«Global
Cooling After the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo: A Test of Climate Feedback by Water Vapor» Soden et al, Science 26 April 2002
Soden, B.J., R.T. Wetherald, G.L. Stenchikov, and A. Robock, 2002: Global
cooling after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo: A test of climate feedback by water vapour.
This study highlights the role of water vapor feedback in amplifying the global
cooling after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo.
pdf: Soden et al. 2002, Global
Cooling After the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo, A Test of Climate Feedback by Water Vapor
This study highlights the role of water vapor feedback in amplifying the global
cooling after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo.
* Soden et al. 2002, Science, «Global
Cooling After the Eruption of Mount Pinatubo: A Test of Climate Feedback by Water Vapor» * Dessler et al. 2008, GRL, «Water - vapor climate feedback inferred from climate fluctuations, 2003 - 2008» * Gettelman & Fu, 2007, J. Climate, «Observed and Simulated Upper - Tropospheric Water Vapor Feedback»
Not exact matches
After large volcanic
eruptions that pump sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere, such as that of mount Pinatubo in the Philippines in 1991, the planet
cools for a year or two.
Besides SSCE, scientists have also been investigating stratospheric sulfur injections — firing sun - reflecting aerosols into the air, similar to the
cooling effect
after a volcanic
eruption — and cirrus cloud thinning, where you thin the top level of clouds, which have a warming effect on the planet.
Subsequent, unusually large and frequent
eruptions of other volcanoes, as well as sea - ice / ocean feedbacks persisting long
after the aerosols have been removed from the atmosphere, may have prolonged the
cooling through the 1700s.
Researchers know that large amounts of aerosols can significantly
cool the planet; the effect has been observed
after large volcanic
eruptions.
Not until
after a catastrophic chain of volcanic
eruptions cooled the Earth and decimated those competitors did dinosaurs become dominant worldwide.
It's also now well understood that large volcanic
eruptions have a short - term
cooling effect, see GW FAQ: effect of volcanic activity (short - term being the key phrase,
after Church et al Nature 2005, and also http://www.llnl.gov/str/JulAug02/Santer.html)
Global
cooling after volcanic
eruptions has been recorded in ice core data and thermometers,: 1809, 1815, 1883, 1980 etc. and others.
The short - term variations are dominated by ENSO but also can be influenced by large tropical volcanic
eruptions (such as occurred in 1963, 1982 and, markedly, 1991), so the years
after those
eruptions are anomalously
cool.
The book was published shortly
after the end of the Persian Gulf War and the planet -
cooling eruption of Mount Pinatubo.
After all, the Pinatubo
eruption had similar qualities but its
cooling effect only lasted about a year.
The book was published shortly
after the end of the Persian Gulf War and the planet -
cooling eruption of Mount Pinatubo.
(For instance, do the models predict
cooling after big volcanic
eruptions?
We use the global
cooling and drying of the atmosphere that was observed
after the
eruption of Mount Pinatubo to test model predictions of the climate feedback from water vapor.
In other words, if we are
after a cause (or causes) for the temperature increase during the period in question, the presence or absence of aerosols from volcanic
eruptions is beside the point, because they can not explain any increase in temperatures that occurred prior to any
cooling effect they might have had.
«
After the maximum
cooling for low - latitude
eruptions the temperature relaxes back toward the initial state...» Get it?
If not corrected for the above influence, it will show too much
cooling after major
eruptions, while the reconstruction of Moberg has a reduced impact of tree rings vs. other proxies, thus is less influenced by them.
Some longer - term effects may remain
after several consecutive
eruptions, but even then, the 0.1 K
cooling by volcanic
eruptions over the past 600 years (0.3 K modeled over the past 100 years, see fig. 1 on this page) seems rather high...
But they also start to wonder why surface
cooling is ``... clearly documented
after some
eruptions (for example, Gunung Agung, Bali, in 1963) but not others — for example, El Chichon, Mexico, in 1982...» Well, I had to see what that meant.
The models successfully predicted the climatic response
after the
eruption, a
cooling influence that lasted a couple of years.
For severla months
after the
eruption the world had unusually
cool weather, the distinctive red sunsets and prolonged twilight all due to the spread of particles through the air.
For instance,
after the 1991
eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, scientists noticed the cloud created by the volcano that circled the globe reflected about 10 pe... rcent of the earth's sunlight from 1991 to 1993,
cooling the earth by 1 degree for that period.
After a large volcanic
eruption, the layer of sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere gets thicker, and we see, in the historic record, that the Earth
cools down in response.
Volcanic activity was high during this period of history, and we know from modern studies of volcanism that
eruptions can have strong
cooling effects on the climate for several years
after an
eruption.
He writes: I say this is a result of the action of climate phenomena that oppose the
cooling... if my theory were correct, we should see a volcanic signal in some other part of the climate system involved in governing the temperature... I should see an increase in the heat contained in the Pacific Ocean
after the
eruptions Thing is, El Ninos release heat from the ocean, they don't store heat.
In fact, the rate of change of CO2 levels actually drops slightly
after a volcanic
eruption, possibly due to the
cooling effect of aerosols.
In effect, these particles — whether aerosols or kitchen table salt — could act like natural aerosols that
cool the planet
after a volcanic
eruption.
But the expected acceleration due to climate change is likely hidden in the satellite record because of a happenstance of timing: The record began soon
after the Pinatubo
eruption, which temporarily
cooled the planet, causing sea levels to drop.»
[Using the GISS record staring in 1991 or 1992 — the
cool years just
after the volcanic
eruption of Mt. Pinatubo]
They are used to explain the
cooling after the Pinatubo
eruption, or the Little Ice Age
cooling as a...
Generally, a significant
cooling of the surface occurs in the first weeks
after major volcanic
eruptions, lasting for one to two years and leading to modified patterns of precipitation, surface pressure and the teleconnection patterns, such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)
As the gas cloud reached its maximum size and concentration a year
after the
eruption, the strongest effect of the
cooling was felt.
The Sulfate
cooling mechanism is also evidenced whenever there is a high ejecta mass volcanic
eruption, which causes a measurable
cooling effect, for about 3 years
after an
eruption; until the sulfate particulate aerosols diminish in the atmosphere to the point that they become negligible.
The short - term variations are dominated by ENSO but also can be influenced by large tropical volcanic
eruptions (such as occurred in 1963, 1982 and, markedly, 1991), so the years
after those
eruptions are anomalously
cool.
Third: There was no
cooling in the 1920s; in fact that was the start of a multidecadal warming trend that lasted until just
after World War II (followed by a brief
cooling trend, possibly due to increased aerosols dimming incoming sunlight together with some pretty big volcanic
eruptions which did the same thing).
Observations of recent global warming, short - term
cooling after major volcanic
eruptions,
cooling at the Last Glacial Maximum and other periods in the historical record, and the seasonal variation in climate, all provide some information which helps to determine the value of climate sensitivity.
We'd expect to see the imprint of this large error in comparisons with observed surface temperature changes over the 20th century (37 - 42), and in comparisons with the observed
cooling after large volcanic
eruptions (30, 43, 44).