Sentences with phrase «conservative marginal»

Politics: The constituency has a long history of being a Labour vs Conservative marginal, represented in the past by some colourful former MPs.

Politics: Long a Labour - Conservative marginal on paper, Gower remained tantalisingly out of Conservative reach even at their high tide marks of support.

A Labour / Conservative marginal.

The pragmatic caveat concerns the danger that, under the existing electoral system, switching to the Liberal Democrats in Labour - Conservative marginal constituencies might let in an anti-reform Tory party.

Made up of a number of ex-textile towns in east Lancashire including Accrington, Great Harwood and Clayton - le - Moors, it is described by Waller and Criddle in the latest edition of The Almanac of British Politics as a «classic Labour - Conservative marginal» which will see a «truly competitive» fight at the general election.

This applies to virtually all the Tory seats that Labour hopes to gain, for Conservative marginal are precisely the seats where Labour was turfed out last time.

These national poll findings suggest that the first time vote may well prove to be particularly open and up for grabs in LibDem - Conservative marginals, but it may be a challenge for both sides to persuade first time voters of the value of backing a candidate who has a chance in the constituency race.

What Ross shows is that Crosby recruited the best campaigners and pollsters, and carried out specific and detailed continuous polling in priority seats — Conservative marginals, but also Labour marginals, and increasingly in «safe» Lib Dem seats in the south and south west.

Therefore, Labour support is down by more than 11 % in Lab / Con marginals, and correspondingly, conservative support will be up more in Labour / Conservative marginals.

Such a result in these Labour / Conservative marginals would leave the Tories short of winning the 117 seats they need to take from the governing party in order to have an overall majority.

While left - leaning voters in Labour - Liberal marginals have deserted the party possibly forever, left - leaning voters in Liberal - Conservative marginals are still willing to lend their vote to Nick Clegg's party in order to keep the Tories out.

Amid all the jubilation over the Conservative conference last week, commentators and politicians neglected to mention the effect of right - wing Tory economic policy on Lib Dem - Conservative marginals.

It's not a very exciting finding — swing in Conservative marginals not vastly different to other seats — but it's one that gives me some confidence in the poll.

The first is the next cohort of Lib Dem - v - Conservative marginals, this group are those seats with a Lib Dem majority of between 9 % and 15 % over the Conservatives, so we are no longer looking at ultra-marginals.

As before, YouGov questioned people in the 60 Labour - Conservative marginals in those seats that Labour won by a margin of between 6 and 14 percentage points.

«This poll...,» he said, «will crystallise the choice for lots of voters, and particularly the Liberal - Conservative marginals.»

While many progressives are calling for anti-Tory tactical voting by Lib Dem supporters in the key 100 Labour - Conservative marginals, Clegg rejects this advice.

Ashcroft commissioned three parallel polls with identical questions — a telephone poll of Conservative marginals with Labour in second place, a telephone poll of Conservative marginals with Lib Dems in second place, and an online national poll.

The capital of Britain and a diverse three way battleground, in the South West are affluent battlegrounds between the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, inner London has both exclusive Tory bastions and safe Labour strongholds, the northern and south - eastern suburbs are packed with Labour vs Conservative marginals.

I have been looking at the new Conservative marginals in London and do think that Labour could repeat their 2015 performance here.

In truth, most of the remaining # 16bn is a juicy middle - class tax cut to sell in Conservative marginals around the country.

Not exact matches

I decided I had been too conservative and got rid of some of the marginal books.

The survey, carried out by ComRes, asked for the opinions of those living in the 40 most marginal Conservative and Labour constituencies.

Such conservatives, estimated by pollster Daniel Yankelovich as one American in five, are actually somewhat marginal to the mainstream of national life, have few polished spokespersons, and are given to unsophisticated and vehement expression of their resentment about assaults on their convictions and values.

Both groups were crucial elements of Clinton's coalition in 1992; and although there are religious conservatives in both traditions, the GOP has made only marginal inroads among them so far.

