Considering predictions made previously -LSB-...]
By its very nature, a model is a simplification of reality, so the final step when
we consider predictions made by numerical models is to assess the uncertainty in our predictions.
Not exact matches
Many of these assets are
considered to be «safe - havens» for traditional market investors, a fact that can at times
make a
prediction of their direction of movement a tad simpler to derive.
It might finish nil all and you could be
considered first to
make that
prediction — saying not gonna predict anything score.
The role of the fans at this juncture it our club's history appears lost of most individuals who frequent this site following a victory... I'll explain further, but first I must state that I have cared for this club dearly for the better part of 35 years, so my critique is both measured and carefully
considered... there is certainly nothing wrong with celebrating a victory, regardless of the circumstances, but
making wild
predictions or fawning over players after a lacklustre win solves very little, if anything it enables those in charge to continue down the road too frequently traveled
Arsene Wenger is
making brave
predictions ahead of the big game against Man United,
considering that Arsenal have never beaten any side managed by Mourinho in the Premier League.
Match
Predictions: A great game for the neutrals and of course Leicester City who can
make history by winning their very first premier league title but United have been in pretty good form of late and they will be slightly favourite going into the game specially
considering Vardy is suspended.
Dr Golec de Zavala says this research introduces collective narcissism as a new variable to
consider when
making predictions for political behavior.
For maximum accuracy, height must be
considered when
making such
predictions.
It's only July and some might
consider it a bit too early to be
making any
predictions about who's going to win, but we can't help ourselves.
A Powerpoint presentation lesson introducing the themes of the A Midsummer Night's Dream by William Shakespeare, getting students to
consider their own dreams, and whether they can
make a
prediction about the plot of this play.
Consider this Senate hearing where the then frequently
made prediction that we would need «2 million new teachers over the next 10 years» was repeated by Senator Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts:
I mean,
considering the fact that the biggest offline seller of books in the US Borders is facing huge financial issues, and the
predictions that have been
made that Amazon's e-Book business is going to
make $ 2.5 billion in 2012, why should the Author's Guild be concerned about some minor issue of Text to Speech on the Kindle!
Quite the contrary: they plan not by
making particular
predictions about what will happen but by
considering general scenarios — particularly pessimistic scenarios — of what might conceivably happen.
Whether economists, quantitative analysts, chartists or guys who pull numbers out of the air, most people do not
consider balance sheets when
making predictions.
George PS, strictly speaking Kelvin wasn't
making a
prediction, he was asserting his
considered opinion.
To
consider the hypothesis we really need to view the big picture, and
make some robust
predictions which are capable of being disproved.
In the first place, almost all science can be
considered to be «mathematical modeling» in one sense or another; if you were to attempt to predict how long it takes a baseball dropped from six feet to reach the floor, you would probably use Newton's laws and
make your
prediction based on the equation t = sqrt (2s / g) where s is the distance fallen and g is the local acceleration of gravity.
Stick to the past analysis, but don't try to
make predictions for the future without
considering all the constraints.
If the record had been a tropical jungle or sea I'd have
considered my hypothesis falsfied but so far every
prediction made by it fits what has been observed with the sole exception of the Antarctic interior but that may be due to exceptional characteristics such as the strong polar vortex, ozone hole, and a temperature far lower than anywhere else on the planet.
The point I was
making then was a bit more subtle: it's interesting to
consider the year the «
prediction» in that paper was
made.
To point out just a couple of things: — oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (
made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be
considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to
make us able to
make good analisyses and
predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated
predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy — global warming is not
considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will
make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.
Furthermore, if ONE Global Climate Model was verified — if it produced useful
predictions (that's in advance and all...: — RRB --RRB- I'd be impressed and more likely to
consider it a useful tools in unravelling our climate, assessing risk benefits, and in
making policy decisions.
Another elementary error people are
making in the thread is to
consider which scenario produced has the closest temperature to actuality, and effectively treat that as a
prediction of the forcing.
They often want government to intervene to avoid what they claim is a horrible catastrophe for modern civilization in the
making — which never seems to happen (
consider, for example, how badly their
predictions of future global warming have worked out).
To support the
predictions made on this site, we've analyzed hundreds of decisions where Canadian courts have expressly
considered the Bardal Factors in determining what period of notice an employee should reasonably be given on termination of their employment.
Kuo doesn't
make any
predictions about the prices for the two OLED phones, but
considering that the iPhone X sells for $ 999 / # 999 / AU$ 1,579, there's little doubt that the bigger of the two will certainly be much more expensive.
If you are
considering a significant move like opening a brokerage, it is important that you thoroughly research and analyze the economic history of your area and follow the measures economists use to
make market
predictions.
Considering that you have three competing properties in the same block renting for $ 1,495, I'll
make the
prediction that it will not lease for $ 1,700.
The bottom line is that recent trends within the Phoenix housing market, along with forecasts and
predictions from analysts, seem to
make a strong case for buying a home sooner rather than later — for those
considering a purchase, at least.