«
Driving change of this magnitude takes time,» said Dr. Howell Wechsler, CEO of the Alliance.
Not exact matches
Modern human -
driven forces, like climate
change and pollution, are «orders
of magnitude more destructive than what early humans were doing,» Lyons said, but even at the dawn
of human civilizations, people were certainly having major — and unprecedented — ecological impacts, she said.
In this earth system model, human belief systems and corresponding climate governance will
drive anthropogenic GHG emissions that force the climate system, while the
magnitude of climate
change and related extreme events will influence human perception
of associated risk.
That increases the size
of the temperature
change per «small
change»
of doubling
of CO2 by almost one order
of magnitude, and many people would dispute that an approximately 10 % GHG -
driven temperature increase for a «small
change» in greenhouse forcing is a «small temperature
change».
Although the primary driver
of glacial — interglacial cycles lies in the seasonal and latitudinal distribution
of incoming solar energy
driven by
changes in the geometry
of the Earth's orbit around the Sun («orbital forcing»), reconstructions and simulations together show that the full
magnitude of glacial — interglacial temperature and ice volume
changes can not be explained without accounting for
changes in atmospheric CO2 content and the associated climate feedbacks.
Extrapolating from their forest study, the researchers estimate that over this century the warming induced from global soil loss, at the rate they monitored, will be «equivalent to the past two decades
of carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning and is comparable in
magnitude to the cumulative carbon losses to the atmosphere due to human -
driven land use
change during the past two centuries.»
-- Projected precipitation and temperature
changes imply
changes in floods, although overall there is low confidence at the global scale regarding climate -
driven changes in
magnitude or frequency
of river - related flooding, due to limited evidence and because the causes
of regional
changes are complex.
Importantly, the
changes in cereal yield projected for the 2020s and 2080s are
driven by GHG - induced climate
change and likely do not fully capture interannual precipitation variability which can result in large yield reductions during dry periods, as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence in the ability
of the AOGCMs (atmosphere - ocean general circulation models) to generate interannual variability in the SSTs (sea surface temperatures)
of the type known to affect African rainfall, as evidenced by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable in
magnitude to the Sahel droughts
of the 1970s and 1980s.»
He says low values
of climate sensitivity will still affect global temperatures as CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere rise, but increases in temperature may be
of similar
magnitude to naturally
driven temperature cycles, a scenario that has strong implications for how we manage causes and consequences
of climate
change.
Despite the overwhelming scientific consensus to the contrary, EPA Administrator Pruitt has questioned whether carbon dioxide causes climate
change and the
magnitude of humans» role in
driving it.
Although it is important to reduce the remaining climate uncertainties, such as the
magnitude of the impacts
of short - lived pollutants, it does not
change the fact that CO2 is very likely the
driving force behind the current global warming, or that if we double the amount
of CO2 in the atmosphere from pre-industrial levels, the planet will likely warm in the range
of 2 to 4.5 °C.
The similarity
of the model responses despite the widely varying transports
of salt into the North Atlantic across its southern boundary (and hence sign and
magnitude of the salt advection feedback) suggests that like the CMIP3 models (Gregory et al., 2005), the reduction
of the AMOC in the global warming experiments performed by the CMIP5 models is mainly
driven by local
changes in surface thermal flux rather than surface freshwater flux.
Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are scenarios for rates and
magnitudes of climate
change driven by greenhouse gas emissions.