Whether this conversion efficiency is a good approximation for rice - eating populations with marginal - to - severe vitamin A deficiency, or perhaps is a conservative underestimate, has yet to be determined.

He did not stumble in politics though as his charisma led him to victory in the highly marginal seat of Lewisham North for the Conservatives in 1958.

But his attempt to cast himself as in the same boat as marginal Democrats in a Democrat - dominated state is certainly an interesting approach — one some of his more conservative colleagues might look askance at, and the Democrats more than likely won't let go unchallenged.

They'd be the biggest Tory mugs since chicken Conservative MPs quit before May in marginal seats the party retained in a fluky result.

First, while marginal seat polling has been too inconsistent to enable firm conclusions to be drawn, the regional variations bode well for the Conservatives.

While UKIP has few / no MPs it is not unreasonable to say that they have taken votes away from the Conservative party in recent years and potential UKIP voters are seen by many as key in some marginal constituencies especially in «working class» areas where many voters are socially to the right and economically to the left.

Ukip are replacing the Conservatives as the natural challengers to Labour in marginal seats across the country according to new polling conducted for the party.

In the key marginal of Thanet South in Kent, the Conservative party are set to lose the seat to Labour with Ukip coming a close second, according to the first of eight new constituency polls.

The poll commissioned by Conservative peer Michael Ashcroft found that Labour have extended their lead in the UK's most marginal seats.

How can the Conservatives ever secure London marginals that have become Labour safe seats overnight, such as Tooting and Ealing Central and Acton?

My research in 2014 has included a weekly national telephone poll, surveys in over 100 marginal seats, two rounds of my Project Blueprint research on the quest for a Conservative majority, a detailed study of voters» attitudes to Europe, polling - day surveys of voters in the European elections, five by - election polls, and regular updates on the state of the parties.

I decided to commission my own research to establish the real state of public opinion: the true level of support for the parties, the underlying attributes associated with each, whether the picture in marginal seats really was different to that in Britain as a whole, whether the Conservatives» 164 - seat battleground made sense, and why the candidates I was helping to fund were finding it so hard to build support.

In July I published research conducted in marginal constituencies showing that 30 of the Lib Dems» 57 seats were vulnerable to the Conservatives.

UKIP's ratings in Conservative - Labour marginals threaten to put Miliband in Number 10

Below is the text of my presentation at the Conservative Party Conference this afternoon setting out my latest research in marginal seats and the Tories» challenge in building an election - winning coalition of voters.

My study of the most marginal seats the Lib Dems were defending against Labour and the Conservatives, published in June, found the party on course to lose most of its most vulnerable seats, with a few notable exceptions.

After yesterday's Channel 4 News poll showing plummeting Conservative support in key marginal seats, leading Tory lobbyist Peter Bingle emails colleagues to describe his «despair» at his party's election campaign.

Other groups, some even more marginal, have filled the mailboxes of grass - roots conservatives with similar high - decibel appeals.

On 12 October 2007 he was accused by Labour MPs of being allowed to heavily fund local Conservative organisations in marginal seats of his choosing.

At the 2005 election, her seat became the most marginal in Wales as her Conservative challenger reduced her majority to 1,146.

«The UKIP threat is draining Tory support in key marginal seats so much that the party could let Ed Miliband into Downing Street, according to a poll released today by Lord Ashcroft, former deputy chairman of the Conservative party.

> Today: Lord Ashcroft on Comment - UKIP's ratings in Conservative - Labour marginals threaten to put Miliband in Number 10

«CCHQ approves strong immigration message for campaigning in marginal seats Main The pre-election «ground war» is being won by the Conservatives»

In fact, ERS research shows the Conservatives could have won an overall majority with just 533 extra votes in the nine most marginal constituencies — a reflection of a broken and volatile voting system, but also a hint that this debate may have had an effect on the overall outcome.

The 1990s electoral tactic of announcing drastic future expenditure targets and forcing Labour to accept or reject them is designed for an electoral battleground for the swing voters in the marginal seats in contention between Labour and the Conservatives, almost all of which are in England.