Crop model simulations were conducted for the baseline climate and for each of the three climate scenarios, with and without CO2 enrichment (to estimate the relative contributions of CO2 and climate to
crop yield changes), and assuming different levels of adaptation capacity.
Hertel, T.W., M.B. Burke, and D.B. Lobell, 2010: The poverty implications of climate - induced
crop yield changes by 2030.
Not exact matches
Even resistant - to -
change farmers are taking control: No longer at the mercy of the natural elements, they're harnessing big data to maximize
crop yields and increase productivity.
If more people
changed their economic philosophy to embrace that, we would
yield a bumper
crop of jobs.
«We are the first business in the world to have launched an SMS platform that enables farmers to access tailored information sourced sustainably — and with the potential to scale — from within the farming community itself, so that they can increase resilience to climate
change, increase
crop yield and improve their livelihoods whether or not they are online.»
With the global population rising continuously, urbanization rapidly reducing land for farming, and climate
change threatening stable
crop production, a significant improvement in genetic
yield potential is one of the most crucial goals in rice research.
* Spring wheat
yield seen at 45.5 bu / acre, up 8 pct vs 2011 * Tour pegs durum
yield at 42.6 bu / acre, up 34 pct vs 2011 * Three - day tour concludes Thursday in Fargo, North Dakota (New throughout;
changes dateline from previous BOTTINEAU, North Dakota) By Julie Ingwersen DEVILS LAKE, North Dakota, July 25 (Reuters)- Favorable growing conditions should result in above - average
yields for the U.S. spring and durum wheat
crops in northwest...
«Higher temperatures and
changes in precipitation result in pressure on
yields from important
crops in much of the world,» says IFPRI agricultural economist Gerald Nelson, an author of the report, «Climate
Change, Agriculture, and Food Security: Impacts and Costs of Adaptation to 2050».
In a further setback to reducing U.S. carbon emissions, the U.S Environmental Protection Agency has proposed lowering the U.S. government's «social cost» of carbon, or the estimated cost of sea - level rise, lower
crop yields, and other climate -
change related economic damages, from $ 42 per ton by 2020 to a low of $ 1 per ton.
Rapid population growth and the constant need for greater
crop yields have fueled the
change.
But then there are other components with competing potential outcomes — for instance, will a
change of three degrees make
crop yields go up or down?
Higher resolution fluorescence mapping could one day be used to help assess
crop yields and how they respond to drought and heat in a
changing climate.
«The new framework allows us to make those calculations so that the five adaptations in the eight climate
change scenarios can be assessed against what the
crop yield would be if no adaptations were initiated by farmers.»
«If farmers don't do anything about climate
change in West Africa, there will be a severe impact — a net loss in
crop yield.
The researchers also cautioned that the impacts of a
changing climate on
crop yields remain uncertain.
«Most modeling studies that look at the impact of climate
change on
crop yield and the fate of agriculture don't take into account whether the water available for irrigation will
change,» Monier says.
In predicting how climate will affect irrigated
crop yields in the future, the researchers also consider factors such as population and economic growth, as well as competing demands for water from various socioeconomic sectors, which are themselves projected to
change as the climate warms.
«
Crop yields have steadily improved over the past 60 years, but the amount of water required to produce one ton of grain remains unchanged — which led most to assume that this factor could not
change.
Known for its beauty and also as an important source of food, the sunflower is a global oil
crop that shows promise for climate
change adaptation because it can maintain stable
yields across a wide variety of environmental conditions, including drought.
While wheat and barley
crop yields have risen largely through varietal
change and have now plateaued, the sugar beet
yield has shot up with the warmer winters.
Professor Martin A. J. Parry of the Lancaster Environment Centre (LEC) said: «Improving the efficiency of photosynthesis — the way
crops turn carbon dioxide in our atmosphere into everything we can eat — may seem ambitious but for us it offers the best opportunity for producing the scale of
change in
crop yield that we need to feed a growing global population in a
changing world climate.»
Improved agricultural water management could halve the global food gap by 2050 and buffer some of the harmful climate
change effects on
crop yields.
But scientists will likely have to be very clever to assure that vital food
crop yields keep pace with the coming climate of
change.
In essence, for every 10 percent reduction in
crop yield as a result of climate
change an additional 2 percent of Mexicans would emigrate.
Based on historical patterns of emigration,
crop yield and climate
change between 1995 and 2005, the researchers project that as much as 10 percent of Mexico's population could be forced to migrate in coming decades.
«The results clearly showed that modest amounts of climate
change can have a big impact on
yields of several
crops in Europe,» said Stanford doctoral student Frances Moore, who conducted the research with David Lobell, an associate professor of environmental Earth system science.
