Cumulative emissions range from 2043 GtCO2 to 3573 GtCO2 between 2000 and 2100.
Not exact matches
A
cumulative industrial - era limit of ∼ 500 GtC fossil fuel
emissions and 100 GtC storage in the biosphere and soil would keep climate close to the Holocene
range to which humanity and other species are adapted.
A limit of approximately 500 GtC on
cumulative fossil fuel
emissions, accompanied by a net storage of 100 GtC in the biosphere and soil, could keep global temperature close to the Holocene
range, assuming that the net future forcing change from other factors is small.
By some estimates,
cumulative emissions in 2014 might be higher than the models simply be because
emissions were consistently above the RCP
range between 2005 - 2014.
Following these informal discussions, delegates agreed on text stating that limiting the warming caused by anthropogenic CO2
emissions alone with a probability
range of greater than 33 %, 50 %, and 66 %, to less than 2ºC since the period 1861 - 1880, will require
cumulative CO2
emissions from all anthropogenic sources to stay between 0 and about 1560 GtC, 0 and about 1210 GtC, and 0 and about 1000 GtC.
Carbon and Other Biochemical Cycles: On
cumulative fossil fuel
emissions for the 2012 - 2100 period, China, Kenya and Venezuela, opposed by Germany, said presenting figures for the means together with the
ranges created confusion.
Extending this analysis to include pathways with
cumulative emissions of more than 3 TtC, a resultant warming of more than 3 — 4 °C, or cases in which temperatures fail to peak by 2500 would be possible in principle, but would take us outside the
range of pathways for which such a simple model is appropriate.
We choose the
ranges of the parameters to give a
range of
emission pathways with
cumulative emissions to 2200 between 0.7 and 3 TtC.
This limited
range of pathways all have a rate of warming less than 0.2 °C per decade, which initially suggests that a
cumulative emissions target could be used to constrain rates of warming, assuming that rates of decline are kept at less than 4 per cent per year.
We consider other
emission metrics, such as the
emissions in year 2020 and 2050, and find that these cause a much wider
range of magnitudes of resultant peak warming than metrics based on
cumulative carbon
emissions to the time of peak warming.
A
cumulative industrial - era limit of ∼ 500 GtC fossil fuel
emissions and 100 GtC storage in the biosphere and soil would keep climate close to the Holocene
range to which humanity and other species are adapted.
It gives a TCR
range of 1.0C - 2.5 C and a transient response to
cumulative CO2
emissions of 0.8C - 2.5 C. Again, no best estimates, so they really don't know what climate sensitivity might actually be; could be low, could be high.