Sentences with phrase «current climate computer models»

I am not saying the current climate computer models can stand no improvements.

Not exact matches

«Current climate developments are at the very worst end of the computer model predictions,» he says.
Other researchers have used computer models to estimate what an event similar to a Maunder Minimum, if it were to occur in coming decades, might mean for our current climate, which is now rapidly warming.
Noting that the timing of KD outbreaks in Japan coincides with certain wind patterns from Asia, climate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University inclimate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University inClimate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University in Japan.
The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.
International institutions such as CGIAR have developed computer models that use data on climate, crop types, and other factors to estimate current food production and forecast future trends.
Previously, computer models of climate didn't predict that a shutdown in this current would occur.
The researchers use computer models to forecast future ocean conditions such as surface temperatures, salinity, and currents, and project how the distribution of different fish species could respond to climate change.
Lambert examined how future greenhouse gas emissions will affect low pressure systems during the winter using nearly all of the most current computer climate models.
Qualms about arbitrariness in computer models diminish as teams model ice - age climate and dispense with special adjustments to reproduce current climate.
«Chris West, director of the UK climate impacts programme at Oxford University's centre for the environment, said: «The only way computer models have managed to simulate an entire shutdown of the current is to magic into existence millions of tonnes of fresh water and dump it in the Atlantic.
The current generation high - end computers for climate research have a capability of about 50 teraflops, which makes it possible to integrate a typical climate model with about 100 km horizontal resolution for 20 years in one day.
His current research focuses on evaluating how well computer models simulate present - day climate, and on improving our scientific understanding of the nature and causes of climate change.
Current computer models can faithfully simulate many of the important aspects of the global climate system, such as changes in global average temperature over many decades; the march of the seasons on large spatial scales; and how the climate responds to large - scale forcing, like a large volcanic eruption.
Over decades, improvements in observations of the present climate, reconstructions of ancient climate, and computer models that simulate past, current, and future climate have reduced some of the uncertainty in forecasting how rising temperatures will ripple through the climate system.
Changes in precipitation are quite complex, 9 and current computer models of climate have only a limited ability to predict the heaviest precipitation.
On the Guardian's forums, you'll find endless claims that the hockey stick graph of global temperatures has been debunked; that sunspots are largely responsible for current temperature changes; that the world's glaciers are advancing; that global warming theory depends entirely on computer models; that most climate scientists in the 1970s were predicting a new ice age.
Results from an irreducibly simple climate model,» concluded that, once discrepancies in IPCC computer models are taken into account, the impact of CO2 - driven manmade global warming over the next century (and beyond) is likely to be «no more than one - third to one - half of the IPCC's current projections» — that is, just 1 - 2 degrees C (2 - 4 deg F) by 2100!
In fact, most climate specialists now agree that actual observations from both weather satellites and balloon - borne radiosondes show no current warming whatsoever — in direct contradiction to computer model results.»
Developed under the leadership of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), this report, SAP 3.1, describes computer models of the Earth's climate and their ability to simulate current climate change.
IMHO, this issue of inherent determinism in the current approach to doing basic climate research — i.e. near complete reliance on computer modeling as opposed to physical observation — is as important as is the physics - related question as to whether the climate itself behaves in a deterministic fashion relative to the CO2 content of the atmosphere.
Anyhow, I think that the analog of the hydraulic computer can help to demystify the aura that is hyped around the current climate models implemented on digital computing devices.
We think, based on basic physics and computer model simulations, that this can induce ocean currents that transport heat laterally and thereby affect climate.
The second point concerns our observation that current computer climate models appear to exaggerate warming due to CO2.
On the Guardian's forums, you'll find endless claims that thehockeystick graph of global temperatures has been debunked; that sunspots are largely responsible for current temperature changes; that the world's glaciers are advancing; that global warming theory depends entirely on computer models; that most climate scientists in the 1970s were predicting a new ice age.
Lupo worked on the climate models chapter about which he said, «It represents the problems and benefits of working with computer models as well as highlighting the current techniques, strategies, and shortcomings.»
The scientific paper, entitled «Why Models Run Hot,» concludes that the computer models overstated the impact of CO2 on the climate: «The impact of anthropogenic global warming over the next century... may be no more than one - third to one - half of IPCC's current projections.&Models Run Hot,» concludes that the computer models overstated the impact of CO2 on the climate: «The impact of anthropogenic global warming over the next century... may be no more than one - third to one - half of IPCC's current projections.&models overstated the impact of CO2 on the climate: «The impact of anthropogenic global warming over the next century... may be no more than one - third to one - half of IPCC's current projections.»
It's true that to run a global Climate model takes up acres of computer racks, but the essential elements of the current situation are quite simple to portray: there are many helpful diagrams included in the IPCC reports and in a number of general readership books.
By 1979 the ever more powerful computers had confirmed that it was impossible to construct a model that could mimick the current climate and that did not warm up a few degrees....
The current state of affairs looks ever more scandalous when one realizes that the computer - model - generated predictions of dangerous climate consequences have failed the test of time.
During the past 25 years, satellites have measured a 4 percent rise in atmospheric water vapor that is in line with the basic physics of a warming world and is consistent with the results of computer models simulating the current warming climate.
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