Labour will be the largest party
at the
next election.
This
election is about choosing the government of our country for the
next five years, and the choice could not be starker between a
Conservative government led by me, continuing with a plan that's working, and putting it all
at risk.»
This forecast (which, incidentally, is almost identical to Steve Fisher's latest forecast — based on polling data — for all parties except the Liberal Democrats) suggests that the
Conservatives are likely to be the largest party
at the
next election.
Support for the
Conservatives is finally high enough to suggest the party could win an outright majority
at the
next general
election, according to a new poll.
The Majority section is an important new commitment to explore how the
Conservative Party can win a governing majority
at the
next election.
Project Blueprint, launched in May 2011, aimed to examine the state of the
Conservative voting coalition and to help identify what the party needed to do to achieve an overall majority
at the
next election.
We shall soon begin selecting prospective
Conservative Party candidates to fight seats
at the
next General
Election.
The
next few weeks will determine whether this ends up in a vote which,
at the very least, would help the
Conservatives identify dividing lines and make it a campaigning issue in the 2015 general
election.
A senior
Conservative MP has become the first of this parliament to confirm he will step down
at the
next general
election.
He was also careful to reject the idea that he could take up the Tory whip
at the
next election to avoid the wrath of Lib Dem voters, saying he would «never, never, never» join the
Conservative party.