Energy technology scenarios and strategies for a more secure and sustainable energy future 22 June 2006
We would like to build on the outcomes of that meeting and discuss the emerging conclusions of the International Energy Agency's (IEA) latest analysis of global
energy technology scenarios and roadmaps.
Not exact matches
A. Is beneficial, safe & healthy for individuals and communities throughout its life cycle; B. Meets market criteria for performance and cost; C. Is sourced, manufactured, transported, and recycled using renewable
energy; D. Optimizes the use of renewable or recycled source materials; E. Is manufactured using clean production
technologies and best practices; F. Is made from materials healthy in all probable end - of - life
scenarios; G. Is physically designed to optimize materials and
energy; H. Is effectively recovered and utilized in biological and / or industrial closed loop cycles.
The model produces different jobs and growth projections for a business - as - usual
scenario with no
technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean
energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean
energy sources and an expanded federal
energy loan guarantee program.
The «Allowable»
scenario shows the potential of
energy wood assuming full utilization of the annual allowable cut, based on current logging
technology and increasing sawn timber production.
The book includes chapters on the economic assumptions used,
energy supply and storage
technologies, demand and
technology assumptions, a reference
scenario, variations on that
scenario, federal and state policies needed, a «roadmap,» and a final chapter of the main findings and recommendations.
Shaping the future Can this mutually threatening
scenario change the content of school curriculums to equip those who do not bear responsibility, but who will suffer the consequences, with the knowledge and commitment to help to shape a low carbon clean
energy and
technology future?
The company explained the iBooster and ESP - hev
technology balance the use of the CT6 electric motors to act as generators to slow the vehicle and capture as much kinetic
energy as possible during low - demand
scenarios, while blending the traditional hydraulic brakes with the motors in high - demand
scenarios.
Conversely, although nuclear
energy accounts for less than 10 percent of the GHG emission reduction potentials across all
scenarios, it has received some 50 percent of the total public investment in
energy technology R&D.
McIntyre's analysis shows the deep involvement of an activist from Greenpeace International in writing an important chapter that ends up focusing on a
scenario for
energy technologies developed by none other than Greenpeace.
Users can select from a list of 19 different policies and
technologies — including
energy efficiency, renewable
energy, nuclear power, emission control options, and natural gas — to build a compliance
scenario for their state.
The ranges of solar
energy deployment at the global level are extremely large, also compared to other RE sources (see Section 10.2.2.5), indicating a very wide range of assumptions about the future development of solar
technologies in the reviewed
scenarios.»
Premature deaths worldwide from outdoor air pollution rise from 3 million today to more than 4 million in 2040 in the New Policies
Scenario, even though pollution control
technologies are applied more widely and other emissions are avoided because
energy services are provided more efficiently or (as with wind and solar) without fuel combustion.
The scale of China's clean
energy deployment,
technology exports and outward investment makes it a key determinant of momentum behind the low - carbon transition: one - third of the world's new wind power and solar PV is installed in China in the New Policies
Scenario, and China also accounts for more than 40 % of global investment in electric vehicles (EVs).
In the Outlook's «Reference
Scenario», which projects
energy trends in the absence of new government policies or accelerated deployment of new
technology, world primary
energy demand is set to rise by 59 % from now till 2030.
«Although such estimates of future deployment of carbon - free
energy sources indicate that it may be possible to achieve a decarbonized
energy system, great uncertainties remain regarding the implementation of such
scenarios due to factors such as costs,
technology evolution, public policies, and barriers to deployment of new
technologies (NRC, 2010b)»
This team, led by Jose Marengo of the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (INPE), assesses the local impacts of the global SRES A1B emissions
scenario, an old IPCC
scenario for (A1) a world with rapid economic growth, decreasing population after 2050 and rapid implementation of efficient
technologies with (B) a «balanced mix of
energy sources».
