Despite this, further small swings to the party in a number of
Dail constituencies could see further seat gains being made by Labour, as the map above suggests.
Given that the Constitution explicitly states that the population per TD ratio nationally (this does not apply to individual constituencies) must not exceed 30,000 (or indeed fall below 20,000), this means that the smallest number of Dail deputies, which can be envisaged in the upcoming Constituency Commission review of / report on
Dail constituency boundaries, is 159, which is a higher number that the current membership (158 TDs) of Dail Eireann.
Not exact matches
In all, 24 submissions were made to the
Constituency Commission in relation to this revision of European Election constituencies — a decidedly lower number than the levels of submissions made in relation to reviews of Dail election constituencies and City / County Council election constituencies but an increase on the number of submissions specifically referring to European Parliament constituency boundaries in the 2007 and 2012 Constituency Commission reviews (eight in both cases) and the thirteen submissions made to the 2003 revision of European Election
Constituency Commission in relation to this revision of European Election
constituencies — a decidedly lower number than the levels of submissions made in relation to reviews of
Dail election
constituencies and City / County Council election
constituencies but an increase on the number of submissions specifically referring to European Parliament
constituency boundaries in the 2007 and 2012 Constituency Commission reviews (eight in both cases) and the thirteen submissions made to the 2003 revision of European Election
constituency boundaries in the 2007 and 2012
Constituency Commission reviews (eight in both cases) and the thirteen submissions made to the 2003 revision of European Election
Constituency Commission reviews (eight in both cases) and the thirteen submissions made to the 2003 revision of European Election boundaries.
As reported by the KFM Radio website (22nd September 2017), for
Dail deputy, Emmet Stagg, was selected to be the Labour Party candidate for this
constituency at a selection convention on 22nd September 2017.
However, the fractured political landscape (in particular relating to the likely level of Fine Gael and Labour seat losses) and the favourable impact of the boundary changes associated with the 2012
Constituency Commission report means that Fianna Fail would achieve more success in translating these support levels into
Dail seat numbers than they had at the 2011 contest.
The party also had a relatively strong degree of support in Offaly, but in particular the Tullamore area, during the 1990s, during which time Pat Gallagher held a
Dail seat for the party in the Laois - Offaly
constituency.
This posts follows on the previous posts in this series which updates the analysis carried out previously for 154 -
Dail seat and 160 -
Dail seat scenarios to consider what options the
Constituency Commission might face if they decide to opt for a 158 - seat
Dail Eireann.
This post will consider what might happen our current
constituency configurations if a 156 seat tally was agreed on for the next
Dail.
So what do these population figures mean in terms of which
constituencies may, or may not, be likely to have their election boundaries changed following on the upcoming Consituency Commission report, especially given that this body effectively will have eight different options in terms of total
Dail seat numbers to choose from?