Sentences with phrase «enso prediction skill»

Balmaseda, M.A., M.K. Davey, and D.L.T. Anderson, 1995: Decadal and seasonal dependence of ENSO prediction skill.

Not exact matches

However, the annual mean predictions for the global temperature that they issue every year does have some skill — being based mainly on the state of ENSO at the start of the year.

For streamflow prediction, the ESP approach has very limited or no correlation skill beyond the months influenced by initial hydrologic conditions, while the CM - HPS has moderately better correlation skill, attributable to the enhanced temperature prediction skill that results from CanSIPS's ability to predict El Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its teleconnections.

In addition to the fact that «for the predictions through the spring season in the growth phase of El Niño events, the prediction errors induced by both initial errors and model errors tend to have a prominent season - dependent evolution and yield a prominent spring predictability barrier (SPB)» Duan et al., 2012, it is important to note that even after the SPB passes, our ENSO forecasting skills are abysmal, i.e.: