A strong dollar has been, and still is, the main foe of
EM currency appreciation.
Not exact matches
We like selected
EM debt for income and potential price
appreciation amid low inflation and subdued
currency volatility in the emerging world.
But there is a «sweet spot» of ongoing dollar
appreciation for
EM currencies and markets.
Because
EM countries are much earlier in their growth cycle than the U.S., we anticipate continued
appreciation of
EM currencies in the years to come (see Figure 3).
Based on current positioning, we expect the All Asset strategies to benefit from the following return tailwinds: a stable to rising breakeven inflation rate, appreciating
EM currencies, convergence of
EM - to - U.S. cyclically adjusted price / earnings (CAPE) ratios toward longer - term averages, and
appreciation of global value stocks from today's elevated discounts toward longer - term norms.
Just as emerging market downturns tend to coincide with periods of weakening
EM currencies, bull markets in emerging markets are inclined to feature corresponding
appreciation in
EM currencies.