Sentences with phrase «coupled model intercomparison»

The IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) relies heavily on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5), a collaborative climate modelling process coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP).

Arctic sea - ice cover will diminish rapidly under global warming, but its rate of retreat in boreal winter shows large intermodel differences across the models involved in Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project...

We investigate the performance of the newest generation multi-model ensemble (MME) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

Change in net primary productivity (plant growth) projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

Other researchers uncovered large uncertainties in climate predictions made by the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), a widely used, multimodel tool for climate analysis.

Change in land carbon storage projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

The paper draws from observational data and model ouput from the models used in the third and fifth phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

We then used daily climate projections (from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 [CMIP5]-RRB- under strong (i.e., representative concentration pathway [RCP] 2.6), moderate (i.e., RCP 4.5), and business - as - usual (i.e., RCP 8.5) mitigation scenarios to quantify the number of days in a given year that fall within climate thresholds for plant growth.

Although tropical precipitation change remains uncertain, nearly all models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 predict a strengthening zonal precipitation asymmetry by 2100, with relative increases over Asian and African tropical forests and decreases over South American forests.

We obtained daily projections of temperature, soil moisture, and solar radiation from recent Earth System Models developed as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (S1 Table).

Analyses of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) multimodel ensemble of global warming simulations confirm the validity of the diagnostic method that separates the fast and slow responses.

This paper acknowledges the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM) and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)

Knutti et al. (2010a) investigated the behaviour of the state - of - the - art climate model ensemble created by the World Climate Research Programme's Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3, Meehl et al. 2007), and found that the truth centred paradigm is incompatible with the CMIP3 ensemble: the ensemble mean does not converge to observations as the number of ensemble members increases, and the pairwise correlation of model errors (the differences between model and observation) between two ensemble members does not average to zero (Knutti et al. 2010a; Annan and Hargreaves 2010; hereafter AH10).

Area - average rainfall anomalies for model simulations with natural forcings only were compared to simulations with both anthropogenic and natural forcings using 16 models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5.

@ David L. Hagen January 9, 2012 at 7:34 am I do not know what can be done to add my model to the list of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

The study uses an extensive suite of existing simulations with the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrologic model driven by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) climate simulations to train and evaluate the nonlinear and nonstationary Generalized Extreme Value conditional density network (GEVcdn) model of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate change scenarios.

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP; currently in it's 6th phase) is organized under the auspices of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) and designed to better understand past, present, and future climate change through coordinated international multi-model experiments that have become a central element of national and international assessments of climate change, e.g., IPCC reports.

Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) mostly during the years 2005 and 2006, and this archived data constitutes phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3).

Activity between 2012 - 2013 was focused on evaluating the emerging international archive of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (WCRP CMIP5) and developing strategies to efficiently represent the diversity of results that CMIP5 will provide under the new «Representative Concentration Pathways» greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.

In all, 73 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project are plotted against observations so that their respective 1979 - 2012 trend lines all intersect in 1979, which we believe is the most meaningful way to simultaneously plot the models» results for comparison to the observations.»

The models whose physical formulation and simulation characteristics are described here are intended to be supplied to the public as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 in support of the IPCC Fifth Assessment.

Finally, the statistical estimate for the transient climate response falls within the range of estimates generated by climate models run for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)(26).

We analyze global climate model simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(51).

Past climate models, as judged by the performance of the majority of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 (CMIP3) simulations used in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, underestimated the observed linear trend in Arctic sea ice loss (Stroeve et al., 2007).

Initiatives such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) can be useful but do not test basic assumptions such as linearity and feedback common to most models.

In addition to collaborative work we do with these models, one of the primary ways that these models contribute to the scientific community's attempt to reduce uncertainty in future carbon uptake is through participation in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).

The role played by volcanic - induced cooling in the recent warming hiatus is not accurately described in the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

Ocean response to volcanic eruptions in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 simulations.

We use simulation output from 20 climate models participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP's) Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), and we thank the climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output.

The results of the DCPP are a contribution to the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), to the WCRP Grand Challenge on Near Term Climate Prediction (NTCP), potentially to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), to the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS), and as one of the bases for the development of a WMO Commission for Basic Systems (CBS) Global Decadal Climate Outlook (GDCO) in support of applications.

They then looked at 11 different climate models that predict precipitation and CAPE through this century and are archived in the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

This hindcast setting roughly follows the experimental design of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP5) for decadal climate prediction (Taylor et al. 2009; Murphy et al. 2010).

Using output from Global Climate Models participating in the Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, PCIC has applied a statistical downscaling method called BCSD to create a set of downscaled climate projections of precipitation, minimum temperature and maximum temperature.

Elevated sea temperatures drive impacts such as mass coral bleaching and mortality (very high confidence), with an analysis of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble projecting the loss of coral reefs from most sites globally by 2050 under mid to high rates of ocean warming (very likely).

* be full 3D coupled ocean - atmospheric GCMs, * be documented in the peer reviewed literature, * have performed a multi-century control run (for stability reasons) and * have participated in CMIP2 (Second Coupled Model Intercomparison Project).

3) Review and assess Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) practices and procedures to determine if they adhere to modeling best practices and provide sufficient guidance to the various modeling groups.

Objective measures of climate model performance are proposed and used to assess simulations of the 20th century, which are available from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) archive.

Here we assess the reliability of AW in the 21st century climate projections by 20 climate models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

These Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) simulations were statistically downscaled and used to drive the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrology model over several watersheds.

CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction

Alternatively, an automated procedure based on a cluster initialization algorithm is proposed and applied to changes in 27 climate extremes indices between 1986 — 2005 and 2081 — 2100 from a large ensemble of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations.

Here we introduce a new climate model evaluation package that quantifies differences between observations and simulations contributed to the World Climate Research Programme's Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP).

Eyring, V., S. Bony, G. A. Meehl, C. Senior, B. Stevens, R. J. Stouffer, and K. E. Taylor (2015), Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organisation, Geosci.

Here seven GVMs are used to investigate possible responses of global natural terrestrial vegetation to a major new set of future climate and atmospheric CO2 projections generated as part of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)(6), the primary climate modeling contribution to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment.

«The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity ranges from 2.1 °C to 4.7 °C and is very similar to the assessment in the AR4.

«The NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX - GDDP) dataset is comprised of downscaled climate scenarios for the globe that are derived from the General Circulation Model (GCM) runs conducted under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and across two of the four greenhouse gas emissions scenarios known as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).

The study uses recently updated surface air temperature datasets assessed by the IPCC, and climate change simulations from models participating in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

The GISS climate models presented are those stored in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 (CMIP5) archive.

This appears to be related to a poor representation of the spatial relationships between rainfall variability and zonal wind patterns across southeast Australia in the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project ensemble, particularly in the areas where weather systems embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies are the main source of cool - season rainfall.