Google Books «
Economic Scenarios for Global Change».
The American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research recently published a study that indicated that «by all relevant debt indicators, the U.S. fiscal scenario will soon approximate
the economic scenario for countries on the verge of a sovereign debt default.»
Not exact matches
He noted that the baseline
scenario for tests in 2015 — which projected an
economic contraction of 2.3 percent
for that year — was more dramatic than the 1.3 percent contraction used in the most conservative
scenario in the current tests.
However, he has previously stated that there's no
economic impact assessment
for such
scenario.
One can also imagine
scenarios that are unlikely to occur but may have far more substantial implications
for the
economic outlook if realised.
Under this
scenario, growth drops steadily during the
economic adjustment period, but in an orderly way
for over a decade or more as Beijing slowly gets credit growth under control.
The Bank's usual practice is to assume
for our projection that oil prices will remain stable and use our
economic models to test alternative
scenarios.
Not surprisingly, NERA shows far superior
economic outcomes
for this
scenario, with U.S. GDP decreasing by half of one percentage point compared to a no - policy
scenario in 2025.
For the most part, we think that
scenario is very much still intact; the US
economic data continues to point to a strengthening US economy.
However, we're in a different
scenario, given the low - inflation, low - rate
economic environment we expect
for the foreseeable future.
It is frustrating to see William Chip's well - documented argument of the
economic and political evils of illegal immigration rebutted from Scaperlanda's supposedly moral standpoint, when in fact the victims in this
scenario are the laborers working without regulations
for workplace safety, without employment benefits, and even without police protection (since contact with law enforcement is associated with deportation).
In this particular instance it is not very difficult to imagine
scenarios in the not - too - distant future in which there might occur resurgences of socialist policies and ideals: the failure of neo-capitalist regimes in developing societies and / or the formerly Communist countries in Europe to achieve
economic take - off; the insight granted to sundry dictators and despots that, while socialism invariably immiserates the masses, it is a very good recipe
for enriching those who claim to hold power as the vanguard of the masses; the «creeping socialism» (still an aptly descriptive term) brought on by massive government intervention in the economy in the name of some societal good, e.g., there could be an environmentalist road to socialism, or a feminist one, or one constructed (perhaps inadvertently) with some other building blocks of politically managed regulations and entitlements; or, last but not least, the actual restoration of socialism, by coup or by voting, in a number of countries, beginning with Russia.
History presently offers us a
scenario of socio -
economic, cultural and spiritual crisis, which highlights the need
for a discernment guided by a creative proposal of the Church's social message.
maybe you don't understand that Wenger's words are simply an attempt to recover some of the market value that was lost due to the way they have mishandled his contract negotiations, which means that everyone, once again, knows that we have little to no leverage when it comes to negotiating a transfer... much like we did with RVP, when we sold the EPL trophy to ManU
for less than $ 25 million... any reputable team with a sporting director would never have allowed this situation to occur again and if they had heads would roll... if handled correctly the worst case
scenario would have seen us get a minimum of $ 65 million
for a player of his ilk in the present
economic climate and we could have used those funds to purchase the best available striker in the early days of the transfer window... just imagine what outsiders must think about the state of our team if all you did was read the headlines... sadly, things might just might be worse than they think
Ben ten Brink, researcher at the Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL): «This
scenario is conceivable
for regions that face a combination of impactful developments, such as strong population growth, poverty, climate change, a weak
economic system and a feeble government.
In business - as - usual
scenarios, consumption — a proxy
for economic growth — grows by 1.6 to 3 percent per year over the 21st century.
Economists and politicians fear that if Greece makes an ignominious exit from the eurozone — the «Grexit»
scenario — there will be disastrous
economic consequences
for Europe.
In turn, the ministry, taking a holistic view of the dismal
scenario in Pakistan, has launched a vast number of projects that fall under other ministries but that involve the effective use of science and technology
for economic growth.
Jerome Amir Singh, a researcher at the Centre
for AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa and at the University of Toronto, argued in his paper that the
economic factors that created the current climate change
scenario are unlikely to lead the world to a solution on their own.
By comparison,
scenarios for fossil fuel emissions
for the 21st century range from about 600 billion tons (if we can keep total global emissions at current levels) to over 2500 billion tons if the world increases its reliance on combustion of coal as
economic growth and population increase dramatically.
IIASA researchers have been involved in greenhouse gas emission projections since the beginning of climate change research in the 1970s, including research on both historical emissions as well as projections
for future emissions based on multiple
scenarios of
economic and population growth and technological change.
• Lead Author, «Technological and
Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Lead Author, «Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation
Scenarios and Implications,» IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001) • Member, IPCC Task Group on
Scenarios and Data
for Impacts and Climate Analysis (1998 - present).
The results of such calculations, using standard
economic assumptions and actuarial survivor probabilities, are shown in Figure 1, where we plot the growth of pension wealth over the career cycle
for a typical educator in Missouri under three different promotion
scenarios, in 2012 dollars.
For example, Figure 6 shows the gains in
economic outcomes that result when all states are brought up to the skill level of top - performing Minnesota (
Scenario 1).
Quite a bit of the discussion is along the predictable and tired paths of building in some corrective measures into «business as usual»
scenarios, but at least a few brave voices from within civil society and some governments are pushing
for more fundamental changes in
economic and political structures.
And if your
economic situation is not sound, the
scenario may be complicated
for you.
However, we're in a different
scenario, given the low - inflation, low - rate
economic environment we expect
for the foreseeable future.
