«Per NOAA, Climate Impact of Cumulative CO2 Emissions Since 1880 Approaching Nil Main Climate FactCheck: Is
Current Global Ocean Warming Unprecedented?
Not exact matches
In the
current context of
global warming it is important to assess the impacts that changes in
ocean and climate may have on Antarctica, and reconstructing past climate fluctuations provides vital information on the responses and possible feedback mechanisms within the climate system.
The incoming water, part of the
global conveyor belt of
currents circulating throughout the
oceans, is relatively
warm and salty compared with the rest of the Southern
Ocean.
The Pacific
Ocean's
current cool phase is driving the
global warming slowdown — but that countering effect is not going to last, scientists say.
Our
global climate models zoom down to finer and finer resolutions; our satellites reveal remote corners of the globe; we increase our understanding of the response of giant ice sheets and deep
ocean currents to a
warming planet.
Starting from the same kernel of scientific truth as did The Day After Tomorrow — that
global warming could disrupt
ocean currents in the North Atlantic — a study commissioned by the Pentagon, of all organizations, concluded that the «risk of abrupt climate change... should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a U.S. national security concern.»
Extreme weather does not prove the existence of
global warming, but climate change is likely to exaggerate it — by messing with
ocean currents, providing extra heat to forming tornadoes, bolstering heat waves, lengthening droughts and causing more precipitation and flooding.
If it is permanent, «it is logical to suggest that the winds and
ocean currents change accordingly and switch us into a new regime where heat is not buried so deeply, and we jump to the next level in
global warming,» Trenberth said.
The observed increase in freshwater content will affect the conditions in all Greenland fjords and may ultimately affect the
global ocean currents that keep Europe
warm.
«Our research indicates that as
global warming continues, parts of East Antarctica will also be affected by these wind - induced changes in
ocean currents and temperatures,» Dr Jourdain said.
«When we included projected Antarctic wind shifts in a detailed
global ocean model, we found water up to 4 °C
warmer than
current temperatures rose up to meet the base of the Antarctic ice shelves,» said lead author Dr Paul Spence from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS).
For example, contrary to their assertion,
current conditions in the eastern Pacific are almost the antithesis of projected conditions for most reef systems under
global warming and
ocean acidification.
So the report notes that the
current «pause» in new
global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered
warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the
oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
MHW intensity between 1982 — 1998 and 2000 — 2016 increased in over 65 % of the
global ocean, most notably in all five western boundary
current regions, where the mean
warming has been considerably faster than the
global average39, and most mid-latitude
ocean basins (Fig. 1e).
Gray believes that the increased atmospheric heat — which he calls a «small
warming» — is ``... likely a result of the natural alterations in
global ocean currents which are driven by
ocean salinity variations.»
This small
warming is likely a result of the natural alterations in
global ocean currents which are driven by
ocean salinity variations.
A group of researchers find a new reason for the
current hiatus of
global warming: the Atlantic
Ocean could be keeping things cooler by drawing heat into its deepest fathoms.
Since deeper waters will be
warmer, there is a possible link to the
global ocean circulating
currents that results in
warmer water in polar regions.
Current stated priorities for the NRDC include curbing
global warming, reviving the world's
oceans, defending endangered wildlife and ensuring safe and sufficient water supplies.
I'm a fish geneticist so I won't bother commenting on «paleo -
ocean current - ology», but it seems to me that glaciation would result in a reduction of fresh water inputs to the North Atlantic (during the ice age) and would therefore be quite different from the mechanism in question (which is related to early phases of
global warming).
By analogy, a
warmer world wouldn't be rainier (or cloudier); it's an imperfect analogy, because rain isn't absolutely correlated with cloudiness, and lateral transport of energy by
ocean, air, and latent heat currents in and out of the E & W Pacific Ocean areas won't scale to global wa
ocean, air, and latent heat
currents in and out of the E & W Pacific
Ocean areas won't scale to global wa
Ocean areas won't scale to
global warming
Is it not the case that if the relative lack of El Niño's and predominance of La Nina's is in fact due to
global warming, rather than natural variability, then the
current increase in the rate of
warming of the
ocean below 700m may continue.
The
current Landsea / Trenberth / Emanuel discussion has been parsed by many to mean that Landsea claims that the number of hurricanes is constant, and Trenberth is claiming that their intensity should increase as
global warming heats the
ocean surface.
Gavin disputes that the main driver of the sea ice retreat is the albedo flip, but we are seeing not only polar amplification of
global warming but positive feedback, which would not be explained simply by radiative forces and
ocean currents.
BUT Reversing the Atlantic
ocean current due to fresh water ice melt, is a local phenomenon, not
global AND it does little to reduce the slow steady heat / energy buildup globally — so
warming will continue.
2) Anthropogenic
global warming will not affect the Arctic (or any other region) solely by increasing local temperatures, but also by its complex effects on climate as a whole, which includes affects on patterns of wind and
ocean currents.
