Sentences with phrase «conservative lead in any poll»

This is the first Conservative lead in a poll since that brief narrowing in mid-May.

The nine point lead is the largest Conservative lead in any poll since May 1992, and the largest lead in a MORI poll since January 1989 (although MORI polls prior ro 2003 aren't really comparable).

Not exact matches

Given that the opinion polls at the moment have a small Conservative lead and given that four years ago when most of the seats were up for grabs there was a small Labour lead, if indeed the Labour party is gaining ground in London it must be losing ground somewhere else.

In the first wave of exit polls that came out at 12:00 PM ET, the pro-bailout, conservative New Democracy party held a razor thin 0.5 % lead over the leftist SYRIZA party.

With the Conservatives remaining mired in the Senate scandal and 56 % of Canadians in a year - end poll saying the government is doing a poor job, they'll want a fresh face to lead them into that race.

The five for the Conservatives were those who lead most in polls before last week: Bernier, O'Leary, Leitch, Scheer, and O'Toole.

Public opinion polling during the summer of 2008 placed the Conservatives and Liberals in a virtual dead heat, leading most to speculate at the time that if an election were held there would be a third minority government.

The recently formed United Conservative Party may be leading in the polls but the party is looking a lot less united.

Klein declared «miracle on the Prairies» on election night in 1993, after he secured the Alberta Progressive Conservative dynasty's seventh straight majority despite a bruising provincial deficit and a strong challenge (and erstwhile poll lead) by the Alberta Liberals.

As Barack Obama continues to widen his lead in the polls, conservative evangelicals seem to have rediscovered an affinity for biblical accounts of the Babylonian Captivity.

The pledge to freeze energy prices received wide support in post-election polling, and when it comes to which party would be better at increasing people's living standards, Miliband and his party have a lead (albeit, a narrow two - point one) over Cameron and the Conservatives.

The Conservatives under Mr Cameron are currently leading the polls as the most trusted party on the environment, although the government has now agreed to Tory and Liberal Democrat demands to introduce a climate change bill in the Queen's speech this month.

It's not particularly scientific, but in four of the six most recent ComRes opinion polls, the Conservative lead among men has been more than double that of the lead among women.

YouGov's polling for the Sun, it should be noted, puts Labour in the lead on 33 %, with the Conservatives on 32 % and Ukip on 15 %.

The poll commissioned by Conservative peer Michael Ashcroft found that Labour have extended their lead in the UK's most marginal seats.

The Fixed - term Parliaments Act (FTPA) was introduced by the Conservative - Liberal coalition government in 2011, primarily to prevent David Cameron, the prime minister at the time, from seizing on the first significant poll lead for the Conservatives to call an early election and win a Conservative majority.

But the average of the final polls in 2015 had Labour a couple of points higher than Labour are now, and the eventual Conservative lead in 2015 was 7 points bigger than it was in the final polls.

Those polls showed a considerable tightening of the Conservative lead and so a reduction in the predicted Tory majority.

In a number of Labour targets, constituency polls and local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.

For signing up to the Conservative's austerity agenda and reneging on its pledge to scrap university tuition fees, the party saw its poll ratings plummet, routinely struggling to hit 10 % — this after the halcyon days of the 2010 campaign, during which some polls even had them in the lead.

After yesterday's Channel 4 News poll showing plummeting Conservative support in key marginal seats, leading Tory lobbyist Peter Bingle emails colleagues to describe his «despair» at his party's election campaign.

A YouGov poll for the Evening Standard showed the Conservatives would be neck - and - neck with Labour in the polls on 37 per cent of the vote if they were led by Mr Johnson.

Taking the most recent poll published by each pollster in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative lead over Labour of more than 6 points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow polls with exactly a 6 point lead to contribute a 0.5 to the average.

Jeremy Corbyn and his party performed poorly elsewhere in the 2017 local elections and with a large Conservative poll lead, the Tories expected to make large gains in the area at the general election.

It was in the polls in the immediate aftermath of that launch that we see a much more dramatic narrowing of the Conservative lead among women than among men.

The Conservatives have seen a double - digit lead over Labour in the polls being dramatically cut since the bailout of banks by the government in October, the announcement of a # 20 billion fiscal stimulus by the prime minister and a 2.5 per cent cut in the rate of VAT.