GCAM reference
scenario results showing a global GDP and population drivers, b global primary
energy consumption by fuel source, c global electricity production by
technology, and d global allocation of land among major land cover and land use categories
(2007) • Contribution of Renewables to
Energy Security (2007) • Modelling Investment Risks and Uncertainties with Real Options Approach (2007) • Financing
Energy Efficient Homes Existing Policy Responses to Financial Barriers (2007) • CO2 Allowance and Electricity Price Interaction - Impact on Industry's Electricity Purchasing Strategies in Europe (2007) • CO2 Capture Ready Plants (2007) • Fuel - Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components (2007) • Impact of Climate Change Policy Uncertainty on Power Generation Investments (2006) • Raising the Profile of
Energy Efficiency in China — Case Study of Standby Power Efficiency (2006) • Barriers to the Diffusion of Solar Thermal Technologies (2006) • Barriers to
Technology Diffusion: The Case of Compact Fluorescent Lamps (2006) • Certainty versus Ambition — Economic Efficiency in Mitigating Climate Change (2006) • Sectoral Crediting Mechanisms for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Institutional and Operational Issues (2006) • Sectoral Approaches to GHG Mitigation:
Scenarios for Integration (2006) •
Energy Efficiency in the Refurbishment of High - Rise Residential Buildings (2006) • Can
Energy - Efficient Electrical Appliances Be Considered «Environmental Goods»?
The
scenarios indicating the feasibility of bringing temperatures down below 1.5 C are «characterised by (1) immediate mitigation action; (2) the rapid upscaling of the full portfolio of mitigation
technologies; and (3) development along a low ‐
energy demand trajectory.»
• Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (2006) •
Energy Sector Methane Recovery and Use Initiative (2007) • IEA
Energy Technology Essentials: Biofuel Production, Biomass Power for Power Generation and CHP, CO2 Capture and Storage, Fuel Cells, Hydrogen Production and Distribution, Nuclear Power (2007 & 2006) • International CHP / DHC Collaborative (2007) • International
Energy Technology Co-operation — Frequently Asked Questions (Chinese, Russian)(2006/7) • Renewables in Global
Energy Supply (2007) •
Energy Technology Perspectives Fact Sheets: Buildings and Appliances; Electricity Generation; Industry; Road Transport Technologies and Fuels; and
Scenario Analysis (2006)
Energy policy, Scenarios, WEO, Clean energy technologies, Energy poverty, Air pollution, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, Th
Energy policy,
Scenarios, WEO, Clean
energy technologies, Energy poverty, Air pollution, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, Th
energy technologies,
Energy poverty, Air pollution, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, Th
Energy poverty, Air pollution, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand
Explore below how different policy,
technology cost and
energy demand assumptions affect installed solar PV capacity in our
scenarios, and how these compare against other industry projections.
All
energy sources remain important across all 13
scenarios though the mix of
energy and
technology shifts over time.
In every
scenario this means a dramatic increase in non-fossil
energy production, so no matter what else happens, we clearly need these
technologies.
For each sector in the Primary
Scenario, Acadia Center analyzed combinations of penetration levels of clean
energy technologies that will lead to the necessary reductions from 1990 levels.
While the IPCC tries to avoid explicitly telling governments what they should do, the report will present
scenarios showing that warming can be kept in check if the world shifts its
energy system toward renewable sources like wind and solar power and implements
technologies to capture greenhouse gases from the atmosphere.
fluxHome reimagines the suburban tract home in an
energy efficient and affordable combination of smart home
technologies with readily available and customizable components that can serve as a single family residence for up to four people or be adapted to other lifestyle
scenarios.
As
scenario analysis is mooted as a useful tool to understand the risks of the
energy transition, it is clear that using a
scenario with no changes in
technology and policy (the CPS) or the new policy
scenario (NPS)(AKA the «no new policies
scenario»), which includes what is already known about and set to come into force does not help companies or their shareholders understand risk and opportunity.
In the Primary and Accelerated
Scenarios, clean
energy technologies and the forecast of their growth are based on literature reviews, commitments made by states, demonstrated achievements and likely technological advances.
For the Primary and Accelerated
Scenarios, changes to the baseline consumption were made based on forecasts of clean
energy technology penetrations in different sectors.
Source & ©: IEA,
Energy Technology Perspectives 2008:
Scenarios and strategies to 2050.
In order to reach the global targets set into the ACT and BLUE
scenarios, the International
Energy Agency (IEA) has identified seventeen key technologies for energy efficiency, power generation and transport and, for each, has drawn a roadmap that describes the actions required to deliver their pote
Energy Agency (IEA) has identified seventeen key
technologies for
energy efficiency, power generation and transport and, for each, has drawn a roadmap that describes the actions required to deliver their pote
energy efficiency, power generation and transport and, for each, has drawn a roadmap that describes the actions required to deliver their potential.