In the Indian
economic scenario, this facility comes across as a boon
for the thousands of middle class families struggling to make ends meet especially during the end of the month.
Money manager Cliff Asness tells Fortune magazine that either interest rates are going to head back down or
economic growth is going to pick up and either
scenario is good
for stocks.
Browne's Permanent Portfolio was also based on the principle that you should hold asset classes that would thrive during four
economic scenarios: stocks
for prosperity, cash
for recessions, gold
for inflation protection, and long - term bonds
for deflation.
The
economic case
for being in the EU is very convincing and there is no real case
for the leave
scenario.
Thus,
for economic policy purposes we ought to take a cost - weighted mean of the plausible
scenarios, rather than the cost of the plausibility - weighted
scenarios.
due to co2 we are already living in a greenhouse.Whatever one does in that greenhouse will remain in the greenhouse.INDUSTRIOUS HEAT will remain in the greenhouse instead of escaping into outer space; this is a far greater contributor to global warming than other factors and far more difficult to reduce without reducing
economic activity.Like warm moist air from your mouth on cold mornings so melting antarctic ice will turn into cloud as it meets warm moist air from tropics the seas will not rise as antarctica is a huge cloud generator.A thick band of cloud around the earth will produce even temps accross the whole earth causing the wind to moderate even stop.WE should be preparing
for this possible
scenario»
To take an example I find of particular interest, the IPCC carbon emissions
scenarios account
for economic activity.
Then the weak point of the
scenarios used in SRES is that they all rely upon a continuous
economic growth throughout the century - which is by no means granted -, and that they all exceed by far the amount of proven reserves
for at least one fuel — which can hardly be considered as a likely event, by definition of «proven».
assessment considered
scenarios for future
economic development and energy policy, known as Representative Concentration Pathways.
To cover the range of possible energy futures, the IPCC's 5th assessment considered
scenarios for future
economic development and energy policy, known as Representative Concentration Pathways.
This team, led by Jose Marengo of the Brazilian National Institute
for Space Research (INPE), assesses the local impacts of the global SRES A1B emissions
scenario, an old IPCC
scenario for (A1) a world with rapid
economic growth, decreasing population after 2050 and rapid implementation of efficient technologies with (B) a «balanced mix of energy sources».
In 1990, Strong told a reporter a fantasy
scenario for the World
Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland — where 1,000 diplomats, CEOs and politicians gather «to address global issues.»
We conclude that this
scenario offers three attractive characteristics: environmental security, because the global carbon budget is set at a level which keeps global warming below 2 degrees;
economic efficiency, because carbon trading allows the reductions to be made
for least overall cost; and global social justice, because emission rights are allocated equally to all people.
(2007) • Contribution of Renewables to Energy Security (2007) • Modelling Investment Risks and Uncertainties with Real Options Approach (2007) • Financing Energy Efficient Homes Existing Policy Responses to Financial Barriers (2007) • CO2 Allowance and Electricity Price Interaction - Impact on Industry's Electricity Purchasing Strategies in Europe (2007) • CO2 Capture Ready Plants (2007) • Fuel - Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components (2007) • Impact of Climate Change Policy Uncertainty on Power Generation Investments (2006) • Raising the Profile of Energy Efficiency in China — Case Study of Standby Power Efficiency (2006) • Barriers to the Diffusion of Solar Thermal Technologies (2006) • Barriers to Technology Diffusion: The Case of Compact Fluorescent Lamps (2006) • Certainty versus Ambition —
Economic Efficiency in Mitigating Climate Change (2006) • Sectoral Crediting Mechanisms
for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Institutional and Operational Issues (2006) • Sectoral Approaches to GHG Mitigation:
Scenarios for Integration (2006) • Energy Efficiency in the Refurbishment of High - Rise Residential Buildings (2006) • Can Energy - Efficient Electrical Appliances Be Considered «Environmental Goods»?
It appears that Pruitt instructed the EPA career staff to make assumptions grossly unfavorable to the CPP in order to calculate the largest possible negative
economic impact;
for example, the RIA models
scenarios that minimize the CPP's reductions in unhealthy air pollutants, inflate the costs of compliance, only count the climate benefits of CO2 reductions in the US, and greatly discount the future benefits of lower global temperatures.
For example, some
scenarios have «rapid» ***
economic growth and some have slow
economic growth.
For a given climate change
scenario, they can use the framework to analyze the chain of physical changes at the regional and sectoral levels, and then estimate
economic impacts at those levels.
Alternative
economic and metamodels are available, and they give very different
scenarios for human population,
economic output, atmospheric chemistry and climate dynamics.
Their CO2 emission «
scenarios»,
for example, are based on
economic models that don't conform to the UN's own standard
economic methodologies (
for example, using currency exchange rates instead of purchasing power parity).
The current employment
scenario for young people, worsened by the global
economic crisis, poses an urgent challenge with long - term implications
for both young people and society as a whole.
Given the increasing realisation that climate mitigation efforts are creating an
economic crisis, and increasing popular scepticism about the alarmist
scenario, this is a timely publication, and a key resource
for all of us who are arguing
for common sense.
Mr. Romm does not use any of the emissions
scenarios that are the starting point
for IPCC climate projections, but instead has developed a forecast
for carbon emissions (which are «rising faster than the most pessimistic
economic model considered by the IPCC»).
I make precisely as much money from granting agencies
for shooting down Jelbring's absurd paper as I do from the Big Oil companies
for stating that the preponderance of evidence suggests that the very real GHG - GHE is not a catastrophic threat under any reasonable
scenario for the
economic and technological development of the world
for the rest of the 21st century.