Lloyd, S. J., R. S. Kovats, and Z. Chalabi, 2011: Climate
change,
crop yields, and undernutrition: Development of a model to quantify the impact of climate scenarios on child undernutrition.
They point to direct effects resulting from rising temperatures and
changes in the frequency and strength of storms, floods, droughts, and heat - waves — as well as to less direct impacts, such as
changes in
crop yields, the burden and distribution of infectious disease, and climate - induced population displacement and violent conflict.
As part of varied approaches at the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) to unleash the power of wheat biodiversity, researchers from India and Mexico have been mobilizing native diversity from ancestral versions of wheat and related grasses to heighten the
crop's resilience to dryness and heat — conditions that have held back wheat
yields for several decades and will worsen as earth's climate
changes.
Also, they said in their grant application, «due to climate
change and extensive drought conditions, it is becoming important to breed and design
crop plants that are drought tolerant and deliver robust
yields even under limited water availability.»
We focus instead on one major insect pest --- wheat stem sawfly (Cephus cinctus Norton)-- on Montana's dominant
crop, wheat, to illustrate the mechanisms and principles involved in assessing climate
change effects on agricultural pests and their impacts on
crop yield or quality.
Similar
changes in other
crops could expand the geographic range of these
crops, or stimulate an earlier
yield.
CIAT's big data operation has
yielded game -
changing discoveries for the Colombian rice industry — solutions that can easily be scaled up and broadened to include other
crops.
While climate
change in recent decades has been found to negatively affect
crop yields in many regions, a new study led by Carnegie's Julia Pongratz is the first to examine the potential effect of geoengineering on food security.
We are at a remarkable juncture where (i) the price of oil and nitrogen - based fertilizers is expected to increase, (ii) the long term availability of phosphorus for fertilizers is in doubt, (iii) the erosion of soil is reducing
yields, and (iv) climate
change brings extreme weather that impacts
crop survival and productivity.
Genetic modification and selective breeding to increase
crop yields over the years has dramatically
changed the genetics and chemical composition of wheat.
Essentially, big agra has hybridized wheat heavily over the last 5 decades to improve things such as
crop yield and baking characteristics, but never once thought about the impacts on human health of
changing the biochemical structure of wheat.
Just like on console and PC, the selling price of the different
crops regularly
changes, but because you don't have to wait very long between harvests, you can sell your
yield, buy a tractor, and make most of that money back in under an hour.
Certainly climate
change does not help every region equally, but careful studies predict overall benefits — fewer storms, more rain, better
crop yields, longer growing seasons, milder winters, and lower heating costs in colder climates.
Based on many studies covering a wide range of regions and
crops, negative impacts of climate
change on
crop yields have been more common than positive impacts (high confidence)... Since AR4, several periods of rapid food and cereal price increases following climate extremes in key producing regions indicate a sensitivity of current markets to climate extremes among other factors (medium confidence).
Climate
change will progressively increase inter-annual variability of
crop yields in many regions.
Here's the report: Linkages among climate
change,
crop yields and Mexico - US cross-border migration
Climate
change effects on agriculture will have consequences for food security both in the U.S. and globally, not only through
changes in
crop yields, but also
changes in the ways climate affects food processing, storage, transportation, and retailing.
Click the «
Crop Yields...» link to see the abstract in Nature Climate
Change with no free access.
It began a program called Harita (Horn of Africa Risk Transfer for Adaptation) in Tigray that included insurance as part of a larger climate
change - adjustment program, which includes access to credit, help with savings and programs to increase
crop yields.
In fact, the I.P.C.C. WGII report, in the chapter on North America says «Research since the [last IPCC report] supports the conclusion that moderate climate
change will likely increase
yields on North American rain fed agriculture... Most studies project likely climate - related
yield increases of 5 - 20 % over the first decades of the century... Major challenges are projected for
crops that are near the warm end of their suitable range or depend on highly utilized water resources.»
[T] he main actors are parents
changing population, workers
changing affluence, consumers
changing the diet (more or less calories, more or less meat) and also the portion of
crops entering the food supply (corn can fuel people or cars), and farmers
changing the
crop production per hectare of cropland (
yield).
A new study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences examining the effects on immigration of decreased
crop yields due to climate
change finds that by 2080 millions of Mexican farmers could be forced to
Through the adoption of smart carbon farming practices, an acre of land could store anywhere from 10 to 100 tons or more of carbon, which can help both mitigate climate
change and improve
crop yields.
These environmentally friendly alternative income sources help local families who often run short of money after the annual coffee harvest or have seen decreasing
crop yields due to
changing weather patterns.