The potential for reducing CO [sub 2] emissions with modern
energy technology: An illustrative
scenario for the power sector in China
This
scenario is characterized by «very rapid economic growth, global population that peaks in mid-century and declines thereafter... the rapid introduction of new
technologies,... and the assumption that similar improvement rates apply to all
energy supply and end - use
technologies».
Any reasonable
scenario for global development over the next century is likely to project technological change, which as we have seen in the past century would likely include changes in
energy creation and consumption
technologies, as well as the propagation of the kind of normal environmental policies that we have seen in the developed world in the past century, such as control of sulfur pollution.
For the first time, the 29 - member intergovernmental group's annual
Energy Technology Perspectives report, the 2017 edition published today, maps a «below 2C»
scenario.
These include how best to promote the deployment of
technologies that are unambiguously aligned with 2 °C
scenarios, how to put in place the conditions that foster alignment with such
scenarios, whether and how to deploy
energy - supply
technologies that remain controversial, and how to manage the risk of
technologies that lock in high carbon
energy generation for long time periods.
An excerpt of
Energy Technology Perspectives 2015 (ETP 2015), the report tracks each technology and sector against interim 2025 targets in ETP 2015's 2 °C scenario, which lays out pathways to a sustainable energy system in
Energy Technology Perspectives 2015 (ETP 2015), the report tracks each technology and sector against interim 2025 targets in ETP 2015's 2 °C scenario, which lays out pathways to a sustainable energy syste
Technology Perspectives 2015 (ETP 2015), the report tracks each
technology and sector against interim 2025 targets in ETP 2015's 2 °C scenario, which lays out pathways to a sustainable energy syste
technology and sector against interim 2025 targets in ETP 2015's 2 °C
scenario, which lays out pathways to a sustainable
energy system in
energy system in 2050.
What we can say, then, is that the WEO in its New Policies
scenario in effect treats renewable
energy technologies as a «black swan», whereas in reality their development is quite stable and consistent.
Climate change and
energy policy with focus on
energy technology policy assessment,
energy supply policy assessment, renewable
energy development and
energy conservation, including
energy and emission
scenarios, assessment on
energy and fuel tax, research on China's potential to achieve its
energy targets and development of the Integrated Policy Assessment models.
Dr. Romm helped lead the administration's climate
technology policy formulation, and initiated, supervised, and publicized a comprehensive technical analysis by five national laboratories of how
energy technologies can reduce greenhouse gas emissions at low - cost:
Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions.
The
Energy Cloud scenario describes a radical transformation of energy markets as the one - way power grid gives way to a more dynamic network of stakeholders, technologies, and infrastru
Energy Cloud
scenario describes a radical transformation of
energy markets as the one - way power grid gives way to a more dynamic network of stakeholders, technologies, and infrastru
energy markets as the one - way power grid gives way to a more dynamic network of stakeholders,
technologies, and infrastructure.
This
scenario includes having the best
technology to perform, and using market mechanisms to achieve
energy access for everyone.
In the IEA's
Energy Technology Perspectives 2012 2 °C
Scenario (2DS), CCS contributes about one ‐ seventh of cumulative emissions reductions from a business ‐ as - usual scenario throu
Scenario (2DS), CCS contributes about one ‐ seventh of cumulative emissions reductions from a business ‐ as - usual
scenario throu
scenario through 2050.
The International
Energy Agency (IEA) recently produced a new edition of its «
Energy Technology Perspectives -
Scenarios and Strategies to 2050».
Theoretical
scenarios for climate mitigation typically reflect their creators» technological preferences and analytical assumptions while all too often failing to account for the cost, rate, and scale at which low - carbon
energy technologies can be deployed.
Future
energy scenarios are dependent on assumptions about the prices and scalability of
energy sources, often relying on historic learning curves to predict the future costs of various fuels or generation
technologies.
Rather, mitigation
scenarios represent major transformations of the economy relative to baseline
scenarios and, thus, represent large and highly non-linear changes that will strongly impact the development of new
energy technologies on both the supply and demand sides, as well as other relevant
technologies that offset greenhouse gas emissions worldwide.
It does not have the crucial role that renewable
energy technologies have within our
scenarios.