But in each case
those cyclical temperature trends were homogenized to look like the linear urbanized trend at Marysville.
Not exact matches
Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of global
temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the
cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.
My opinion expressed elsewhere is that almost all the
temperature changes we observe over periods of less than a century are caused by
cyclical changes in the rate of energy emission from the oceans with the solar effect only providing a slow background
trend of warming or cooling for several centuries at a time.
I mean, given the noise in the
temperature data + assorted
cyclical phenomena of various time scales, shouldn't someone have given a numerical estimate as to how long it would be before any warming
trend could be detected with any statistical reliability?
As I look at the global mean
temperature trend for the 20th century, I see a
cyclical pattern as shown in the following graph.
Some might believe that this all suggests that CO2 appears to be a somewhat weak climate driver that is overwhelmed by natural variability, and that our international institutions appear to have inexplicably forgotten their climate history and not be aware that, far from being «unprecedented,» the apparent
cyclical nature of our climate explains the current
temperature trends very nicely.
Is it possible that Arctic
temperatures are
cyclical rather than on a linear upwards
trend?
The thing is that as regards the sequence of observed events leading to changes in tropospheric
temperature trends and the
cyclical poleward and equatorward shifts in the air circulation systems the NCM is pretty robust.
The Second Supplement to Petition states: Adjustments that impart an ever - steeper upward
trend in the data by removing the natural
cyclical temperature patterns present in the data deprive the GAST products from NOAA, NASA and Hadley CRU of the credibility required for policymaking or climate modeling, particularly when they are relied on to drive trillions of dollars in expenditures.
His unspoken argument is that you have to take a
temperature trend over complete cycle (s) in order to remove the
cyclical effect: «To remove the warming rate due to the multidecadal oscillation of about 60 years cycle, least squares
trend of 60 years period from 1945 to 2004 is calculated ``.