For polls conducted in the past week, on average the Conservatives still had a large, 14 - point lead amongst men, but only a small, 4 - point lead amongst women.

A twenty - point lead in the polls may thus have seemed like an irresistible opportunity for the Conservative Party to call an election.

The poll will be welcome news for the Conservatives, marking their best ICM result since they won a three - point lead in March 2012, just before the «omnishambles» Budget triggered a wave of government errors and hammered the Tories» reputation for competence.

A YouGov poll published in the Daily Telegraph today shows the Conservative party holding a 21 - year - record lead over Labour with an 18 - point advantage.

I recall the same paper and company produced a similarly misleading poll in 1997, finding the Conservatives just 5 % behind Labour 10 days before John Major led the Tories to their worst defeat since Waterloo, Tony Blair securing a 179 - seat majority.

In 1992, the polls predicted a Labour lead only for the Conservatives to win a majority at election day.

I arrive at that figure by taking the current CON - LAB lead of 7 % in the latest polls and adding an expected 2.5 % underestimate in the Conservative lead over Labour based on my analysis of historical polling errors.

The last round of battleground polling I published found one clear Conservative lead and three very close races in seats where the Tory majority over Labour was between 8.8 % and 10.6 %.

In my last round of polling in Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeaIn my last round of polling in Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeain Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeain most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last yeain previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last year.

Based on this, I am expecting the polls to be in error again with the Conservative lead over Labour underestimated by 2.6 %.

Running in a more conservative district, she's even tiptoed toward the right, confident that her large primary lead — the most recent public poll was a Time Warner - Siena College poll that put Teachout leading Yandik 53 - 23 — won't hurt her in the primary.

Mr. DioGuardi, 69, has been leading in most primary polls and has the endorsement of the Conservative Party, which is crucial to Republicans running statewide.

Yet, just one point ahead at present, Labour have not enjoyed as much as a five point lead in the polls since last April, while the Conservatives have not been seven points ahead since shortly after the last election.

Today's Q poll is a mixed bag for GOP / Conservative gubernatorial designee Rick Lazio, showing him with a double - digit lead over his primary opponent, Carl Paladino, but with 49 percent of Republicans who have a favorite in the race saying they're open to changing their minds before the Sept. 14 election.

A YouGov poll in January 2012 also howed Ken Livingstone with a small two point lead against then then Conservative candidate Boris Johnson, only for the Labour candidate to go on to lose.

Temporary blip or not, if they start to record poll leads over the Conservatives then the pressure really would be on the Tories and the media narrative would be even more in Labour's favour.

The Labour lead over the Conservatives has narrowed dramatically in recent days, and is down to just one point in three different polls, including this one from YouGov for the Sunday Times

All those Conservatives who want Gordon Brown to stay as Labour leader will be relieved to learn of an ICM poll for The Sunday Telegraph and Sunday Mirror that gives the Labour candidate, Margaret Curran MSP, a 14 % lead over her SNP rival in the Glasgow East by - election, scheduled for 24th July.

Unlike ICM and YouGov's polls since the budget, there is no obvious Conservative leap here, in fact, their lead over Labour has narrowed and they are back under 40 %.

In late 1990 a spate of polls showed that if Michael Heseltine was leading the Conservatives they would do much better than if Mrs Thatcher was leading them.

[124] Some of the opinion polls had shown a 20 - point Conservative lead over Labour before the election was called, but this lead had narrowed by the day of the 2017 general election, which resulted in a hung parliament.

Black Wednesday in September 1992 damaged the Conservative government's reputation for economic competence, and by the end of that year Labour had a comfortable lead over the Tories in the opinion polls.

In a move that may be unconnected to the modest trimming of the Tory lead in national opinion polls the Conservative Party is «quietly withdrawing resources from some «landslide» seats to maximise David Cameron's chances of winning a workable majority.&raquIn a move that may be unconnected to the modest trimming of the Tory lead in national opinion polls the Conservative Party is «quietly withdrawing resources from some «landslide» seats to maximise David Cameron's chances of winning a workable majority.&raquin national opinion polls the Conservative Party is «quietly withdrawing resources from some «landslide» seats to maximise David Cameron's chances of winning a workable majority.»

After the YouGov poll at the weekend showed a narrowing in the Tory lead to 7 %, there is a new Populus poll in tomorrow's Times, which shows Labour flatlining on 30 % and a slight increase in the Conservative lead to 13 %.