The surface heat capacity C (j = 0) was set to the equivalent of a
global layer of water 50 m deep (which would be a layer ~ 70 m thick over the
oceans) plus 70 % of the atmosphere, the latent heat of vaporization corresponding to a 20 % increase in water vapor per 3 K
warming (linearized for
current conditions), and a little land surface; expressed as W * yr per m ^ 2 * K (a convenient unit), I got about 7.093.
Chan and Liu (2004) argue that
current models are not yet sufficiently good for addressing the question regarding
global warming and typhoons (A typhoon is technically the same as a hurricane, the difference being that they form over the western Pacific or the Indean
Ocean).
We're seeing highly uneven
global warming,
ocean currents spreading the warmth in counter-intuitive ways, and unlikely climate feedbacks.
TagsAntarctica, antarctic ice sheet, climate change, climate, sea level rise, rising sea levels, sea level,
global sea level rise, Sea Levels, ice melt, Melting Ice, ice loss, Ice Extent, sea ice extent, ice,
warming ocean,
ocean currents
In contrast,
current global warming is occuring in both hemispheres and particularly throughout the world's
oceans, indicating a significant energy imbalance.
bozzza - The differences in the Arctic are perhaps 1/4 the
ocean thermal mass as
global ocean averages, small overall size (the smallest
ocean), being almost surrounded by land (which
warms faster), more limited liquid interchanges due to bottlenecking than the Antarctic, and very importantly considerable susceptibility to positive albedo feedbacks; as less summer ice is present given
current trends, solar energy absorbed by the Arctic
ocean goes up very rapidly.
Yes, the simple term «
global warming» doesn't convey all the complexities of what can happen as that
warming causes air and
ocean currents to shift, but climate change / disruption provides even less information.
The study, published in the journal
Global Change Biology, examined the impacts of rising
ocean temperatures, changes in salinity and
currents resulting from a
warming climate.
It represents in a simple way how
ocean currents carry
warm surface waters from the equator toward the poles and moderate
global climate.»
We work with
global ocean circulation models to understand issues like the thermal expansion of
ocean waters due to
global warming or the effect of changing
ocean currents on regional sea levels.
They also found that, consistent with my team's research, about 30 % of overall
global warming has gone into the deep
oceans below 700 meters due to changing wind patterns and
ocean currents.
We should be more worried about
global warming upsetting the
ocean currents by overheating the
ocean, which is now happening at an alarming rate.
Previous large natural oscillations are important to examine: however, 1) our data isn't as good with regards to external forcings or to historical temperatures, making attribution more difficult, 2) to the extent that we have solar and volcanic data, and paleoclimate temperature records, they are indeed fairly consistent with each other within their respective uncertainties, and 3) most mechanisms of internal variability would have different fingerprints: eg, shifting of warmth from the
oceans to the atmosphere (but we see
warming in both), or simultaneous
warming of the troposphere and stratosphere, or shifts in
global temperature associated with major
ocean current shifts which for the most part haven't been seen.
She then argues that this can't be attributed to human - caused
global warming, which presumably implies something about the
current rise in
ocean heat content.
Warming temperatures in the Arctic may cause large amounts of fresh meltwater to enter the north Atlantic, possibly disrupting
global ocean current patterns.
This would be some combination of
warmings and coolings due to natural and / or human influences such as aerosols, instabilities in
ocean currents, Length - Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17,
Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc..
This empirical finding contradicts Spencer's hypothesis that cloud cover changes are driving
global warming, but is consistent with our
current understanding of the climate:
ocean heat is exchanged with the atmosphere, which causes surface
warming, which alters atmospheric circulation, which alters cloud cover, which impacts surface temperature.
The present state of the Arctic is not caused by any
global warming but is the consequence of North Atlantic
currents carrying
warm Gulf Stream water into the Arctic
Ocean.
A single paper that demonstrated
global warming was actually driven by the sun or
ocean currents would render all of Cook's thousands of abstracts redundant.
Even if you were to exclude every line of evidence which could possibly be disputed — the proxy records, the computer models, the complex science of clouds and
ocean currents — the evidence for manmade
global warming would still be unequivocal.
Parts of North America and Europe may cool naturally over the next decade, as shifting
ocean currents temporarily blunt the
global -
warming effect caused by mankind, Germany's Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences said.
Ocean oscillations and
currents could (and do) cause local effects as
warm and cold water interchanges, but they can not cause a
global effect as they just move energy around rather than increasing it.
A new study on ice loss in Antarctica by the British Antarctic Survey confirms what we already know about the effects of
global warming but it differentiates between the effects of
ocean currents, their cause and the air temperature effects at the ice surface.
There essentially has been no
global warming in North America since the 1940s, the
oceans have been cooling for years — the elderly could be reduced to burning books in the UK to stay
warm this winter for all we know — and, some scientists believe the
current period of
global cooling may last 20 - 30 years.