Economic Impacts of Climate Change Likely Limited in This Century, Says New Study - DC Weekly Daily News
Not exact matches
The consequences
of climate change are being felt not only in the environment, but in the entire socio -
economic system and, as seen in the findings
of numerous reports already available, they will
impact first and foremost the poorest and weakest who, even if they are among the least responsible for global warming, are the most vulnerable because they have limited resources or live in areas at greater risk... Many
of the most vulnerable societies, already facing energy problems, rely upon agriculture, the very sector most
likely to suffer from climatic shifts.»
The analysis seeks to capture the
economic risks
of low - probability, high -
impact climate events as well as the
changes most
likely to occur in the future.
The top right hand quadrant
of the World
Economic Forum's annual Global Risks Report is home to highly
likely, high
impact dangers that have not been resolved:
climate change, weapons
of mass destruction, water scarcity, mass forced migration, and energy price shocks.
A rational public and private sector response to the threat
of storm damage in a
changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are
likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits
of planning for the worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination
of societal trends and the most confident aspects
of climate change predictions makes future
economic impacts substantially more
likely than does either one alone.
[10] While many companies appear to believe that
climate targets will not be met, we are unaware
of any company (save Statoil) that endeavors to incorporate the physical and
economic impacts of largely unabated
climate change on the macroeconomic forecasts that drive their modeling, though that flows, ipso facto, from the suggestion that the world is
likely to use far more fossil fuels than could safely be combusted whilst still achieving those targets.
Further, as Reason Foundation Vice President Julian Morris «finds the administration's estimates
of the social cost
of carbon are «biased upwards» due to their reliance on three «simplistic models, all
of which use estimates
of climate sensitivity that are
likely too high and two
of which
likely overestimate the
economic impact of climate change.»